Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Lockdown2

Most recents (24)

Morgen is #Lockdown2 - alles ähnlich wie im März. Wie läuft das eigentlich diesmal, mit der #Notbetreuung? Nunja. Thread:

Montagabend 17h30: Elternbrief im Schulranzen von K1: Dem Kind ist am Dienstagmorgen mitzugeben: Elternbrief (unterschrieben von beiden Eltern), sowie 1/
Nachweise beider Arbeitgeber auf Unabkömmlichkeit, unterschrieben und gestempelt von beiden Arbeitgebern. Formular liegt keines bei. 2/
Montagabend 18h: Website der Kommune fördert PDF-Formular für Notbetreuung Kita-Kind (K2) zu Tage. Formular ist ähnlich aber nicht ganz identisch mit dem, das man bereits im Frühjahr ausgefüllt & gestempelt etc. hatte. Braucht auch Unterschriften beider Eltern. 3/
Read 20 tweets
sebastianrushworth.com/2020/12/13/wha…

Hoe toepasselijk. Een kosten-baten analyse.

Zouden @MinPres en @hugodejonge überhaupt weten wat dat is?

#coronamaatregelen #Lockdown2
"Apparently, if you thought that, you would be wrong."

Waarom verbaast me dat nu niet. Niets ten nadele van de PABO, maar een kosten-baten analyse leert men daar niet.

Toch, @hugodejonge
"As far as I am aware, not a single government anywhere has presented a carefully deliberated cost-benefit analysis, in which they look at all aspects, and then explain why they think lockdown is the right decision, in spite of all the likely harms."
Read 18 tweets
#CoronaVirusDE #Lockdown2
La #Germania ha deciso di istituire una riserva sanitaria nazionale con dispositivi di protezione, maschere protettive, ventilatori e farmaci
In caso di emergenza, servirà a chi lavora in ospedali, case di cura e studi medici.
Il Governo federale sta mettendo a disposizione un miliardo di euro per questo, ha detto oggi il Ministro della Salute federale @jensspahn
Il governo federale immagazzinerà il materiale in 19 località per l'istituzione della National Health Reserve. Entro la fine del 2021 la riserva sarà piena di prodotti.
Read 5 tweets
With @imperialcollege React 7a results there is a question that desperately needs asking.

Why did the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 fall in every age group apart from the two including school children?

1/
2/

I remember when the lie was:

-children don't catch #COVID
-children only catch it from adults
-children don't transmit it to each other.

@CMO_England this is really starting to look like solid evidence the above were lies.
3/

Children started with the highest prevalence & are the only groups with more cases after #lockdown2

If I were:

@theflva
@ukactive
@RoyalAcadMusic
@apac_ssn
@CBI_London

I would be furious that all the sacrifices were squandered so @HuwMerriman didn't have to back down
Read 9 tweets
THREAD/Greetings and welcome to what will probably be the final virtual walk for now in our #lockdown2 series. We meet at the Tooley Street entrance to London Bridge Station and as over the past three weekends, we are going to look at not only
the wartime past of the area featured on our route but will also glimpse at the industrial and social history of the region, whilst trying to point out one or two decent pubs, should you find yourself doing this walk for real at some point.
As before, there will be one or two repetitions from our previous series of virtual walks during the first lockdown but I will try and keep these to a minimum. We are standing in the Joiner Street Arch of London Bridge Station facing out onto Tooley Street and a plaque here Joiner Street Bridge plaque
Read 63 tweets
FWIW, I’ve been comparing my UK economic forecasts with those of the #OBR. There is a much more positive story than the Chancellor told in Wednesday’s #SpendingReview #SR20 📢

Let’s start with the near-term outlook… (1/8)
The #OBR assumes that the economic impact of #lockdown2 will be ‘three-fifths’ that seen during the first lockdown, when #GDP fell by 25% in March and April. This means that lockdown2 would take the level of #GDP back to 15% below its pre-Covid peak… (2/8)
Given that #GDP was 8.2% lower in September than February, and assuming little change in October, this is consistent with a fall of around 7% m/m in November, which is what’s in the #OBR’s ‘central forecast’. This seems about right to me... (3/8)
Read 8 tweets
Schools or Partying?

On 12/11 coronavirus cases spiked to 33k cases, it remains the only day where over 30k have been reported...

But the partying narrative is part of the agenda to keep schools open 'at all costs'

Please read on, it's going to take c. 10 min to post...

