Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #MoreOrLess
Most recents (6)
1/ You may have seen @Telegraph's & @TimHarford's coverage of recent DfT changes to road traffic stats, showing that 20.3bn miles were driven in London in 2019, not 22.6bn.
Low Traffic Neighbourhood enemies claim this means we don't need LTNs.
They're wrong. And I'll prove it.
Low Traffic Neighbourhood enemies claim this means we don't need LTNs.
They're wrong. And I'll prove it.
2/ Not rubbishing @transportgovuk's data, but 1993 👉2019 miles driven on the U.K's roads annually increased by 100 billion. 70% came from cars/taxis, yet the DfT have not explained why their new estimates show just a 200 million mile increase in London in the decade to 2019.
3/ The 'smoking gun' for increasingly desperate Low Traffic Neighbourhood opponents, who've lost the argument, lost in court, and lost at the ballot box is that LTNs that based on the DfT's original data should be scrapped.
There are a couple of massive problems with this idea.
There are a couple of massive problems with this idea.
I’m a Tim Harford voter. Are you?
“The Tim Harford voter is worried that the very foundations of British policymaking seem to be shallow and prone to crack. The bad policies are just the clumsy fondant icing; it’s the cake itself that is rotting away.”
ft.com/content/5fae45…
“The Tim Harford voter is worried that the very foundations of British policymaking seem to be shallow and prone to crack. The bad policies are just the clumsy fondant icing; it’s the cake itself that is rotting away.”
ft.com/content/5fae45…
“Consider Brexit. It’s a foolish policy, to be sure, but much more than that. It was enabled by a vaguely worded referendum that was introduced by a prime minister who crossed his fingers & forbade preparation for the outcome. It was sold to the British people on false pretences
A member of parliament, Jo Cox, was murdered during the campaign
3 of the prime ministers leading the project —Cameron, May & Truss —voted against it, & the other, Johnson, was notoriously ambivalent. Ever since the vote, the process has been mired in vitriol, contempt & denial
3 of the prime ministers leading the project —Cameron, May & Truss —voted against it, & the other, Johnson, was notoriously ambivalent. Ever since the vote, the process has been mired in vitriol, contempt & denial
That Peston article about more vaccinated people in the over 40s getting Covid than unvaccinated?
He did have reason for saying it from the PHE report but the problem was he failed to explain why the percentages were likely unwittingly misleading
theconversation.com/covid-19-why-i…
He did have reason for saying it from the PHE report but the problem was he failed to explain why the percentages were likely unwittingly misleading
theconversation.com/covid-19-why-i…
There have been several threads on it that I will attach to the end of this one, but I think it is easier for some to read a short article that fills in the gaps. This one by @VictimOfMaths is a good one.
I think there is another factor that should be taken into account.
How many in the unvaccinated group were previously (tested + ) infected and therefore likely to have some decent immunity.
How many in the unvaccinated group were previously (tested + ) infected and therefore likely to have some decent immunity.
VACCINE SURVEILLANCE AND STRATEGY
THIS LOOKS HOPEFUL, subject to provisos.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
THIS LOOKS HOPEFUL, subject to provisos.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
PROVISOS
- everyone involved in the chain of events knows about this
-AND there is effective working software to deliver notifications and collate and report incidents
-AND everyone delivers the reports and data
-testing report software links effectively to vaccine software
- everyone involved in the chain of events knows about this
-AND there is effective working software to deliver notifications and collate and report incidents
-AND everyone delivers the reports and data
-testing report software links effectively to vaccine software
- What about surveillance of one dose interval? There are separate studies dealing with HealthcareWorker surveillance (SIREN) and care home residents & staff (Vivaldi), Community Infection Survey (ONS), routine data sources eg via GP software.
Glad to hear the ONS, on #MoreOrLess, pick up on this allegation I saw tweeted out yesterday that the DHSC death data “was discredited” because it counted deaths that were more than 28 days later. Yet they are reluctant to quote the higher ONS COVID death data number.
ONS says 1/ the understanding and therefore the death data on Covid are incomplete but the medical understanding is becoming clearer, not least about longer term patients who die 60 days later .
2/. The DHSC plan is to disclose death data following a positive test a/ within 28 days b/ within 60 days and c/ any death following a positive test.
1/. I am redoing and earlier thread on the DHSC test and death data release from yesterday, when they announced no further daily summaries
I regret that I had too many notes and this resulted in two number typos.
🦠But nothing diverts from the huge black hole they reveal.
I regret that I had too many notes and this resulted in two number typos.
🦠But nothing diverts from the huge black hole they reveal.
2/. First the standard bits
67 of the 44,198 deaths were reported yesterday.
624 of the 284,900 POSITIVE tests were reported yesterday.
Remember that c30k positives were removed from the cumulative total a couple of days ago due to duplication errors.
67 of the 44,198 deaths were reported yesterday.
624 of the 284,900 POSITIVE tests were reported yesterday.
Remember that c30k positives were removed from the cumulative total a couple of days ago due to duplication errors.
3/ 🦠So pillar 1 tests are counted as “processed” when they actually have been in the lab.
Pillar 2 are “administered”
EITHER when they are sent out
OR processed in the lab
Surely both stages are counted somehow
They note ‼️ NOT all tests sent out are returned.
I should coco
Pillar 2 are “administered”
EITHER when they are sent out
OR processed in the lab
Surely both stages are counted somehow
They note ‼️ NOT all tests sent out are returned.
I should coco
