Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #FIE2020

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New from @FPRI #FIE2020 Our March 2020, update #3 "Russia's Media Mentions of 2020 Presidential Candidates" by @rjchernaskey - Hard negative Biden remains, but interesting downturn on Trump as well since we started tallies in November. fpri.org/fie/russia-med…
About a 5% down tick for Trump out of Russia overt news since November 2019. 5% may not seem like much, but when President Trump gets more mentions than nearly all of the Dem field, that's a sizable shift, Here's last November fpri.org/wp-content/upl…
Now that the presidential race has shifted to two candidates, the #FIE2020 will focus on some new project areas for election integrity and 2020. More to follow....
Read 3 tweets
“Trump or Sanders?: Who does Russia Want to be President?” My new post @FPRI #FIE2020 team analysis based on news reports of Russia liking Trump and helping Sanders fpri.org/fie/trump-sand… via @FPRI
As discussed in article, 4 narratives to Kremlin influence during this phase- 1. Elevate preferred candidate 2. Denigrate viable challengers to Russia & preferred candidate 3. Split the opposition pitting populists vs establishment 4. Support fringe candidates to suppress turnout
With that formula in mind, Kremlin strategy is straightforward. Elevate a Trump, Attack Biden and now Bloomberg, Elevate Sanders with narrative of DNC rigging it (Same plan, different election)
Read 6 tweets
This should not be a surprise to anyone, is consistent with their enduring strategy & mirrors the analysis of ⁦@FPRI#FIE2020 team “Bernie Sanders briefed by U.S. officials that Russia is trying to help his presidential campaign” washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
As discussed last year @thedailybeast - Kremlin strategy 2020 appears to be what the intel community has been briefing to Capitol Hill, White House & campaigns - Secure the vase, split the opposition thedailybeast.com/the-kremlins-s…
“Secure the base”
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New from @rjchernaskey & #FIE2020, what does the Kremlin think about the Iowa caucus 2020? They love the mess, but not really Mayor Pete. “Russian State-Sponsored Media on the Iowa Caucuses”
fpri.org/fie/russian-me… via @FPRI
For those searching out foreign trolls in social media Election 2020, well, there’s like too many trolls to dissect in 2020, but if I were searching (I am not at this moment) I’d recommend starting with #CIAPete and working out from there. #FIE2020
will be lots people tweeting hashtag, but as I noted 1st installment of @FPRI #FIE2020 project, read what Kremlin pushes out, then separate out what they say that US audience doesn’t, or what Kremlin says but doesn’t make sense in US context - then dig! fpri.org/fie/what-is-fi…
Read 3 tweets
I think I'm going to hold off for now.
Apparently LinkedIn determined from my resume that I’m qualified to be a federal law enforcement officer - so I’ve got that going for me
That said, I worry about the next generation wanting to serve in government. We need great Americans serving our country, and this era of institutional degradation will end some day. Young people, keep applying and #HoldTheLine - our country needs you.
Read 4 tweets
New @FPRI #FIE2020 analysis from @rjchernaskey & I - Iran's discussions of the 2020 presidential election. We discuss how they converge & diverge with Russia state-sponsored media. No surprise who they don't like! fpri.org/fie/iran-menti…
@FPRI @rjchernaskey Iran's coverage, tactics and influence operations are more overt, more aggressive, focus more directly on their long run foreign policy goals vis-a-vis the U.S. #FIE2020
@FPRI @rjchernaskey Strand to watch with regards to Iranian influence in coming week - how they message about John Bolton. Denigrating Bolton been focus negative coverage Trump admin by Tehran. Now will they twist toward Bolton?presstv.com/Detail/2020/01…
Read 3 tweets
Allegations Burisma being targeted by Russia not surprising. Hack & release of Kompromat strategy similar Kremlin 2016, but their decision cycle is different. In 2016, Kremlin hacked to create a narrative, in 2020, Kremlin will hack to confirm a narrative. fpri.org/fie/russia-hac…
Biden is the right side of the #FIE2020 chart, most of the rest of the Democratic field is the left side of the chart.
The Kremlin has telegraphed their interests in Biden-Burisma for 9 months, even before Biden officially entered the presidential race, they quickly levered the Hill article and then added other sources since rt.com/usa/455354-bid…
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No surprise. To be expected. As discussed with our #FIE2020 - Russia hacking probability vis-a-vis Biden. #1 Ukraine-Burisma-Hunter Biden #2 Biden health nytimes.com/2020/01/13/us/…
Russia’s decision of who and when to hack (Biden - top priority) can be measured and mitigated, based on the frequencies & narratives Kremlin discusses. Here’s an estimate of their hacking decision - 29 Dec ‘19 fpri.org/fie/russia-hac…
Look at the right side of the chart, Russia & others will pursue “Upstream Hacking” - targets that when compromised confirm an existing narrative against a Kremlin adversary. Don’t search for Kompromat, confirm an existing Avenue
Read 6 tweets
.@FPRI #FIE2020 project released it's 2nd piece of analysis examining 1,887 Russian state sponsored news articles and 1,685 mentions of President Trump. Follow @FPRI for updates over the next year. fpri.org/fie/russia-pre…
@FPRI President Trump's mentions differ slightly between the two news outlets observed. Russian mentions also follow along 2 tracks with regards to President Trump. Candidate Trump receives more favorable mentions, but Trump as head-of-state receives more negative mentions #FIE2020
@FPRI As candidate in Election 2020, Russia supports the President's attacks on Russia investigation, impeachment, big tech & most Democratic candidates. As President, negative mentions come in foreign policy discussions regarding Syria, Iran, China, Venezuela, etc. #FIE2020
Read 3 tweets
Today is launch day @FPRI - Foreign Influence Election 2020 #FIE2020 Over next year, we will be tracking what Russia, Iran and China say about presidential candidates & Election 2020. Here's our first look - Russia's Media Mentions of Democratic Candidates
fpri.org/fie/russia-med…
Here’s another look at what @FPRI and the #FIE2020 team found having read 1,711 RT and Sputnik News articles regarding Election 2020 and the candidates. fpri.org/fie/russia-med…
For more on @FPRI #FIE2020 project see the launch announcement here: fpri.org/fie/what-is-fi…
Read 20 tweets

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