Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #LNA

Most recents (24)

Looking at the networks that support #Hemedti in #Sudan, an interesting carousel emerges with the #UAE in the middle

Network-centric statecraft at its best, involving #Libya, #Wagner and the War in #Yemen Image
2) starting with the #UAE's direct networks to #Sudan & the #RSF, Abu Dhabi has set up a well-oiled network of companies and financial institutions to support #Hemedti to bring gold to market and manage personal finances…
3) The #UAE have provided arms to #Hemedti's #RSF in #Sudan since 2019 - recent evidence suggest as late as 2021…
Read 13 tweets
Further clashes are bound to unfold soon in #Tripolitania.


• some #local rivalries have become too tense.

#macro fault lines have shifted too far away from #Libya’s Jun 2020 equilibrium, which so many policymakers & watchers take for granted;

[ see 🧵 thread👇🏻]
One must, right off the bat, acknowledge the outsized importance of #Zawiyah actors in today’s NW Libya configuration.

The most zealous pro-Dabaiba fighters on 5/17 in #Tripoli were led by #Bahrun.

& the #Buzeriba forces (who didn’t fight on 5/17) are ferociously anti-Dabaiba.
Other #local antagonisms that became evident on 5/17 in Tripoli include Mustafa Qaddur’s animosity vs. his #Mukhabarat superior & Dabaiba ally Hussein al-#Ayeb.

Nawassi — which holds a major grudge against Bahrun, too — coordinates w/ Buzeriba & Wershefana’s Muammar al-Dhawi. Image
Read 12 tweets

The possibility of a #parallel govt — capable of rallying several presidential candidates & other anti-Dabaiba forces — has been pre-announced by #Aqila for months.

Such an entity may indeed emerge now.

Beyond symbolism & posturing, will it affect the current reality?
Militarily, bcos Dabaiba has secured the mobilization of Mahjub, Halbus, & al-Jahawi, Bashagha won’t be in a position to contribute much in Misrata, Tajura, or Tripoli itself.

For the #parallel govt to create pain for Dabaiba, it’ll have to consider being in cahoots w/ the #SSA.
In the eventuality above, a new #parallel govt may pull off truly bothersome disruptions in the greater #Tripoli area, but Dabaiba will not be removed from power by force in the foreseeable future.

No can do.

The Turkish-backed setup now protecting the PM is just too formidable
Read 8 tweets
#Libya 🇱🇾 BREAKING: Mahmoud al-Werfalli, commander in the #LNA and wanted war criminal has been assassinated in #Benghazi today.

Al-Werfalli was wanted by the @IntlCrimCourt for the execution of several dozen prisoners and the killing of non-combatants. ImageImage
#Libya 🇱🇾: @trbrtc did extensive research on all the execution videos posted by al-Werfalli. All the details are in this multiyear thread
Many Libyans will rejoice over the news of the death of al-Werfalli but in #Benghazi this also means dangerous times could be ahead. Werfalli commanded the Saiqa brigade and his men were very loyal to him. They probably want revenge.
Read 6 tweets
1/ Seems #Haftar has pulled off a last minute upset after finding himself being cornered by his allies locally and internationally.
While his allies find themselves shuffling to make sense of yesterday’s developments, Haftar is positioning himself as sole negotiator of the east.
2/ For #Haftar to successfully achieve this goal, he will need to carry out a hard reset as his advisors are now blamed for failing to secure a new executive consisting of their allies.

#Agila is facing heavy criticism both socially and politically in Eastern #Libya.
3/ #Agila was warned by constituents to avoid a deal with #Bashagha and to have a back up plan that allows a ‘socially’ acceptable candidate take his place such as #Baraghthee of #AlWafi (in that order).

The competition for social credit is now between #Haftar & #AlMnefi.
Read 7 tweets
NEW: @USAfricaCommand warns #alQaida-linked #alShabaab "remains adaptive, resilient, and capable of attacking Western & partner interests in #Somalia & East #Africa" in final @DoD_IG report on US counterterrorism ops in Africa
Despite ongoing train/advise/equip efforts by US, others "The Somali government...has not met milestones for the development of its security forces" per @DoD_IG Sean O’Donnell

#Somalia #alShabaab
In North #Africa, #alQaida in the Islamic Maghreb (#AQIM) & #ISIS-#Libya "significantly degraded & currently pose no threat to the US homeland & a minimal threat to US interests in the region" per @DoD_IG Sean O’Donnell
Read 43 tweets
#Libya- thread about the #LNA's 106 bde. "Lieutenant General Wanis Bukhamada" live-fire exercise south of #Benghazi (area of Qaminis) in the presence of Major General Abdul Salam al-Hassi (who seems unwell...) with a couple of other very important guests...

#Libya- bottom line up front: a casual flyby by a pair of SU-24 that were recently delivered by #Russia, and are seemingly currently sporting Libyan flags on their tails

The LNA officer narrator has a very lucrative (in country) monocular NVG on the entire time. Clearly a status symbol, as the entire exercise is in broad daylight and he isn't participating...
Read 18 tweets
NEW: US making "limited progress" in degrading #ISIS #alQaida in #Africa, per @DoD_IG report

"In East Africa, #alShabaab moved freely & launched attacks in #Somalia & #Kenya...In the #Sahel & LakeChad regions, violence continued at high levels & expanded to new territories"
"In North #Africa, ISIS-#Libya resumed small-scale attacks in the southern desert region of #Libya" per @DoD_IG Sean O'Donnell "The ongoing civil war...intensified as more foreign fighters and mercenaries deployed to Libya to fight on both sides of the conflict"
MORE: Spread of #COVID19 across #Africa "did not appear to slow VEO (violent extremist organizations) activity" per @DoD_IG O'Donnell "The pandemic exacerbated many of the underlying conditions that foster VEO growth, including economic and food insecurity"

#Africa #terrorism
Read 21 tweets

A new ceasefire agreement is announced between #GNA and #LNA

Too early to be optimistic, because, as usual, devil in the details ImageImage
#Egypt’s Sisi welcomed efforts for ceasefire deal between #GNA and #LNA

If you just woke up, and read the news about a possible ceasefire deal in Libya, don’t hold your breath.
This is just temporary de-escalation; not solid ceasefire deal.
There are already different interpretations on demilitarisation of #Sirte & who will organise elections
Read 5 tweets
1. So according to this; diplomatic missions are operating from #Tunisia outside of #Tripoli because of #LNA operations!

Not because of the kidnapping of the #Jordanian ambassador?

neither the kidnapping of #Zeidan?

nor enabling militias extremists to take control of Tripoli?
2. Not even because Salah Badi destroyed #Tripoli International Airport?

Or, for example; because #Misurata's militia turned the capital into hell?

Not because of the lack of basic services in the capital of all Libyans?

Not because of the continuing violence inside Tripoli?
3. Not because you allowed the terrorists to pray for - the terrorist who give Bay'ah to #ISIS Wissam Bin Hamid - in the largest #Tripoli squares?
Read 5 tweets

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