Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #DeltaWave
Most recents (3)
Just published in @PIDJournal - our @CincyChildrens experience using tocilizumab in children and young adults with severe acute #COVID19
journals.lww.com/pidj/Fulltext/…
journals.lww.com/pidj/Fulltext/…
We report 16 patients treated with tocilizumab, all in PICU with @NIHCOVIDTxGuide OS6 or higher, most with risk factors and all unvaccinated (most #deltawave). 2 died and 2 had prolonged hospitalizations.
Patients who were discharged by day 28 were more likely to be treated with tocilizumab earlier in their COVID-19 illness and earlier in PICU stay (generally within 24h of escalation). Those w better outcomes also trended to lower ferritin and IL-6 but had similar CRP.
Researchers are confident that majority unvaxxed pop likely to be infected this fall/winter, esp in unvaxxed settings with few/no NPIs (eg child care & primary school). Yesterday, @CDCofBC head was on @CBCOnTheCoast. My concerns in this 🧵 cbc.ca/listen/live-ra… #bcpoli #bced
Delta is ~2x more transmissible than original COVID. Emerging evidence also shows that it is more severe in the unvaccinated. Fully vaxxed with breakthrough infections can spread to others, but vaxxed appear to spread the virus for a shorter time. cdc.gov/coronavirus/20…
Since COVID began, BC officials have routinely stated that kids are less likely to become infected and spread to others. Just last week Health Min stated this. Until recently, @CDCofBC "COVID-19 & children" webpage stated this. Thankfully this misinformation has been removed.
AB is in the #DeltaWave
Daily cases doubling time: 9.8 days
At this rate we can expect:
5000 daily new cases on Sept 14
8000 daily new cases on Sept 21
(pls see confidence intervals on the graphs)
5-8K daily cases is when we might expect ICUs full
...
1/
Daily cases doubling time: 9.8 days
At this rate we can expect:
5000 daily new cases on Sept 14
8000 daily new cases on Sept 21
(pls see confidence intervals on the graphs)
5-8K daily cases is when we might expect ICUs full
...
1/
The link between cases and severe illness is not broken.
The ratio is different. But the correlation stays.
2/
The ratio is different. But the correlation stays.
2/
In UK, hosp:cases ratio is now reportedly 4x lower.
In Israel this ratio is now 2.5-3x lower than in the 3rd wave.
In AB our ICUs were full at 2000 daily cases.
2000 x 2.5 = 5000
2000 x 4 = 8000
Hence, we could expect to have ICUs full at around 5000-8000 daily cases.
3/
In Israel this ratio is now 2.5-3x lower than in the 3rd wave.
In AB our ICUs were full at 2000 daily cases.
2000 x 2.5 = 5000
2000 x 4 = 8000
Hence, we could expect to have ICUs full at around 5000-8000 daily cases.
3/
