Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #CoronaVirusDeathRate

Most recents (6)

US #CoronaVirusDeathRate by date:

1.50% March 25 (1,027 of 68,211)

1.51% March 26 (1,295 of 85,435)

1.62% March 27 (1,696 of 104,126)

1.79% March 28 (2,221 of 123,578)

1.74% March 29 (2,484 of 142,047)

1.92% March 30 (3,156 of 163,844)

2.14% March 31 (4,053 of 188,530)
US Coronavirus deaths by date + the difference in deaths over the previous day:

March 24 (778) + 225

March 25 (1,027) + 249

March 26 (1,295) + 268

March 27 (1,696) + 401

March 28 (2,221) + 525

March 29 (2,583) + 362

March 30 (3,156) + 573

March 31 (4,053) + 897
Based on how contagious (that officials say) Coronavirus is, the US has now easy millions of cases that are just not counted due to limited testing. At 500,000 cases the rate is 0.81%. If it’s 2.5 mill cases, the rate is 0.16% but I go with what we know so the rate is 2.14% now.
Read 3 tweets
US #CoronaVirusDeathRate:

1.70% March 17 (109 deaths of 6,411 known cases)

1.62% March 18 (150 of 9,259)

1.50% March 19 (207 of 13,789)

1.32% March 20 (256 of 19,383)

1.24% March 21 (302 of 24,207)

1.24% March 22 (419 of 33,546)

1.26% March 23 (553 of 43,734)
US Coronavirus deaths at a given date + the difference in deaths over the previous day:

March 17 (109 deaths) +24

March 18 (150 deaths) + 41

March 19 (207 deaths) + 57

March 20 (256 Deaths) + 49

March 21 (302 deaths) +46

March 22 (419 deaths) + 117

March 23 (553) + 134
NY Tests

45,437 as of Fri 3/20/20

61,401 as of Sat 3/21/20

78,289 as of Sun 3/22/20

32,825 difference in 2 days; a 72.3% increase.

Total Known Cases:

10,356 as of Fri 3/20/20

15,168 as of Sat 3/21/20

20,875 as of 3/22/20

10,519 diff in two days; a 101.5% increase. Does👇🏼
Read 4 tweets
1/9 If anyone thinks that mass lockdowns in the US will hold, they have no idea what’s heading their way: Compete outrage on Social Media; pockets of unrest (riots) and a spike of suicides by people who lost their jobs/freedom. At that point, officials will say “ok ok. Go out but
2/ wear gloves and masks; wash your hands more and try avoiding large groups.” How long it will take until the ease up, I don’t know but South Korea did not do anything close to the rapid lockdowns that we are seeing now across the globe. Too many officials are mimicking
3/ each other without thinking what will work best for their country/state/city. I have been tweeting for weeks that Italy melted when they had only 1,000 cases so the lesson should be to first up the hospital/healthcare capacity! But most of the focus is on lockdowns.
Read 12 tweets
US #CoronaVirusDeathRate by date:

4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 known cases)

3.69% March 9 (26 of 704)

3.01% March 10 (30 of 994)

2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295)

2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695)

2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247)

Continued:
1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954)

1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)

1.82% March 16 (85 of 4661)

1.70% March 17 (109 of 6,411)

1.62% March 18 (150 of 9,259)

1.50% March 19 (207 of 13,789)

1.32% March 20 (256 of 19,383)

The 19,383 number is of about 195,000 tests (per VP Pence).
More on the US:

Date (total Coronavirus deaths at given date) + the difference in deaths over previous day:

March 8 (22 deaths)

March 9 (26 deaths) + 4

March 10 (30 deaths) + 4

March 11 (38 deaths) + 8

March 12 (42 deaths) + 4

March 13 (49 deaths) + 7

Continued:
Read 7 tweets
96% of those tested for Corona in South Korea don't have it.

Their #CoronaVirusDeathRate is of the lowest (0.84%) because they tested most.

BUT: They are only at 200K completed tests in a country of 50 million. Test a million within weeks and look at the death rate then.
We are operating with clown math which goes as follows: "#CoronaVirusDeathRate is HIGH so OMG if the case load rises exponentially, then there will be X deaths." But HELLO! The rate is high because there are so few tests/diagnoses so LOADS of cases are not in the count! Consider:
South Korea has 66 deaths out of 7,869 cases. They tested 200K. If they tested 5 times more, their case load will be 5 times larger: 39,345. Their 66 deaths would remain the same since severe cases are anyway in the count. Thair death rate would be 0.16% of cases; not 0.84%.
Read 5 tweets
The #CoronaVirusDeathCount globally is now 3,001 which reflects 3.39% of all the 88,339 cases.

The #CoronaVirusDeathRate varies from 0.56% in South Korea at this time; to 2.00% in Italy (after its massive update) to 5.52% in Iran.
After its massive #CoronaVirusUpdate, 0.002% of Italy's population is infected with the #CoronaVirus.

If 3 million Italians will get infected, it will be 5%.

Some people in the political/financial media want you to think this will come close to happening. Sad fools. Or hacks.
If u believe the bleakest about #WuhanCoronavirus, namely, that things are 10 times worse than official dara, then 3.1% of the population is infected in a city that has everything wrong in it to cause a virus to spread like crazy. Meaning, everywhere else will remain MUCH lower!
Read 3 tweets

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