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A few thoughts about #IR23 and its implications for the forthcoming Defence Command Paper. 🧵
IR21 was prescient and correct in identifying Russia and China as the two major threats. Russia was always the more immediate challenge due to its proximity, and IR23 reflects this.
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IR21 was prescient and correct in identifying Russia and China as the two major threats. Russia was always the more immediate challenge due to its proximity, and IR23 reflects this.
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IR21 recognised that resource constraints meant that our approach to the Indo-Pacific needed to be a "tilt" not an outright "pivot." The AUKUS construct is the perfect embodiment of this aspiration, especially as the threat posed by China is expanding not contracting.
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The duality of Euro-Atlantic and Asia-Pacific roles means that seven Astute Class submarines is insufficient. In fact, many would argue that seven submarines is not even enough for Euro-Atlantic commitments. In other words, the UK's SSN fleet may need to grow.
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