Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #DESen

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Jessica Scarane is at 32,536 votes, 3000 more than Kerri Harris won in 2018. Why'd she lose? Because the total primary vote grew at least 40% from 2018, a record-setting primary year.

For comparison: Just 49,615 Democrats voted, total, in the 2012 Senate primary.

#DESen
The defining Democratic voting trend of the Trump era is a surge of suburban liberals and moderates, the people who turned out for presidential elections before but ignored primaries. More than any Senate primary, I think the MI presidential primary demonstrated what this means. ImageImage
A few folks (like @ryangrim) wrote about this; in 2018, Kerri Harris beat her "win number." The problem was that the campaign under-rated the number of suburban moderates who'd been activated by Trump and would rush to save Carper. And Coons found 10s of thousands more.
Read 3 tweets
How much does Coons win his primary by? #DESen
I say he gets more than 60% of the vote
Gonna be even bolder and say he wins by more than Carper did in 2018
Read 4 tweets
Delaware holds the last House and Senate primary elections today prior Election Day. Louisiana is the last state to hold primaries for the year on November 3rd.
Senator Chris Coons,who won Nov 2010 special election to serve out rest of Joe Biden’s term after becoming VP,is being challenged in Democratic primary today by Jessica Scarane. GOP primary includes Jim DeMartino & Lauren Witzke. Republicans last won #DESen seat in '94,Bill Roth.
1st term Delaware At-Large Democratic Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester,who is also serving as a national co-chair to Biden's presidential campaign,will face the winner of GOP primary between Lee Murphy & Matthew Morris. Blunt Rochester 1st won election to House in 2018 w/64.5% of vote.
Read 3 tweets
Primaries aren't over until #DESen on September 15, but it's hard to see an actual setback for the left in downballot races. They either took ground or didn't, but didn't lose it. The three primary-challenged Squad members prevailed, DSA candidates picked up seats in NY, etc.
If people want to compare the left to the Tea Party, Justice Democrats have already replaced five incumbents in two years. The attempt to roll them back, which resembled the successful 2014 Chamber of Commerce effort to stop more conservative Rs from winning, hasn't worked.
So, yes, the Trump ads about the rising left are right - they just miss the mark when they insist Joe Biden's part of this. If Biden wins the left is going to be organizing mostly against him.
Read 3 tweets

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