Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #FlattingTheCurve
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1/ #FlattingTheCurve with #COVID19 working?!?
Worldwide rate of change rolling average in days (excluding China):
28 => 1.156
14 => 1.139
7 => 1.119
3 => 1.1
While just a snapshot, this may be very encouraging news with regard to the current trends at a very top level view.
Worldwide rate of change rolling average in days (excluding China):
28 => 1.156
14 => 1.139
7 => 1.119
3 => 1.1
While just a snapshot, this may be very encouraging news with regard to the current trends at a very top level view.
2/ As this rate of change drops -- the time it takes to double total cases *increases*. This is extremely important to understand.
This gives vital time to leaders, manufacturers, and healthcare professionals to mitigate as much as they can...
This gives vital time to leaders, manufacturers, and healthcare professionals to mitigate as much as they can...
3/ But more importantly, we're on the right track for more substantial impact.
We want the rate of change to get below 1.0 as soon as possible. At that point, total cases will be dropping, not rising.
We want the rate of change to get below 1.0 as soon as possible. At that point, total cases will be dropping, not rising.
