Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ExponentialDecay
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1/ Q: Are cases peaking? That means it’s all downhill from here, right?
A: Sort of…. Remember that even if cases come down as quickly as they rise, there will be as many cases *after* the peak as before (think area under the curve).
dearpandemic.org/are-cases-peak…
A: Sort of…. Remember that even if cases come down as quickly as they rise, there will be as many cases *after* the peak as before (think area under the curve).
dearpandemic.org/are-cases-peak…
2/ ➡️ And if the downward slope is *slower* than the rise, we will see *more* cases during the decline from a surge. 
3/ Burning fast could be a silver lining of super transmissible #Omicron. Cases rose & fell quickly in S. Africa (w/ hospitalizations & deaths still lagging). The UK appears to have turned the Omicron corner. Many US states appear past their peak in cases, w/ regional variation:
