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The SA residential property market is as unhealthy as your average overweight 58yo hookah smoking dude at Cubana. The market is even weaker than Arsenal's defense.

Thinking of buying a house? When is the right time to pull the trigger? This is for you [Thread]
House prices are expected to fall this year. By how much?
It could get pretty bad

Here's 3 scenarios from Lightstone:

Scenario 1: Prices drop 3.9% (GDP down 3%)
Scenario 2: Prices drop 8.8% (GDP down 6%)
Scenario 3: Prices drop 14.5% (GDP down 10%)

FNB is predicting a 5% drop
Now that we know property prices will take a hit - let's drill into which segments are most vulnerable.

Your friends owning Camps Bay mansions will be crying in cashmere. Luxury houses are already feeling the burn. Low value houses (less than R250k) are showing resilience.
Read 22 tweets
So many terms being thrown around here! SARB, IMF, QE, BBW *clears search history*.

Here's are cheat codes to the most burning questions [THREAD]
1. Why don’t we print money? The US is printing money!

La Casa de Papel (Money Heist for the unrefined) has created this monster. There’s nobody with a machine printing bank notes.

What they are doing is stimulating the economy by increasing liquidity.
2. How do you increase liquidity?

The government is a broke boi so they issue loans (treasuries) to the market. The Federal Reserve (“Fed”) is the central bank of the US (not a restaurant).

The Fed gives banks cash in exchange for buying these treasuries. It’s an “asset swap”
Read 15 tweets

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