Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #GreatPowerCompetition

Most recents (4)

Processing the @ForeignAffairs expert survey on unipolarity/multipolarity in various ways today, including thru a #greatpowercompetition lens. (🧵)

In our attempt to define GPC, Tudor Onea & I reject the idea that GPC does not exist in unipolarity...
doi.org/10.1093/acrefo…
...because a single great power can become preeminent while other GPs continue to exist and maintain their rank. A. F. K. Organski's stylized "power pyramid" diagram reflects this notion that a dominant power can head up an order that includes several GPs. A stylized diagram featurin...
In other words, just because there is one extraordinarily powerful country for a time doesn't mean that there are no other great powers. For this reason we would respectfully disagree with a take like Jakub Grygiel's: Jakub Grygiel, Professor at...
Read 15 tweets
#Read this new #Report while there’s still time to act!

bakerinstitute.org/research/us-ch…

“US-#China Competition Enters the Decade of Max Danger: #Policy Ideas to Avoid Losing the 2020s”

My latest with Gabe Collins @BakerInstitute!

@RiceUniversity
@RiceUNews
@CES_Baker_Inst
#Xi
#Taiwan
As #PRC/#CCP power peaks over this decade, #Xi may seek #Taiwan as historic prize.

To protect their security & rules-based order, US/Allies must mobilize immediately to deter aggression.

The mission is vital, the stakes are high, & the clock is ticking.

bit.ly/PLA2027 Image
US/Allies/#Taiwan now face “#DecadeOfDanger” w/ peaking #Xi/#CCP/#PRC as #China has extreme version of “S-Curved #slowdown.”

Xi’s risk acceptance will likely be amplified by his track record of largely-uncountered revisionist actions vs. neighbors & RBO.

bakerinstitute.org/research/us-ch…
Read 42 tweets
1/8: Do not expect Berlin (Merkel et al) to allow any EU v. Belarus/Russia sanctions to limit its energy alliance with Moscow (e.g., #Nordstream2). Rather: given Berlin’s Russia geostrategy, Lukashenko’s #BelarusHighjacking (like Putin’s #alexeinavalny
2/8: poisoning, #Ukraine invasions, gas crises, cyber-attacks, etc.) only FORTIFY Berlin’s rationale for partnering on #Nordstream2. One must take #ChncellorMerkel’s & German political and business elites’ words & deeds seriously: Preserving Germany’s
3/8: commercial-geopolitical gas alliance with Putin to (i) replace #Ukraine/ #Belarus/ #Poland transit and (ii) make Germany #Gazprom’s new gas hub into Europe is not an “error in judgement;” but Berlin’s conscious, deeply held GEOSTRATEGY. That is:
Read 9 tweets
NEW: @StateDept's top counterterrorism official says the Jan 6 siege of the #USCapitol "wasn't just an assault on the Capitol. It was an assault on democracy, w/a violent mob trying to interfere with the results of the election"
"Nothing is more sacred to our constitutional democracy than the peaceful transfer of power" per Amb. Nathan Sales speaking to @AEI

Adds that those who rioted "desecrated the Capitol & the principals for which its stands"
"There's no room for complacency" @StateDept's Sales warns on the fight vs terrorism, repeating warnings that there needs to be a focus on #ISIS, #alQaida in #Africa
#StateCTatAEI
Read 11 tweets

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