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Most recents (2)
@adamhamdy It looks very much like schools are being used to drive this by the back door.
A bit more thinking to do about 👇
It shows %age rise in 7 day average across UK but you can clearly see spikes a week after schools went back in different regions, then unis
(1/n)
A bit more thinking to do about 👇
It shows %age rise in 7 day average across UK but you can clearly see spikes a week after schools went back in different regions, then unis
(1/n)
@adamhamdy 2/n
From last night's press conference @BorisJohnson seems to think we just need to try a bit harder to follow rules
However, since mid-July there have been around 15% extra cases each week
This seems to have jumped to more like 25% as schools returned
From last night's press conference @BorisJohnson seems to think we just need to try a bit harder to follow rules
However, since mid-July there have been around 15% extra cases each week
This seems to have jumped to more like 25% as schools returned
@adamhamdy @BorisJohnson 3/n
The large spike at the end encompasses two things:
-case backlog being added
-uni return
BUT we seem to have rebounded to around 25% extra cases each week again (early days)
Importantly, it's unclear how much of the sharp fall is unis dealing with 'their virus'
The large spike at the end encompasses two things:
-case backlog being added
-uni return
BUT we seem to have rebounded to around 25% extra cases each week again (early days)
Importantly, it's unclear how much of the sharp fall is unis dealing with 'their virus'
Two things we learned from @BorisJohnson
1. He doesn't understand how infection numbers reduce
"unis did a great job of getting their virus under control"
If true, they did it by locking students in their halls...
🤦♀️🤥
#COVID19
1. He doesn't understand how infection numbers reduce
"unis did a great job of getting their virus under control"
If true, they did it by locking students in their halls...
🤦♀️🤥
#COVID19
2. He doesn't really get exponential growth.
Apparently the R is only a bit above 1 so it's all okay.
It's around 1.3 to 1.5, higher than the lead into this debacle from mid August on. So numbers not going south yet.
🤦♀️🤬
Both bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-5…
17.54pm
(2/3)
Apparently the R is only a bit above 1 so it's all okay.
It's around 1.3 to 1.5, higher than the lead into this debacle from mid August on. So numbers not going south yet.
🤦♀️🤬
Both bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-5…
17.54pm
(2/3)
(3/3)
There is a great primer on exponential growth here:
Please watch it.
More importantly, please get friends, journalists and politicians to watch too.
#JonathanVanTam #JVT said deaths baked in for 3 weeks.
You can expect 160-320 on 11/11 😰
There is a great primer on exponential growth here:
Please watch it.
More importantly, please get friends, journalists and politicians to watch too.
#JonathanVanTam #JVT said deaths baked in for 3 weeks.
You can expect 160-320 on 11/11 😰
