Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #MN02
Most recents (24)
NEW from me @TheSpectator:
I’m at today’s long awaited @tiktok_us hearing, where the Communist spyware CEO is going to gaslight America
He’s now on on Cap Hill with a Socialist Congressman and a Biden-tied Mao lover's firm in his pockets
thespectator.com/topic/tiktok-f…
(1/xx)
I’m at today’s long awaited @tiktok_us hearing, where the Communist spyware CEO is going to gaslight America
He’s now on on Cap Hill with a Socialist Congressman and a Biden-tied Mao lover's firm in his pockets
thespectator.com/topic/tiktok-f…
(1/xx)
TikTok’s CEO is gearing up for a grilling in Congress, but he’s got some new, powerful allies in his corner: a political consulting firm whose founder lavished praise on Mao Zedong and is now one of Biden’s top aides — and a socialist congressman who thespectator.com/topic/tiktok-f…… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Shou Zi Chew, the company’s CEO, is at @HouseCommerce, where Republicans are planning to press him on the national security concerns posed by the video app’s parent company ByteDance’s ties to the Chinese Communist Party.
thespectator.com/topic/tiktok-f…
(3/xx)
thespectator.com/topic/tiktok-f…
(3/xx)
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
We watched 135+ debates so you didn’t have to — and Democrats said some crazy things.
Here are some of the most insane debate moments from Democrats this cycle.
🧵 THREAD.
Here are some of the most insane debate moments from Democrats this cycle.
🧵 THREAD.
Minnesota Democrat Rep. Angie Craig: “I will never stop standing up for Big Pharma and standing against my constituents!” #MN02
Oregon Democrat Tina Kotek called for "meth stabilization center[s]" in Portland — "in addition to making [full drug decriminalization] work." #ORGov
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The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes its final major filing binge before next week's election, dropping $29.4 million in 41 races.
Tonight's dump brings their general election IE total to just under $210 million, over $70 million ahead of their 2020 pace.
Tonight's dump brings their general election IE total to just under $210 million, over $70 million ahead of their 2020 pace.
And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
The @NRCC is out with what's likely it's final major buy ahead of the election, dropping $19.5 million in 29 House races and finally pulling ahead of their 2020 pace, logging $84.4 million in general election IEs.
The DCCC is out with what is likely its final major buy before the election, dropping $8 million in 23 House races and adding the Biden +15% #NY04 to the board as targeted seat number 67.
(This is also the first direct independent expenditure spending by the DCCC to defend DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney in #NY17).
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes tonight's filing dump, dropping $24.9 million in 39 races, bringing its general election IE spending to $175,411,754, more than the $173,430,579 spent by the Democratic House Majority PAC and the DCCC combined.
Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races.
*strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65.
There's the spending boom I was waiting for...the NRCC drops $19.27 million on 31 House races, pulling ahead of its 2020 pace and adding the Biden +20% #PA12 to the board as targeted seat #64, backing Mike Doyle for retiring 14-term Dem Mike Doyle's seat.
The Democratic House Majority PAC goes up with $17.47 million in ads across 40 districts, including the first spending by any of the big four committees in Josh Harder's #CA09, bringing the number of targeted House seats to an even 60.
The @NRCC finally starts to unload its war chest in earnest, dropping $14 million in 23 races.
It has now spent ~$43.9 million in 28 races (vs the DCCC's $76.7 million in 42 races)
It has now spent ~$43.9 million in 28 races (vs the DCCC's $76.7 million in 42 races)
The @dccc's Tuesday night dump at 3 weeks out adds another $12.57M in spending across 25 races, bringing their general election expenditures to $64 million as the NRCC continues to hold back, logging less than $30 million in IEs.
Friday night's filing dump from the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes after a $23.15 million torrent of spending spread across 43 targeted House races.
CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
Congressional Leadership Fund continues to run well ahead of their pace from past cycles and is running laps around the Democratic House Majority PAC, outspending their counterpart $120.9M to $40.7M.
The Democratic House Majority PAC's weekly independent expenditure dump adds another $9.08 million in 34 House races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
The House GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund SuperPAC wraps up its Friday spending dump, finishing up at $22 million deployed across 42 House races.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/…
32 days out, @CLFSuperPAC's general election spending is running ~$60 million ahead of their breakneck 2020 pace.
A pair of major filings from the @dccc and @NRCC within seconds of one another...the DCCC dropping $16.8 million in 33 races and the NRCC still holding back and deploying $5.59M in 9 races.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
#mn02 Legal Marijuana Now candidate Paula Overby's son, Tyler, says his mother passed away this morning at age 68. She had been having heart valve problems and was recently hospitalized.