1/
2/

We know .gov have been pushing journalists to infer its was due to pre-lockdown partying

For example @nicktriggle's piece from 16/11, but this appears to be lazy journalism.

3/

If we look at data y swab date, a more worrying picture emerges.

We can clearly see there are TWO days with more than 30k cases.

The first and highest on record is actually 2/11. This is the Monday after #lockdown2 was announced.
Read 14 tweets
1) use #HCQOTC
2) building briefing book at Grantfraud.Com
3) Preserve content at grantfraud.com for when
#Monopoly platforms #memoryhole the truth
4) Help us get #hcqotc case 2 @realDonaldTrump
5) Happy Xmas Covid is Over
@realDonaldTrump 2) In box me if you want to preserve original research on a public platform where its likely to be seen by journalists (there are some remaining), Docs, Congress, Inspector Generals, etc. Public health agency #incomcorrupt (will define term). NOW IS THE TIME.
1) Popularly elected representatives of all stripes are accountable to #Americans, but #publichealth agency leadership represents other constituencies. This is a serious enterprise risk management challenge for #pandemic response that ramped up hospitalizations & deaths.
Read 33 tweets
THREAD/Good Morning everyone. As before, today’s walk is a bit of a mixture or wartime history, industrial and social history plus a few pubs thrown in for good measure. As before with these #Lockdown2 virtual walks, we’re sticking with the Thames Path but this week, instead of
heading west, we’re going to go eastwards and also will cross the river from north to south. We’re starting in Island Gardens on the Isle of Dogs, which we have already visited a couple of weeks back, so our first few calls will be repeats from the first Thames walk and as such
we won’t dwell on them too much. For our first call, we walk past Island Gardens DLR Station and the associated air raid shelter, now a garage and will pay a fleeting visit to the Mudchute, now an urban farm, which still contains the gun emplacements from the former AA gun site Former Shelter Island Gardens
Read 46 tweets
@AnSophEls @DeBlauweTijger The Fourth Industrial Revolution – Communitarianism
“We are in the middle of a massive indoctrination campaign. We are told we are in this together but we are being kept apart in culture and isolated by masking and social distancing.”
#boerenprotest
@AnSophEls @DeBlauweTijger Communitarianism & Its Plan for Society
While Communism established a dictatorship of the proletariat, #Communitarianism is a dictatorship of the community.

fromthetrenchesworldreport.com/communitariani…
@AnSophEls @DeBlauweTijger Communitarianism  - A Three Level Con Job - By Niki Raapana
A projected vision for a new global order by the year 2020. It's what all of us should be socially evolving into.🙈
rense.com/general76/comm…
Read 7 tweets
#Covid19 Sehr geehrte Frau Dr. #MERKEL, ich habe Sie nie gewählt und sehr oft kritisiert, ich bin aber FROH und DANKBAR, dass SIE während dieser #Pandemie unsere BUNDESKANZLERIN sind🙏! Ohne Sie, hätten die egoistischen Landesfürsten*innen, welche leider die Mehrheit [1 von 10]
darstellen, sicherlich für noch höhere #Corona-#Infektionszahlen gesorgt bzw. das #Infektionsgeschehen wäre aktuell noch weitaus dramatischer. Ich persönlich bin mir sicher, wären Ihnen die Länder in den vergangenen Monaten zu 100% gefolgt, hätten wir uns sogar den [2 von 10]
#Wellenbrecherlockdown ersparen können bzw. der #Lockdown2 (#LockdownLight) wäre zumindest mit erheblich weniger Eingriffen in die Grundrechte möglich gewesen! Vielleicht wären auch schon seit Monaten bezahlbare FFP2 #Atemmasken für die Bürger*innen der BRD erhältlich, [3 von 10]
Read 10 tweets
The Fourth Industrial Revolution - The New model – A life long learning
Better to be enslaved than it is to be free, a life of debt and servitude for your children!
(Note: you might think "after #Lockdown2 we will pick up the pieces of our lives?"🙈)

China’s dystopian nightmare (May 2019)
Welcome to life in China’s “Social Credit System,” where a low score can ruin your life in more ways than one. "Blockchain 'credentials' and 'badges' are for social credit scoring"🤔

nypost.com/2019/05/18/chi…
Australia, #covid19 - No jab no pay, no travel, no social life, no roof over your head!
(Note: we thought communist China was bad with it's social crediting system? This is 21st century "free" Western world #Fascist #Australia 😉)
Watch video pls 🤓
 
