Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #INSEN

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(THREAD) This one stings. Rex Early, a longtime Indiana GOP activist and donor, has died, according to the Indy Star. Early was Trump's spokesman in the 2016 Trump Indiana campaign. Early was 88. #ingov #insen #indiana (1)

indystar.com/story/news/202…
Early was a former state rep in the 1960s and a Marine vet. He became Reagan's Indiana campaign chair in the 1980s. In 1991, he became party chair and raised money to stave off the state GOP's insolvency. (2)
Indiana Gov. Eric Holcomb (R) said if you wanted to run for office in Indiana, you approached Rex: "From dog catcher to U.S. President, lines formed at his door for an endorsement." #insen #ingov (3)
Read 6 tweets
If you're watching election results tonight, here's a breakdown of what I'm going to be watching for in the race for Congress as the numbers come in -->
Here are the magic numbers to keep in mind tonight:

Democrats need to flip 23 SEATS in order to win back the House.

Democrats need to flip 2 SEATS in order to win back the Senate.
The first exit polls will land at 5:00pm so we'll have some ideas about makeup of the electorate compared to previous years, etc. The first actual races close at 6:00pm: KY-6 will be the one to watch, with an eye on IN-9, but we won't read *too* much into these.
Read 8 tweets
WOW. #INSen poll: Donnelly (D-Inc) 51, Braun (R) 39

While we should be cautious of drawing conclusions from one poll, this cuts against the conventional wisdom that Donnelly is one of the more threatened D incumbents.

theblaze.com/news/2018/08/2…
We should not take our eyes off the ball in Indiana: remember, Evan Bayh led most of the polls around this time in 2016, too.

But it's worth noting, that was a really different race. An open seat in a presidential year vs a D incumbent in a midterm with an unpopular R president.
Here's another note. *If* this poll is accurate, and other polls confirm IN is shifting into the Lean D column, that means control of the Senate is now a coin toss.

That would mean each party is only defending 3 true toss-up seats. FL, MO and ND for Dems; AZ, NV and TN for GOP.
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