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With polls closing on #Israelex5 in just a few minutes, here's a thread of frequently asked questions that I get every election. I will add to them if and as it becomes necessary.
Q: Why don't you cover exit polls?
A: Exit polls in any country are problematic; it's well known they are usually less accurate than the final pre-election polls.
Since it's only a few hours between exit polls and the results start coming in, I prefer to ignore them entirely.
A: Exit polls in any country are problematic; it's well known they are usually less accurate than the final pre-election polls.
Since it's only a few hours between exit polls and the results start coming in, I prefer to ignore them entirely.
Q: Reporters are all saying that __ has gained/lost a seat. Why don't you have that result yet?
A: Since I'm not a reporter, I don't have inside connections at the CEC. All I can go by is the official vote tabulations at votes25.bechirot.gov.il. I update whenever that site does.
A: Since I'm not a reporter, I don't have inside connections at the CEC. All I can go by is the official vote tabulations at votes25.bechirot.gov.il. I update whenever that site does.
I finally heard an explanation as to why some are claiming #Israelex5 is going to be held on October 5, rather than my prediction of September 30.
The October date is a possibility, but the logic is based on several assumptions, many true, one doubtful, and one false.
The October date is a possibility, but the logic is based on several assumptions, many true, one doubtful, and one false.
It goes like this: By law, #Israelex5 is scheduled for Tuesday, September 21. But this is the first day of Sukkot, so you need to push it off to the following Tuesday, September 28. But this is Simchat Torah, so you need to push it off to the following Tuesday, October 5.
The explanation I heard admits that you'd need to pass an amendment to the law to allow you to push it off in this fashion. (Or, alternatively, dissolve the Knesset early, which allows you to freely schedule it for any date that the majority can agree on.)
