Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Corona19

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.@AndyMacaskill: Why didn’t your team start reviewing & modelling the consequences of lockdown until mid-March?

@uksciencechief: We modelled all scenarios throughout February

AM: John Edmunds told us neither he or @neil_ferguson carried out any modelling
Neil Ferguson’s calculations were the basis for the govt’s #HerdImmunity strategy until 16/3 & he realised it was based on ‘flawed assumptions’ (or as govt said “the science changed”).

John Edmunds was key to govt modelling (here with @tomaspueyo on 14/3)
Patrick Vallance - clearly irritated by @AndyMacaskill’s follow-up question - says “the modelling came in from a lot of different sources”.

It is inconceivable that Edmunds & Ferguson weren’t central to - or atleast fully informed of - any modelling.
google.co.uk/amp/s/mobile.r…
Read 5 tweets
@peterjukes @BorisJohnson 1/. It was actually TEN days ago that @BorisJohnson first mentioned the ‘take in on the chin’ theory.

He told it to @Schofe & @hollywills on #ThisMorning on Thursday, 5 March.

A clip of him saying this was tweeted by @mvdct on the same day.

What happened next was remarkable...
@peterjukes @BorisJohnson @Schofe @hollywills @mvdct On Sunday evening, after a tip off from @CereinynOrd (follow her for #coronavirus), I tracked down the clip of the interview.

The clip beings with Boris saying: "One of the theories is, that perhaps you could take it on the chin, take it all in one go..."
@peterjukes @BorisJohnson @Schofe @hollywills @mvdct @CereinynOrd 3./ He goes on: "...& allow the disease, as it were, to move through the population, without taking as many draconian measures. I think we need to strike a balance."

To me there were two possible explanations for what Boris had said.

The second far more chilling than the first.
Read 61 tweets

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