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1. I remember the Cuban missile crisis. We had moved back to Mass and lived in between two US Airforce Strategic Command bases. A lot of my school mates suddenly vanished. Two and now three E-6B's showing their teeth over CONUS. IMO we should be at least at #Defcon3. 30 minutes
2. to Putin's 2:00 am drama.
3. Very bad weather over the region, including reports of hurricane force winds along the Russian bank of the Black Sea. Like D-Day and the Battle of the Bulge where air power was ineffective in the opening days of conflict. This will limit our ISR capability. 
