Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #GermanTankProblem
Most recents (1)
OK, #stats story time again. I've promised @RrrichardZach a thread about the #GermanTankProblem. So imagine it's 1943. You, a statistician for the Allies, would really like to have some idea of how many tanks are rolling off German assembly lines each month. 1/10
The intelligence community is making their own estimates, but you're using information from the serial numbers of various tank parts, mainly the gearboxes and the wheels. 2/10
Here's a simplified version of your problem: suppose your troops have captured tanks with gearboxes with the following serial numbers: 12, 71, 47, 112, 34, 45, 88, and 103. How many tanks would you guess have been produced? Clearly, at least 112... 3/10
