Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #FlattenedTheCurve

Most recents (9)

#DailyUpdate #Covid19India
Total cases continue to rise; growth rate of ACTIVE cases = 4.6% - so doubling in 15 days.
1) Total cases growing at 5.3% - doubling in 13 days.
2) Active cases growing at 4.6% - doubling in 15 days.
7 Day Moving averages:
1) Daily cases
2) daily deaths
Read 14 tweets
#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Total cases in India is 95,698. The growth rate of ACTIVE cases = 3% - so doubling in 23 days.
Total cases are doubling in 14 days. Total cases, total deaths and growth rates - according to different data sources. @WHO @ECDC_EU @JHUSystems
The CGDR = 11.2%
Read 17 tweets
#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Total cases are 90,648 and the rate of growth of ACTIVE cases = 3.1% - so doubling in 23 days. This implies that the recoveries are growing fast. Press on India!
Total COVID cases, total COVID-related deaths and the growth rate of total cases - according to different data sources. All show growth rate of 4.9% - so doubling in 14 days. @WHO @ECDC_EU @JHUSystems
The CGDR of total cases = 11.26%
Read 16 tweets
#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
The Confirmed cases have risen sharply. Active cases are now growing at 6.4% - so doubling every 11 days.
The 7Day moving average for Daily confirmed cases and Daily deaths : both see sharp increase.
States contributing to overall rise in New Confirmed cases:
1) MH: exponential growth, clearly the {containment + contact tracing + testing} strategy ineffective.
2) DL & GJ: new cases growing with fluctuations.
Migrants returning to eastern states MUST be screened thoroughly.
Read 13 tweets
#DailyUpdate #COVID19India
Total confirmed cases growing, Active cases growing at 4.8% - so doubling every 15 days.
Total confirmed cases growing at the doubling rate of 12 days - consistent across different data sources.
7Day moving average of Daily confirmed cases and Daily deaths in India.
Read 12 tweets
OK I would like to make couple points on remdesivir treatment for #COVID19

Thread

First For context please read this piece summarizing the remdesivir trials

nature.com/articles/d4158…
1/ The US trial shows Remdesivir improves time to recovery from 14 days to 11 day & may reduce mortality whereas the Chinese trial (underpowered) shows no benefit. In my view Remdesivir may improve patients outcomes but clearly not the silver bullet or knockout effect as expected
2/ While we need more drugs to combat the infection, I really can't see a silver bullet drug coming through for #COVID19. It will be series of drugs with more or less effects on #SARS_CoV2 but expecting the miracle drug as AZT was for HIV is way overstated in my view.
Read 6 tweets
#DailyUpdate #Covid19India
As total Confirmed cases grow in India, Active cases are growing at 6.8% - so doubling every 10 days.
The Compound Daily Growth Rate is 12.84% ...and falling. Good.
1) 5Day Moving Median of New Confirmed cases.
2) 5Day Moving Median of Daily COVID deaths.
3) #NewGraph Long term trend - 7Day Moving Average: the trend and deviations.
Read 10 tweets
A short update on #COVID19 in Australia. Well we well and truly #FlattenedTheCuve with today only 17 detected cases in Australia (6623), 4268 recovered and 71 death, & 555 community cases. This is a great news #SocialDistancing works ! However we still need to be vigilant.
States all #FlattenedtheCurve with no detected case today in QLD, SA, WA & NT. TAS is a worry due to the outbreak in the NW (+5 today & + 20 cases in 4 days) Hope this will slow down. Community cases stable and no real increase. Most cases are from known contacts -> traceable
Testing capability seriously increased last few days with > 10 K a day with a daily positive rate of 0.2% following recent relaxation testing criteria => no widespread community cases in australia, all in cluster => traceable & controllable

total >431,000 => pos rate 1.5%
Read 4 tweets
#DailyUpdate #Covid19India
Confirmed cases growing; growth of Active cases at 7.3% - so cases doubling every 10 days.
1) The 5Day Moving Median of New Confirmed cases sees a big jump.
2) The 5Day Moving Median of daily deaths.
The CDGR remained same as yesterday.
Read 10 tweets

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