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This thread is inspired by the conversation I'm involved in with @cchukudebelu, @dondee_don and a few others.

Will #Nigeria break up? Maybe. But it will be very messy as there are issues that need sorting, and they are, well, difficult...
The first thing is to understand the place of geography in determining how people behave, and how it shapes their interactions with the world.

I have given this presentation many times. I always start with this map...
You see, #Russia may be the largest country by area, but geography has dealt them a bad hand in terms of location. Asides the Crimea (Azov) all of Russia's ports are located in areas that are frozen for a good portion of the year.

Since sea trade is vital, the Crimea IS vital.
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