Of Paula Overby, Tyler says she was "selfless, always trying to help others."
"Always had great advice, wonderful to talk to, always there for you."
She leaves behind her mother, a son, two daughters, a son-in-law, two grandchildren and two sisters.
"Always had great advice, wonderful to talk to, always there for you."
She leaves behind her mother, a son, two daughters, a son-in-law, two grandchildren and two sisters.
Overby's death will have implications in the race. Her party can replace her. But there could be expect possible legal action around how ballots get updated, handled.
A third-party candidate also died in same district in 2020. Overby was nominated to fill his spot in that race.
A third-party candidate also died in same district in 2020. Overby was nominated to fill his spot in that race.
GOP ABORTION LANGUAGE SCRUB: Blake Masters removed language that said, "I am 100% pro-life.” House candidates Tom Barrett of Michigan, Christian Castelli in North Carolina and Barbara Kirkmeyer in Colorado removed similar language from their websites. axios.com/2022/08/31/rep…
Minnesota's GOP nominee for governor, Scott Jensen, removed a line saying he "believes in the sanctity of human life, from conception to natural death." In Oregon, GOP gubernatorial candidate Christine Drazan scrubbed her website's issues page, removing pro-life bonafides.
Gov. Mike DeWine scrubbed his campaign website of references to the law he signed imposing a ban on abortion at six weeks into a pregnancy, and won’t say if he supports Ohio Republican lawmakers’ plans to consider banning abortion completely. #ohleg cleveland.com/news/2022/09/j…
Thread
I just got to looking at many of the photos my #SSMSpackers students took during @POTUS @JoeBiden's visit to Dakota County Technical College in Rosemount, Minnesota. I'll post a series of them from before and during the event.
I just got to looking at many of the photos my #SSMSpackers students took during @POTUS @JoeBiden's visit to Dakota County Technical College in Rosemount, Minnesota. I'll post a series of them from before and during the event.
One of the things we wanted to focus on as student-journalists was what was going on behind the scenes as well as the main event in Dakota County Community College. This Pro-Trump / Anti-Biden group was not the biggest fans of us asking questions or photographing.#SSPMSpackers
Of the nation's current 435 House districts, 226 voted for Trump in '16 and 209 voted for Clinton.
Based on my initial analysis, Biden carried 216, Trump carried 208 and 11 remain too close to call. But it's pretty clear to me Biden is on track for a narrow majority.
Based on my initial analysis, Biden carried 216, Trump carried 208 and 11 remain too close to call. But it's pretty clear to me Biden is on track for a narrow majority.
Here’s what I’ll be watching once results come in tonight: I’ve classified every Minnesota precinct into buckets based on its 2016 vote, and then will see what vote margins it puts up in 2020.
In 2018, as you can see, DFL strongholds held steady while GOP strongholds collapsed.
In 2018, as you can see, DFL strongholds held steady while GOP strongholds collapsed.
This can be helpful at the #mnleg level, too. Here’s an example from House District 44A, a DFL pickup in 2018. In 2016, most of the district’s precincts voted heavily for @Rep_SAnderson. Two years later, she lost support in all types of precincts, especially her '16 strongholds.
@Rep_SAnderson Or in #mn02, where @AngieCraigMN improved against @LewisForMN basically across the board from 2016 to 2018:
Nancy Pelosi is asking Dems to take the scenario of the House deciding the President seriously, Politico reports: politico.com/news/2020/09/2…
If Dems hold their delegations, they would have to flip Alaska-AL *OR* Montana-AL for the House to deadlock. Those 2 races are key.
If Dems hold their delegations, they would have to flip Alaska-AL *OR* Montana-AL for the House to deadlock. Those 2 races are key.
And the bizarre cancellation of the #mn02 election really makes the math trickier for Dems by adding Minnesota as a danger zone.
The link in my first tweet is broken. Here is the correct one: politico.com/news/2020/09/2…
To be clear, there are other delegations Trump could lose than MT and AK, & others Dems could lose than MN.
To be clear, there are other delegations Trump could lose than MT and AK, & others Dems could lose than MN.
NEW: U.S. Rep. Angie Craig tells supporters there are "many outstanding questions" about what will happen in #MN02 after a third-party candidate died.
"You should continue to vote for the entire ballot, including for this congressional race," Craig says.
"You should continue to vote for the entire ballot, including for this congressional race," Craig says.
Minnesota law governing the death of major-party candidates says the #MN02 election will be delayed until Feb. 9.
But the issue is bound for the courts.
But the issue is bound for the courts.
Meanwhile, Republican challenger Tyler Kistner says he’s suspending his ads in #MN02.
