@TheSpectator

@TheSpectator

Most recents (11)

Matthew Foldi

@MatthewFoldi

New from me @TheSpectator:

I gave everyone anonymity to take a closer look at what happened last week...and how we finally got to the long-awaited @SpeakerMcCarthy!

thespectator.com/topic/behind-s…

(1/xx)

@SpeakerMcCarthy

And then there was Kevin.

In the wake of a forecasted red wave that never materialized, now-@SpeakerMcCarthy plotted with friends and foes alike to secure the magical 218 votes necessary to take the helm of a rowdy, openly feuding House GOP.

thespectator.com/topic/behind-s…

(2/xx)

@TheSpectator

After fifteen rounds of voting, Republicans eventually united behind him. Key players in the machinations spoke with @TheSpectator about the breakdown in the negotiations that had started in earnest after November’s elections.

thespectator.com/topic/behind-s…

(3/xx)

Read 42 tweets

Stephen Beban

@StephenBeban

2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander

A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)

To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter

@davesredist

Methodology:

I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf

Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.

#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…

Read 111 tweets

Robert Rutledge

@rerutled

This is a spreadsheet of Cook Report races which I made based on currently reported results (9am Wed).

+1= Dem Victory
-1=GOP Victory
+0.5= Dem winning
-0.5 = GOP winning

Based on this, right now, I think the Dems hold onto the US House.

#Election2022

Note especially: 3 (of 10 total) GOP "Toss up" seats have already been called for Democratic Victory.
#NC13 #OH01 #TX34.

On the Dem "Toss up" side, there's #VA02 which flipped Red. But that's it.

In summary, of currently held Dem seats, only 1 flipped Dem-> GOP (#VA02), with 6 races leaning GOP.

On the other hand, of current GOP seats, 4 have flipped GOP->Dem (#MT01, #NC13, #OH01, #TX34) and 7 lean Democrats.

I think the Democrats will win the US House.

Read 22 tweets

vijay 🇺🇦

@SunnyDayCBay

Sooooo the #MDprimary is (sort of) over, so here's a thread of noteworthy or fascinating results. Buckle up, friends. (1/X)

On the Republican side, far-right Del. Dan Cox has won the #MDgov nomination to pilot the Hindenburg in November. The Democratic race is too close to call between Wes Moore and Tom Perez, so we'll likely have our first non-white governor.

State Del. Brooke Lierman and Rep. Anthony Brown win the Democratic primaries for Comptroller and State AG. They are both heavily favored against Harford Co. Exec. Barry Glassman (R) and Michael Peroutka, the latter of whom has, er, baggage.

Read 34 tweets

Craig Caplan

@CraigCaplan

All 6 Maryland House Democrats Reps. Ruppersberger, Sarbanes, Majority Leader Hoyer, Trone, Mfume and Raskin won their primaries tonight per AP. Harris, the only Republican in the MD Congressional delegation, ran unopposed.

2nd term #MD06 Rep David Trone won his Democratic primary & will face GOP primary winner MD state delegate Neil Parrott per AP in the fall election.Trone defeated Parrott 58.9%-39.2% in 2020 prior to redistricting.District now includes all of Frederick Co & less of Montgomery Co.

Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, first elected to the House in 1981, won his #MD05 Democratic primary tonight and will face GOP primary winner Chris Palombi per AP for a second time in the general election. Hoyer defeated Palombi 68.9%-31.1% in 2020.

Read 5 tweets

Greg Giroux

@greggiroux

Maryland Senate voted 30-13 for revised congressional map that favors Democrats in 7 of 8 districts. The 1st District of Andy Harris would lean Republican.

Rep. David Trone's #MD06 would become less strongly Democratic but Rs objected it still links western MD to D-heavy Montgomery County near DC.

“This map, while prettier, is nothing more than lipstick on a pig,” state Sen. Michael Hough (R) said during today’s floor debate

Maryland House Rules Committee advanced the new congressional map.

