Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ISCAP

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NEW: Just released @UN report warns of "heightened threats emerging" from #ISIS #alQaida affiliated groups worldwide

"This is especially true in parts of West and East #Africa" per the report, based on member state intelligence
In West/East #Africa, affiliates of #ISIS #alQaida "can boast gains in supporters and territory under threat, as well as growing capabilities in fundraising & weapons, for example, in the use of drones" per the @UN report
#ISIS in #Syria "has evolved into an entrenched insurgency, exploiting weaknesses in local security to find safe havens & targeting forces engaged in counter-ISIL operations" per the @UN report
Read 55 tweets
[THREAD] 1/ Two years ago today, the Islamic State lost control of its last stronghold, namely al-Baghûz Fawqâni in eastern Syria near the Iraqi border. This thread is an analysis of the group's military operations since then. Spoiler: the jihadist group is far from being dead.
2/ Detail about the methodology: I have collected and analysed the data of every single attack claimed in the 104 issues of the Islamic State’s weekly magazine al-Naba’ published between 28/03/2019 and 18/03/2021. Data include targets, weapons used, spoils of war, geolocation.
3/ Since the fall of Baghuz, the Islamic State has claimed 5795 military operations in 31 countries, for an average of eight attacks per day. Three peaks: during three of their military campaigns (Dec. 2019, April-May + August and October 2020), and Ramadân (April-May 2020). Image
Read 10 tweets
[THREAD] 1/ Over the past year, the Islamic State claimed 2767 military operations. The overwhelming majority of these attacks targeted Sunni Muslims, although the group never described them as such. 40 attacks were against Shia civilians. 34 attacks against Christians/churches.
2/ Detail about the methodology: I gathered the data from the 53 issues of IS weekly magazine al-Naba’ published in 2020 (cf. the front page of the issue 219). For every single claimed attack, I analysed the following information: target, weapons used, spoils of war, geolocation. Image
3/ The first finding is that IS was a bit less active in 2020 than in 2019: - 423 military operations. #Iraq was in the first place. #ISWAP and to a lesser extent #ISCAP were on the rise and regularly on the front page of al-Naba'. #ISKP and IS in East Asia were much less active. Image
Read 9 tweets

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