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As #LabourConference21 draws to a close, some thoughts on where Labour stand based on some charts I presented at our @IpsosMORI fringe event this week.
As people will know, our latest data has the Cons +3 pts ahead. But, as ever, the story is more complex than that. THREAD
As people will know, our latest data has the Cons +3 pts ahead. But, as ever, the story is more complex than that. THREAD
1/ At the heart of Labour's struggles is that only 1 in 4 think they are ready to form the next govt.
Since being in opposition, they've struggled to get more than 1 in 3 think they are ready.
Yet in the 90s, clear majorities thought Blair's Labour were ready. Work to do.
Since being in opposition, they've struggled to get more than 1 in 3 think they are ready.
Yet in the 90s, clear majorities thought Blair's Labour were ready. Work to do.
2/ Firstly, though, a word on the Cons for context.
First thing to appreciate is Conservative voters like Johnson. 76% of them are satisfied with the job he's doing as PM. In contrast, just 40% of Lab voters are satisfied with Starmer.
First thing to appreciate is Conservative voters like Johnson. 76% of them are satisfied with the job he's doing as PM. In contrast, just 40% of Lab voters are satisfied with Starmer.
I watched Keir Starmer's interminable #LabourConference21 speech so that you don't have to.
Here's my report (THREAD):
Here's my report (THREAD):
Keir Starmer's cheerleaders in the corporate media insisted that this would be the speech that would stop all the navel-gazing about the past, look to the future, and turn around his lamentable and profoundly unpopular systematic abstention of a leadership so far.
2/
2/
But it turned out to be just another over-long, backwards-looking, boring speech, lazily rehashing the same tropes he's repeatedly resorted to in the past, that was only enlivened by bouts of heckling from the audience.
/3
/3
