Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #FIE2020
Most recents (16)
"Russia Tried Again, Iran Antagonized, and China Didn’t Show: Insights and Lessons Learned on Foreign Influence in Election 2020" New post on foreign interference in election 2020, what did we learn? @FPRI #FIE2020
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1 - Some notes on this post, no surprise to anyone that lived in the U.S. this election cycle - domestic disinformation & interference outpaced foreign disinformation by many miles, it wasn't even close.
2- all of the election defense preparation made a difference against foreign influence, lots of shutdowns and cooperation between the public & private sector in #Election2020
"How Russia Divides America" The Selected Wisdom team's second episode. Today's topic is Kremlin information warfare and how to target America with propaganda and disinformation in the lead up to an election. Hint: It's not Dems vs GOP #TrustButVerify
Lots of references inform this analysis. See this entire research stream @FPRI #FIE2020 project where we show how Russia discusses the candidate, this mirrors the social media shutdowns of Kremlin troll farm activity past 5 years fpri.org/research/fie20…
Chapters 4 & 6 of Messing with the Enemy also give a long breakdown of this targeting strategy amazon.com/Messing-Enemy-…
Several aspects of the Proud Boys false incitement emails point to Iran - "FBI says Iran behind threatening emails sent to Florida Democrats" nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news… via @nbcnews
1 - was likely this was a foreign op as opposed to a domestic operation from the start, to employ stolen/hacked voter registration lists would lead to prosecution for a US domestic actor, 2 - Iran is both aggressive & sloppy, attempt things other states will not, and get caught
3 - cyber signatures for the webmail servers traced back to Saudi, an adversary of Iran, classic technique to tie up two enemies with one cyber move, Russia does this too, but, unlikely they'd move this way.
This DHS report is accurate and correct “Russia is 'amplifying' claims of mail-in voter fraud, intel bulletin warns - ABC News” abcnews.go.com/Politics/russi…
If you want to see what Russia says about mail-in ballots, @FPRI @rjchernaskey has been tracking it, links to stories included. Make your own Intel assessment fpri.org/fie/mail-in-ba…
And the pace of foreign amplification is only increasing see this @FPRI #fie2020 post fpri.org/fie/november-e…
"7 Potential Disinformation Disasters Headed into Election 2020" - our #FIE2020 team has been monitoring disinfo the last 18 months and headed into election day. No surprise on what #1 is, reinforced this morning America needs to prepare via @FPRI
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#1 is Mail-in ballot conspiracies - domestic and amplified by foreign actors. This is killing our democracy during the pandemic. Kremlin outlets are running wild with it already. fpri.org/fie/mail-in-ba…
#2 is health concerns regarding the candidates. Had to update this morning as seen by 'Stroke' trending on Twitter, and Herman Cain sadly passing away. Devastating lines of disinfo during the pandemic.
New from me this morning @FPRI "Election 2020: Russia Cares, China Doesn't" - 1 year into #FIE2020 project I offer an updated assessment on what we've observed regarding foreign interference headed into November.
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Some notes on Russia influence - Election 2020 - The Kremlin’s influence is still there, but they are being drown out by U.S. domestic chaos & homemade disinformation. 2 things they can still do: hacking and subversion.
For China - Why worry about election 2020 when you can have the world? A divided America makes for a strong China. Have no political bridge into america, advancing aggressively, globally & will be big info war challenge for 2021 & beyond
New from @FPRI #FIE2020 Our March 2020, update #3 "Russia's Media Mentions of 2020 Presidential Candidates" by @rjchernaskey - Hard negative Biden remains, but interesting downturn on Trump as well since we started tallies in November. fpri.org/fie/russia-med…
About a 5% down tick for Trump out of Russia overt news since November 2019. 5% may not seem like much, but when President Trump gets more mentions than nearly all of the Dem field, that's a sizable shift, Here's last November fpri.org/wp-content/upl…
Now that the presidential race has shifted to two candidates, the #FIE2020 will focus on some new project areas for election integrity and 2020. More to follow....
