Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #HD12

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Exciting news, fellow data nerds: We've calculated the results of the 2020 presidential race for the Virginia state House, where all 100 seats will be up in November!
The toplines: Biden won 60 districts, Trump won 40. All Dems sit in Biden seats, so there are five Biden-R districts. But the 2020 results aren't destiny, and Democrats will largely be playing defense this year

Summary of all results here:
One of the most vulnerable Democrats is Del. Christ Hurst, whose SW VA #HD12 voted 52-46 for Biden—the least-blue district held by a Dem. Many other districts where Dems face tough re-elections are in the Virginia Beach area. These also are among the less-blue seats
Read 11 tweets
I wouldn't be surprised to see some not-insignificant primary carnage in Oklahoma tonight, a state wracked by budget dysfunction under GOP rule. I'm counting 10 state legislative incumbents currently trailing their primary challengers there:…
I count six Oklahoma GOP incumbents who outright lost their seats in primaries tonight: #SD40 (Yen), #HD33 (Babinec), #HD37 (Vaughan), #HD65 (Park), #HD67 (McEachin), #HD69 (Strohn).

At least another *11* have been forced into runoff elections:…
On top of all this, one Oklahoma Republican incumbent, #HD12's Kevin Dugle, currently leads his challenger by just 4 votes with 17/18 precincts reporting:…
Read 8 tweets

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