Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Foresight

Most recents (9)

I foresee more stimulus and direct payments coming soon. I foresee digital payments only soon. I foresee a digital dollar soon. I foresee a cashless society soon. I see Universal Basic Income in the future and right now.
In the end bitcoin is the beast that will take us there.
Cash once gone all the mobsters and gangsters will have to move the cash. Into bitcoin the stock markets will have to move into crypto. Everything is set for the real reason of the pandemic a cashless society.
And a surveilled society now they got technology to scan your I.D.
Your identity even if you have a mask on. So no cash and no way to conceal identity. All grocery stores are privately owned. Soon the world we know will not be. The virtual digital world is ramping up and 2020 was the prelude to the grand reset of cashless to digital money.
Read 5 tweets
As if it couldn't get any wilder at the Wayne County board of canvassers:The republican members are now seeking to rescind certification, despite the fact that the motion officially passed, certification papers were signed, & records were sent to secretary of state this AM
While, Palmer and Hartmann have signed affidavits seeking to revoke their certification, Vice Chair Kinloch assures me the deal is already done. Lawsuits withstanding, as election lawyers have explained to me, the deadline is also a hard stop, and the deadline was yesterday.
What people likely missed on Tuesday night, after Wayne County canvassers voted to certify, Kinloch into'd a 2nd motion waving reconsideration, meaning the board wouldn't be able to revisit, explicitly because he suspected the Republicans wld come under pressure today #Foresight
Read 11 tweets
Interesting study on #transport #foresight connecting with #energy and #climate #governance. Some points and comments (thread)
First of all, 👏👏👏 for discussing transport from the perspective of #foreignpolicy and #governance, which is a rarity in this field dominated by engineering!
The study notes global transport sector emits now 8 Gt of C02, but if we want to reach 2°C target, emissions should be reduced to 4.7 Gt and 2Gt for 1.5°C. Big challenge as under current trends we are approaching 12 Gt by 2050.
Read 13 tweets
My first 2 months at @EU_ScienceHub have been fascinating. I’ve begun to explore a rich tradition of scientific excellence spanning nearly 60 years.

Here are some of the things I have discovered so far ⬇️

THREAD
The core mission of @EU_ScienceHub is to provide science and facts to underpin EU policymaking.



/2
Our researchers work to support EU policymaking, from conception and design to implementation and monitoring. We have 6 different sites:

🇧🇪Brussels
🇧🇪Geel
🇮🇹Ispra
🇩🇪Karlsruhe
🇳🇱Petten
🇪🇸Seville

ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/about/j…

/3 Image
Read 22 tweets
This thread is about understanding Lebanon’s #budget in few questions.
Another thread will explain #Citizen_Budget 2020.
@OpenBudgets 👇
What is the #Budget?
Article 3 of the "Public Accounting Law" defines #budget as “a legislative instrument in which national #revenues & #expenditures are estimated for the upcoming year & by which #tax collection & spending are allowed”.
State #budgets have evolved to become a tool of #foresight, #planning and #accountability based on programs and #performance assessments.
bit.ly/2JKN0LV
Read 13 tweets
So… some personal news.

After almost four and a half happy years running the European Commission’s Directorate-General for #taxation and #customs, I’ll be moving on to new pastures on 1 May.

Before I go, here are some reflections on the past few years. THREAD (a long one!)
Honestly, it’s been a blast. I’ve had the privilege of leading a truly great team of people in @EU_Taxud. Great expertise, highly committed professionals, and a real family atmosphere, too. A million thanks, #teamTAXUD /2
We have worked very hard on getting the #content right - delivering real progress on both #tax and #customs policy. And on delivering great #digital solutions, too. /3
Read 26 tweets
Whole lot of hot takes out there around #COVID19, foresight, and the #BlackSwan concept | Dear readers, I present to you...the hottest of hot takes: #coronavirus both "is and is not" a black swan, & this is the most reasonable, rigorous, & responsible view
But first, yes...foresight actually works! And not because it can help you "predict" the future, but precisely because it can help you understand complex phenomena and, at best, spot "emerging issues." See: &
And, the folks at @CSIS struck gold: csis.org/analysis/we-pr… Unfortunate use of the word "predict," which literally means "say before" & should be banished from the vocabulary of all futurists. Great stuff from @BryanAlexander here: bryanalexander.org/futures/antici…
Read 22 tweets
A key purpose of futures practice is to invest thought in possible contingencies, so that when something unexpected suddenly happens you are better prepared.

COVID-19 is a vivid illustration of both the importance and the limits of foresight. Let me tell you a story.

<thread>
This story is about how the first serious game funded by the CDC came about –– a near-future pandemic simulation, back in 2009 –– and how it was overtaken by real events. And what we learned from that. /2
In 2007, my colleague @dunagan23 (now at @iftf) and I were both grads in the futures program at the Uni of Hawaii at Manoa. We had already designed and run immersive scenarios (set in the year 2050) to engage lawmakers and public in the state’s sustainability planning process. /3
Read 42 tweets
Okay, I picked out the invalid assumption before the paragraph, "It's noticeably bigger."
See if you can! :) #foresight #futurist
The answer is, of course, the assumption of stationarity.
Stationarily means, in this context, that rates don't change over time.
Under the model of stationarity, the odds per year of a violent revolution in the 1800s is identical to the odds this year.
Of course, this isn't likely true. For instance, if you take the years 1750 to 1850 as the reference period, the probability of a violent revolution is 2% per year.
In the next century, it's 0% per year.
In the next century, it's (so far) 0% per year.
Read 10 tweets

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