“Trump or Sanders?: Who does Russia Want to be President?” My new post @FPRI #FIE2020 team analysis based on news reports of Russia liking Trump and helping Sanders fpri.org/fie/trump-sand… via @FPRI
As discussed in article, 4 narratives to Kremlin influence during this phase- 1. Elevate preferred candidate 2. Denigrate viable challengers to Russia & preferred candidate 3. Split the opposition pitting populists vs establishment 4. Support fringe candidates to suppress turnout
With that formula in mind, Kremlin strategy is straightforward. Elevate a Trump, Attack Biden and now Bloomberg, Elevate Sanders with narrative of DNC rigging it (Same plan, different election)
This should not be a surprise to anyone, is consistent with their enduring strategy & mirrors the analysis of @FPRI #FIE2020 team “Bernie Sanders briefed by U.S. officials that Russia is trying to help his presidential campaign” washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
As discussed last year @thedailybeast - Kremlin strategy 2020 appears to be what the intel community has been briefing to Capitol Hill, White House & campaigns - Secure the vase, split the opposition thedailybeast.com/the-kremlins-s…
“Secure the base”
New from @rjchernaskey & #FIE2020, what does the Kremlin think about the Iowa caucus 2020? They love the mess, but not really Mayor Pete. “Russian State-Sponsored Media on the Iowa Caucuses”
fpri.org/fie/russian-me… via @FPRI
fpri.org/fie/russian-me… via @FPRI
For those searching out foreign trolls in social media Election 2020, well, there’s like too many trolls to dissect in 2020, but if I were searching (I am not at this moment) I’d recommend starting with #CIAPete and working out from there. #FIE2020
will be lots people tweeting hashtag, but as I noted 1st installment of @FPRI #FIE2020 project, read what Kremlin pushes out, then separate out what they say that US audience doesn’t, or what Kremlin says but doesn’t make sense in US context - then dig! fpri.org/fie/what-is-fi…
I think I'm going to hold off for now.
Apparently LinkedIn determined from my resume that I’m qualified to be a federal law enforcement officer - so I’ve got that going for me
That said, I worry about the next generation wanting to serve in government. We need great Americans serving our country, and this era of institutional degradation will end some day. Young people, keep applying and #HoldTheLine - our country needs you.
New @FPRI #FIE2020 analysis from @rjchernaskey & I - Iran's discussions of the 2020 presidential election. We discuss how they converge & diverge with Russia state-sponsored media. No surprise who they don't like! fpri.org/fie/iran-menti…
@FPRI @rjchernaskey Iran's coverage, tactics and influence operations are more overt, more aggressive, focus more directly on their long run foreign policy goals vis-a-vis the U.S. #FIE2020
@FPRI @rjchernaskey Strand to watch with regards to Iranian influence in coming week - how they message about John Bolton. Denigrating Bolton been focus negative coverage Trump admin by Tehran. Now will they twist toward Bolton?presstv.com/Detail/2020/01…
Allegations Burisma being targeted by Russia not surprising. Hack & release of Kompromat strategy similar Kremlin 2016, but their decision cycle is different. In 2016, Kremlin hacked to create a narrative, in 2020, Kremlin will hack to confirm a narrative. fpri.org/fie/russia-hac…
Biden is the right side of the #FIE2020 chart, most of the rest of the Democratic field is the left side of the chart.
The Kremlin has telegraphed their interests in Biden-Burisma for 9 months, even before Biden officially entered the presidential race, they quickly levered the Hill article and then added other sources since rt.com/usa/455354-bid…
No surprise. To be expected. As discussed with our #FIE2020 - Russia hacking probability vis-a-vis Biden. #1 Ukraine-Burisma-Hunter Biden #2 Biden health nytimes.com/2020/01/13/us/…
Russia’s decision of who and when to hack (Biden - top priority) can be measured and mitigated, based on the frequencies & narratives Kremlin discusses. Here’s an estimate of their hacking decision - 29 Dec ‘19 fpri.org/fie/russia-hac…
Look at the right side of the chart, Russia & others will pursue “Upstream Hacking” - targets that when compromised confirm an existing narrative against a Kremlin adversary. Don’t search for Kompromat, confirm an existing Avenue
.@FPRI #FIE2020 project released it's 2nd piece of analysis examining 1,887 Russian state sponsored news articles and 1,685 mentions of President Trump. Follow @FPRI for updates over the next year. fpri.org/fie/russia-pre…
Today is launch day @FPRI - Foreign Influence Election 2020 #FIE2020 Over next year, we will be tracking what Russia, Iran and China say about presidential candidates & Election 2020. Here's our first look - Russia's Media Mentions of Democratic Candidates
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Here’s another look at what @FPRI and the #FIE2020 team found having read 1,711 RT and Sputnik News articles regarding Election 2020 and the candidates. fpri.org/fie/russia-med…
