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Thread on my #CovidDataProject: #ReOpenAmerica edition.

For those not familiar with my work, the original (and still primary) aim of my model was to answer the question, “Where would we be on #COVID19 deaths had @realDonaldTrump acted quickly and responsibly?” The answer is

is shocking. As of midnight UTC last night, we stood at 72,271 deaths, and my model shows 90.905%, 65,698 American souls, would still be alive had he acted quickly. In other words, this would have been another tragic but relatively small blip on the epidemic radar, similar in
scale to the #SwineFlu under @BarackObama. And that’s without taking into account the added deaths globally, those caused by America’s failure to act.

Another, secondary goal has been predictive, looking at trends to make an educated guess about where we’re headed. That’s

Read 18 tweets
Daily update on my #CovidDataProject to track the #COVID19 pandemic and hold Trump & the @gop accountable by determining avoidable deaths. Today’s numbers and comments, with predictions. (Thread.)

Total deaths: 14736
Avoidable deaths: 13078 (89%)

Trends & predictions: glad to
report that US case growth has slowed for the 3rd day in a row, demonstrating that local and state efforts are starting to succeed where @realdonaldtrump & the @gop failed so criminally & miserably. We could have total containment as early as November barring any surprises.

we can’t let our guard down. Thanks to @gop incompetence & greed, we started way too late, so our growth rate is still far above the global average and as of today, 28% of all #COVID19 cases are in the US, almost 7x our per-capita share.

Unfortunately our case fatality rate is
Read 6 tweets

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