Read 4 tweets
1/ Dieser Artikel enthält nich eine einzige neue Information & dennoch scheint es wichtig, d. Inhalt nochmals klarzustellen:
Unsere Intensiv beatmet bereits über Standardkapazität hinaus.
Der Anteil beatmungspflichtiger COVID-19 Pat. mit langen Verweildauern steigt stetig.
2/ Umliegende Zentren nehmen bereits jetzt nicht mehr auf. 2 Diskussionen dürfen nun nicht mit einander vermischt werden:
A) Umgang m. akuter Krisensituation macht Szenarien notwendig, d. sich niemand wünscht. Nämlich Akquise v Personal f. Intensiv, d. dort eigtl nicht arbeiten.
3/ Folge ist, dass weniger routiniertes Personal schwer kranke, beatmete Pat. (teilweise im Multiorganversagen) mitbehandeln. Das reduziert unweigerlich die Überlebenschancen & erklärt den dtl. Anstieg der Sterblichkeit, wenn Kapazitäten überlastet sind.
Read 5 tweets
So far behaviour has changed very little in #lockdown2 in the U.K. Here is the Google Mobility data showing visitors to various types of venues and residential areas:

👇🏽Lockdown1 And 2 👇🏽
#Lockdown1 was a steep and coordinated drop from around 14th March, hitting bottom on 24th March with 80% reductions in mobility.
Over the summer we had a relatively flat but below baseline reductions, with 25% reduction in retail and recreation.

Despite the lockdown announced in beginning of November, there has been only v.slight negative changes in behaviour, nowhere near #lockdown1 so far.
Read 6 tweets
#Coronavirus: Vanuatu Island Records First Case Of COVID-19 In Traveler From The #US 😥

english.alarabiya.net/en/coronavirus…

#Vanuatu has recorded its first #Covid_19 case, health officials announced Wednesday, ending the Pacific island nation’s status as one of the few countries...
... in the world to remain virus-free. The health department said a 23-year-old man who had recently returned from the #UnitedStates was confirmed to have the virus on Tuesday after being tested in quarantine."

#Vanuatu #Covid19
Read 8 tweets
1/
In 🇩🇪 werden wir jetzt wieder monatelang diskutieren, warum es zu einem Abflachen der #Covid Fälle noch vor dem #Lockdown2 kam und ob dieser notwendig war.
Fakt ist: vom 1. bis 30.10. lag exponentielles Wachstum vor. Anschließend kam es zu einem Abflachen der Kurve.
2/
Grund hierfür kann sein, dass bereits ab dem 15.10. die Maßnahmen in Deutschland gemäß Government Response Stringency Index verschärft wurden laut @OurWorldInData. Und ~2 Wochen später kam es zu einem Abflachen der #CovidFälle. Am 22.10. kam es zu einer erneuten Verschärfung.
3/
Die Maßnahmen Kritiker werden hingegen argumentieren, dass der #Lockdown2 unnötig war, da die Fallzahlen Wachstum schon vor dem Beginn am 2.11 abgeschwächt wurde.
Stichwort: logistisches Wachstum (Sigmoid Funktion)
So könnte ein Sigmoid ungefähr aussehen für die 2. Welle
Read 4 tweets
Day 1 of #Lockdown2.

This is not as stringent a lockdown as before - children are still at school (which has benefits for the children), and people are less apprehensive than the first lockdown.
The lockdown was announced in advance, and we have seen people go to shops yesterday in great numbers to ensure they have the products they want.

And yesterday was seen by some as the last chance for a gathering.

Both these things will have increased transmission.
Due to the less stringent measures this time around, it will mean that it will take longer for the incidence of the virus to reduce. (We could have timed measures around the half term holiday, which would have meant that the measures were more effective).
Read 6 tweets
A thread on the modelling and analysis used to suggest scenarios for what *could* happen if we do nothing. And commentary on this slide.
The slides that were presented in the Number 10 press conference on 31 October are here:
gov.uk/government/pub…
Firstly, commentary on the modelling. Modelling for Covid-19 is performed by a number of academic groups around the country. They use different modelling techniques. Some of these models are used to come up with the R value.
Read 26 tweets
we talk a lot about optimism bias as a reason govt projects go wrong-- assuming things can be delivered too quickly and at lower cost than it usually turns out .. @instituteforgov and @NAOorguk both have written on this
and optimism - and making people feel optimistic is a huge asset in politics.. whether its Boris boosterism, Obama hope/change or a Blairite new dawn
But optimism seems to have been the curse of UK politics in the past decade.. first David Cameron's assumption he could wing - and win - a referendum because guys like him just always wing and win... #effortlesssuperiority
Read 10 tweets
A thread about covid & how improving our metabolic health might help👇

I'm an NHS GP with an interest in T2 diabetes.