Read 3 tweets

Puesto Loco™

@PuestoLoco

@RepThompson

CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540

@SpeakerPelosi

CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104

@RepZoeLofgren

CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!

#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601

Read 46 tweets

Stephen Wolf

@PoliticsWolf

Breaking: I've been informed that Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan's commission on redrawing the 6th Congressional District has chosen the map we submitted for its recommendation. I'll have more details soon, & you can read about our proposal here: dailykos.com/stories/2019/2… #MD06 #MDpol

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1101587225987375104

If this map were to become law, #MD06 would flip from a 55-40 Clinton district to a 52-43 Trump one to comply with the court's ruling. No districts other than #MD06 & #MD08 would be redrawn, since only #MD06 was struck down

https://twitter.com/PoliticsWolf/status/1101587225987375104

https://twitter.com/JessBravin/status/1101589622964932608

#MD08 would shift from to 65-31 Clinton to a very blue 78-18 Clinton. You can see our calculations for the proposed redrawn districts here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
And for the existing districts here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

https://twitter.com/JessBravin/status/1101589622964932608

Read 17 tweets

Postcards for America

@postcards4USA

@TeamPelosi

#116th New Congress convenes soon!
43 HOUSE SEATS FLIPPED BLUE! 🌊🌊🌊 #BlueWave2018
(*Net of 40) 64 New Democratic Members in the HOUSE!
with @TeamPelosi leading the way
What do they stand for?
⤵️THREAD of ALL New Blue Congressfolk⤵️
w/ graphic, campaign website links & Twitter

@Ann_Kirkpatrick

Arizona #AZ02 #116thCongress
Representative Ann Kirkpatrick
kirkpatrickforcongress.com/issues/
@Ann_Kirkpatrick

"Proud lifelong Arizonan, former prosecutor & congresswoman, independent voice for working Arizona families."

THREAD

@gregstantonaz

Arizona #AZ09 #AZ9 #116thCongress
Representative Greg Stanton
Former Phoenix Mayor, Former Phoenix City Councilman & Attorney
stantonforarizona.com/issues
@gregstantonaz
Instagram.com/gregstantonaz
facebook.com/gregstantonaz

THREAD

Read 67 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

HEY #MARYLAND!
Here’s a THREAD with Links of ALL your Democratic Candidates AND
Voter Info Links!
Check Registration Status & ask for copy of voter registration card here:
voterservices.elections.maryland.gov/VoterSearch
#MD01 #MD02 #MD03 #MD04 #MD05 #MD06 #MD07 #MD08
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
#VoteBlue2018

VOTER REGISTRATON #Maryland
Online: voterservices.elections.maryland.gov/OnlineVoterReg…
Check Registration Status & ask for copy of your voter registration card
voterservices.elections.maryland.gov/VoterSearch
Find your Polling Place and your local board of elections: voterservices.elections.maryland.gov/PollingPlaceSe…
Overseas? voterservices.elections.maryland.gov/OnlineVoterReg…

@Colvin4Congress

Democratic Candidate for Congress #Maryland #MD01 #MD1

Jesse Colvin
jessecolvin.com
@Colvin4Congress

vs GOP Incumbent Andy Harris

Vote NOVEMBER 6, 2018

Read 17 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

HEY #MARYLAND!
#PrimaryElection is JUNE 26, 2018!
Here’s a THREAD with Links of ALL your Democratic Candidates
AND Voter Info Links!
Check Registration Status & ask for copy of voter registration card here:
voterservices.elections.maryland.gov/VoterSearch
#MD01 #MD02 #MD03 #MD04 #MD05 #MD06 #MD07 #MD08

EARLY VOTING in #Maryland
Early Voting for the June 26th #PrimaryElection
is JUNE 14 to JUNE 21
Any person that is eligible to register to vote can vote early.

You can vote in an early voting center in the county where you live.
Find centers here: elections.maryland.gov/voting/documen…

Read 18 tweets

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