Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #GASenate

Most recents (7)

I posted a long thread about this yesterday but here again is my analysis of the possible impact of the #GOPCovidDeathCult on House races: 1/

acasignups.net/22/11/12/eleph…
In short, there’s really only a dozen races where the GOP candidate *might* end up losing by less than the #GOPCovidDeathCult margin, which ranges from 0 - 600 votes in these 20 races (some of which have already been called since yesterday). 2/
I estimate that perhaps ~150K more Trump voters died of COVID than Biden voters between the 2020 & 2022 elections nationally. That’s a lot of people, but it’s tiny vs the ~112M who voted in the midterms, and most of these deaths happened in solid red/blue districts anyway. 3/
Read 8 tweets
📣📣 A few days ago I posted my analysis of whether the GOP's COVID Death Cult 💀 is likely to be the decisive factor in any *statewide* races. My conclusion was that #NVSenate is the most likely candidate for this (& potentially #AZGov, #AZAG & the upcoming #GASenate Runoff). 1/
I estimate that *if* CCM ends up winning the #NVSenate race by less than ~2,400 votes, there's a very strong argument to be made that the GOP COVID Death Cult is what made the difference.

The same applies if Dems win #AZGov or #AZAG by less than ~4,100 votes. 2/
In the case of #GASenate, if Raphael Warnock ends up winning the upcoming runoff election by less than ~5,700 votes, I would also put it in this category.

TODAY, as promised, I'm looking at this question for HOUSE races, which are a lot trickier to do due to district borders. 3/
Read 13 tweets
🗳Atten. All Dems., GenZ, Millennials, & Independents!
We need to #ExpandTheSenate & Protect what seats we have & there's work to do before Nov. 8. I will be adding info on Seats we are needing to support so U may want to bookmark😉

#ONEV1 #DemVoice1 #ResistanceUnited
💫AZ, you must make sure @SenMarkKelly keeps his seat in Nov. His opponent is a ChristoFascist & against everything Democracy stands for. He has also done great things for your state & listens to your needs. Stand with Capt. Kelly. He stands for you.
#OneV1 #Dems4USA #DemVoice1
⚡️Hey Ohio, @TimRyan fights for Women, Seniors, & the working man. He fights for your rights & Democracy. Fight for him by making him your next Senator on November 8th.
#ExpandTheSenate
#ONEV1 #ResistanceUnited #Dems4USA
Read 16 tweets
If Democrats win both seats tonight, Trump will deserve some credit. Any Democratic voter who voted in Nov sure to show up again. But Trump's mixed message and tantrums must have kept away a non trivial number of maga voters from November. #GAsenate
And right on cue Kornacki says that north Georgia, republican stronghold, has seen turnout fall 23% relative to November. Whereas turnout in blue counties is higher!
Early numbers and the map are looking way better for Democrats than the polls suggested. Early night yet of course. I'm still not expecting either race to be "called" tonight. But if data keep looking like this, keep an eye on the Fox decision desk. #GAsenate
Read 8 tweets
25.01/ Thread for week twenty-five, Jan. 2 to Jan. 8, 2021, begins here.

Week 24 thread was here:
25.02/ We've been blaming 2020 for our troubles, but maybe it's b/c it was the Year of the Rat? Acc. to chinesenewyear.net/zodiac/rat/ "In Chinese culture, rats were seen as a sign of wealth and surplus" and if that doesn't describe 2020, what does? (P.S. I was born in a ratty year)
25.03/ This is about the can-opener guy and, yes, he's abusive but strangely proud of it showing us that the AITA topics are possibly not as made up as we assumed.

I pray that when DJT is deposed & disposed these people will feel stigma again.
Read 85 tweets
Here is a list of all of the Republican members of the US Senate who won their last election by less than five points:

Roy Blunt (MO)
Ted Cruz (TX)
Ron Johnson (WI)
Rick Scott (FL)
Thom Tillis (NC)
Pat Toomey (PA)

Notice a pattern. ImageImageImageImage
1) Republican Senator who is either not particularly popular or who can’t make a good case for their continuation in office comes up for election.

2) Republican voters who may not particularly like them vote for them anyway “because of conservative values.”
3) Republican Senate wins another term. And continues to do ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to either advance conservative values or even to protect the US Constitution. But they’ve got six more years to act a fool knowing that they have no accountability for years to come.
Read 10 tweets
I’m happy to report the string of 4,736 radio ads I’ve heard in the #GASenate runoff has been broken!!

I’m sad to report the ad which did it was a “we can fix your broken kid” ad by #AutismSpeaks.

Give autistic people 1% of their bloated budget & watch the world change. 💯
I’m serious. Give autistic adults 1% of the budget of any big autism group and things would be SO MUCH BETTER for parents, kids, and us.

I’ve repeatedly said that to neurotypical people, but to quote Georgia native André 3000 “Y’all don’t want to hear me, you just wanna dance.”
It seems that every week I’m contacted by someone I know who has someone in their life who is a parent of a newly diagnosed autistic kid.

I spend SO MUCH TIME filling in the gaps that autism groups don’t fill-in because they EXCLUDE autistic people from their leadership...
Read 9 tweets

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