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Please note that is also possible, that the shelling at #Kitneve is #Russian counterbattery fire, or strikes at command centers/supply hubs. As some of you pointed out, it may be UA held. Additionally a short word about the bridges.
Why haven't the bridges across the #Dnieper been hit? By either side? For example, why doesn't Ukraine hit the bridges at Kherson. Without them, certainly Russian forces could not hold out on the west bank for long. In the same manner, with even greater capabilities to do so, why
doesn't Russia hit the bridges spanning the river across the whole country. While western Ukraine is open to the world - true it is cut off from the Black Sea directly but through its western border with Poland, Romania etc it's wide open by road & rail - eastern Ukraine if
Read 10 tweets
Yesterday, #Russian sources released intel that #Ukraine was planning a large offensive of 32 BTGs (~20k men) in the #Kherson region. UA's supply lines here are much shorter & stronger than in Donbass & RU's air superiority much less. It seems to have started in the last 3 hours.
Being able to push back Russia east across the Dnieper would be a great achievement by UA forces. On the other hand, even making Russia divert forces from the Donbass to hold the line would be helpful to #Ukraine. Since they have so much trouble getting men & supplies to the east
and in fact so many units now that refuse to fight in the east, this tactically would make sense for Ukraine. The only suspicion comes from the announcement yesterday by Russian sources. If it indeed it was a leaked secret, than the Russians have a heads up, but it seems UA
Read 15 tweets

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