It's been clear since early in the pandemic that people with poor metabolic health, particularly T2D, obesity & high BP are at an increased risk.

1/10
Suspicious that SARS-CoV-2 thrives in elevated blood sugar, I've been advising my patients to make some simple dietary changes:

1. CUT OUT SUGAR
2. AVOID PROCESSED FOOD (it's high in sugar & other unhealthy stuff)
3. REDUCE CARBS (carbs convert to sugar in the body)

2/10
I've seen some really impressive results:

❤️Reduced Blood Pressure
💉 Improved Blood Sugar
⚖️ significant weight improvement

Some have put their T2D into remission 👏

I'm hopeful their improved metabolic health will reduce their risk of severe infection 💪

3/10
Read 10 tweets
Some of my thoughts on #Lockdown2

1) It’s late. Very late. Which means a huge starting point (100,000+) by the time we kick off on Thursday.

This has two major issues.
2) A very large number of deaths are already “baked in” now and we won’t see a change in death rate until early December. 800-2000 deaths a day by the end of Nov REGARDLESS
3) We’ve already waited a whole another week as it is, from announcement on Friday to initiation this Thursday- this week will mean an additional thousands of unnecessary deaths (30% increase).
Read 17 tweets
die regierung #kurz kann "the hammer". der erste #lockdown hat funktioniert und uns zeit verschafft.
zeit, die jedoch nicht für sinnvolle maßnahmen genutzt wurde. der "dance" hat versagt.
es folgt nun #Lockdown2

wie nimmt kurz die menschen mit?
#zibspezial

thread zur rede👇
#kurz startet mit einer EINWANDVORWEGNAHME

er weiß: die stimmung ist kritisch, viele nehmen das virus nicht ernst und wollen sich nicht an maßnahmen halten.

er will ihnen den wind aus den segeln nehmen und spricht die DROHENDE GEFAHR an.
#kurz setzt noch eines drauf und betont die NEGATIVEN FOLGEN (also was passiert, wenn wir nichts tun).

Der Aufbau seiner Rede folgt dem klassischen PROBLEM-LÖSUNGS-MUSTER.
Read 11 tweets
Oje, Anschober-#ZiB2-Interview nachgeschaut. Er spekuliert lieber über mutiertes ansteckenderes Virus (=Höhere-Gewalt-Framing) statt Entwicklung/Studien anderer Ländern anzuschauen: Lodernde exponentielle Entwicklung durch unentdeckten/ungetesteten Community-Spread via Schulen.
Hier gibt's eine aktuelle Zusammenfassung bzgl. Mutationen (Spoiler: Wahrscheinlicher ist, was ich oben als Alternative beschrieben habe) nzzas.nzz.ch/wissen/corona-… #COVID19 #COVID19at #CoronaVirusAT #zib2
Das Problematische: Bei aller Anerkennung für das
offene Eingeständnis, die Situation bis vor kurzem so fatal falsch eingeschätzt zu haben, scheint Anschober nach wie vor schlecht beraten zu sein. #COVID19 #COVID19at #CoronaVirusAT #zib2
Read 9 tweets
It’s devastating that we’re at this point again: nobody wanted #Lockdown2. But 1 thing needs to be clear: there is no point in having #lockdownUK if the govt doesn’t spend that time reforming their privately-led and failing test and trace system @BBCNews bbc.co.uk/news/health-54…
Given the catastrophic failure of the government’s £10bn test and trace system, it’s astonishing that the Prime Minister did not mention HOW he intends to get us out of #Lockdown2. Wishful thinking about Christmas will not be enough. @IndependentSage
The reality is this virus has outpaced this govt’s political indecision-making. In last 6 wks when govt could have implemented a 2-week national lockdown (instead of 4+ weeks now), they wasted time with local Tiers123. Tiers have not reversed spread of virus or helped businesses.
Read 3 tweets

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