Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Estate

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1/3. A thread on ballpark estimate of -1% China growth shock, IF really bad chain reactions as some China commentaries suggesting

#Evergrande Fallout LEADS To
#Real #Estate #Contraction -10% LEADS To
#China #GDP -1% LEADS to

#US and the rest of the world?
2/3. IMF paper @KamiarMohaddes etc. estimated in 2016, w. -1% China growth shock

GLOBAL growth - 0.23%.
#INDIA will be least impacted.
#ASEAN-5 countries (except Philippines), ranging between -0.23% and -0.35%
#EURO Area -0.12%
#UK -0.04%
#US -0.07%

imf.org/external/pubs/…
3/3. Caveats: written 2016. Estimates Statistical with wide band. China has further integrated with the world where it BOTH imports and exports significantly. Hope Prof. @KamiarMohaddes keep updating as it will be called up frequently next 30 years
Read 5 tweets
Apologies my Twitter friends & colleagues.

This morning I'll be tweeting out items from an online auction of household contents from the family home to raise funds to help care for my mom at home. And to clear up space so we can rent rooms to students.

maxsold.maxsold.com/auction/toront…
If you know anyone in the Toronto region-ish who might be interested in this auction, pls RT (no worries if you can't!).

And for the curious, there's a lot of insight into my brothers' and my semi-Victorian childhood in these pix. My dad was a great scrounger & collector.
We grew up in a house packed with odds & ends on every surface, and books & pictures covering every wall. It is heartbreaking to see some of this go, although we have kept some things my dad & mom loved best. One day, we'll get to the books--the hardest thing of all.
Read 317 tweets

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