Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #GE17

Most recents (15)

The morning after the dinner before

If you'd like a very simple take-away of why this has gone belly-up (and bellies were much in focus last night), then focus on trust

1/ Image
The root cause of the major problems in these negotiations has been that neither side trusts the other all that much

The UK political debate has long been coloured by the suspicion that there is some nefarious agenda behind European integration, aided by a more general distrust of grand visions

Read 11 tweets
Seems that the latest #BashCorbyn frenzy is 'why doesn't he apologise?'


I want an apology from every member of the 2016 'Chicken Coup'.

I want an apology for all those members expelled for spurious reasons during the 2016 leadership election. 1/4
I want an apology from every LAB MP/'grand olde' spokes(wo)man who ever insulted a member.

I want an apology from every MP/party member who has ever told a lie about Jeremy Corbyn.

I want an apology from every MP/LPC/Councillor who didn't get fully behind the... 2/4
.... #GE17 or #GE19 Manifestos.

I want an apology from everyone who has pushed in the last two years for LAB to be a/the 'Remain' Party (I voted Remain).

I want an apology from every MP who credits only themselves for wins and blames only Corbyn for losses. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
My #GE2019 poll tracker is now up to date on my blog here

As before, I've compared latest polls to election results from GE74 to #GE17 & broken the data down by region, #GE2017, #Brexit & class.

Full details in the blog but here are the key pts. /1
#ConservativeParty are back to #GE2017 levels in all regions. Votes are being redistributed from remainers to leavers and the key to a majority is the efficiency of this transfer. /2
#Labour are around 10 pts behind where they were in #GE2017. Can they repeat the comeback of GE17 again? The key is reclaiming the defectors to the #LibDems and they have been doing that but they are leaking to the #Tories as well. /3
Read 6 tweets
I've written about #Brexit since 2015 #FBPE, mostly in threads to go deeper than Twitter otherwise allows.

Typically I give a pic summary, with a thread of evidence. Trust nothing without source material. Use, bookmark or share what I do - it's made for you.

Let's #StopBrexit.
The main Tread runs continuously, off links are topics.

Thread 1. "Opposing The Brexits is a Democratic Obligation".

The original 2016 Brexit is lost. And with it any democratic consent. #StoptheCoup is accurate. It is a Coup.

Thread 2. "A Return to the EEC"

So could there have been a compromise between #Remain and #Leave that left the UK better off?

This thread was the culmination of about a year's work to find one.

Not easy. Not perfect. But far far better than Boris.

Read 10 tweets
On this special day, let's consider time

How quickly could we have 'got Brexit done' and how quickly are we getting it done?


@UKandEU In theory, we could have been done with withdrawal a long time ago. Art.50 gives 2 yrs, but sooner was possible.

If you took the actual period of active negotiations (June 17-Nov 18) and stuck on 3 mths for ratification, then with immediate notification, I reckon Feb 2018

@UKandEU Of course, that didn't happen. As the graphic shows, all the delay was due to UK events.

Biggest delay (to date) was the non-notification under Art.50

Read 6 tweets
In view of #DeniedMyVote in #EU19 this article demonstrating that the problem has been brewing for some time is a must read.

The system is creaking at the seams.

It has been long known that updating & maintaining an accurate register is the biggest issue…
2/. There are may be problems in electoral administration in the UK, but impersonation fraud is not one of them.

Electoral Commission data show that, while there were 266 allegations of electoral fraud in the 2018 local elections, there had been only 1 conviction and 2 cautions
3/. – and none for impersonating another voter.

That from a register of c 21.5 million people.
Read 8 tweets
Some live-tweeting of this #2yrsArticle50 panel on the Art.50 negotiations
.@JenniferMerode notes that there's no-one from the UK gvt, but hopes that if there's someone in the audience, they can stick up their hands in the Q&A
.@StefaanDeRynck opens with some comments on process to date
Read 29 tweets
More Old Bailey Sophistry from Codpiece Cox admitting that in order that today's vote is NOT an attempt to repeat #MV2 (to comply with Speaker Bercow's re-iteration of 1604 convention) it is also NOT a #MV in sense of #EUWA18 Section 13.1.b

#BBCpc #EUWAdebate #VictoriaLIVE #LBC
Attempt by Codpiece Cox to scare House into voting in a #MeaninglessVote for #WA (only) solely to secure the offered (actually only technical) extension of #BrexitDay from Apr 12 to May 22 sans guarantee of any other extension. Sophistry.

#BBCpc #EUWAdebate #VictoriaLIVE #LBC
Of course, if the House falls for Codpiece Cox's scare tactics, none of this will figure in future utterances by #TheresaMay's #Brexihadis - the headlines will scream 'Parliament approves #Brexit arrangements' (sans qualification or caveat).

#BBCpc #EUWAdebate
#VictoriaLIVE #LBC
Read 29 tweets
that Theresa May EUCO track record in full:

Ahead of this week's trip to Brussels, let's recall how previous meetings with the other Heads of Gvt/State of the EU27 have gone

First one post-election to PM was Oct 2016.

A v.brief opportunity to set out plans, w/o much impact…

Read 25 tweets
Switched on Parl TV.

@sarahwollaston on cracking form. She came back as quick as a tack reminding @timloughton that he appears to have difficulty in identifying who is the patient, he having suggested that when it came to informed consent that the EU was the patient.
2/ @JustineGreening and @YvetteCooperMP are both right about how the public view many of the speeches and the appalling braying that they seem to think is OK.

Despair. Disgust. Losing the will to live maybe suggests a state of mind far more supine than mine

Contempt is closer
3/. An entirely out of order SIR John Hayes had a poke at the “Remain élite” and including DR Sarah Wollaston (from a humble background) in that category for suggesting a #PV...he trying to pretend that he is not part of the very élite that has driven this.
Read 15 tweets
While we kick up our heels, waiting for stuff to come out of the Tunnel, here's a thought or two on the basic dynamic of Art.50:

The underlying issue in this negotiation has been that the party who triggered it - the UK - did so without a firm plan and strategic intention in place, and has continued to fail to create such a plan or intention

To be more precise, there was a decision in #EUref to leave the EU, but no consensus about why that decision was taken

Read 16 tweets
This was always going to be the issue with another referendum: fundamental disagreement about explicit and implicit purpose of the exercise

Part of success of #PeoplesVote agt was saying that it was about democracy/legitimacy of the outcome

Fine, but subtext of reopening #EUref was always going to be there

Thus two different things:

- getting buy-in to terms of WA/PD
- getting revocation back on the table

Two rather different audiences, and requiring two different sets of Qs in vote, so unavoidable unwinding

Read 7 tweets
So, another odd day for Brexit (and not over yet). Chance has meant being away from cutting edge takes, so let's see how it looks from a (small) distance:

Exits of Davis and Johnson don't intrinsically change UK position in Art.50. Chequers is still in place, White Paper still in final prep for Thurs, plus shift of negotiations to No.10 means there's still much momentum in system

If matters stop here, then EU will work on 'as normal' basis, albeit with a new face popping up in BRX from time to time

Read 10 tweets
Let's think about the Brexit impact of Windrush/Rudd:

(to be clear, this isn't the most important aspect of it all, but Rudd's resignation does make for more of a connection)

Let's start w Rudd herself.

Her resignation causes assorted Brexit headaches for May/CONs

Read 19 tweets
Some notes from @whatukthinks speech at #BrexitPolling, despite his summary containing most of it:
Ppl a bit more economically pessimistic than post #EUref and some more concern, but not huge shifts
However, bigger shifts on quality of final deal, esp post #GE17, w falls in confidence
Read 15 tweets

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