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#FatefulTriangle

1/ Militarily, TPLF looks finished; at least as a conventional fighting force. At least for the time being. Its ranks decimated, its fighters demoralized and its popular support at an all time low.
2/ In reality, #TPLF has nothing in its hands to bargain with, other than the threat of future insurgency. At this point in time, the only bargaining chip it has is the support of the USG.
3/ The US is in the talks not only to 'observe' but also 'particiapte', as per @StateDeptSpox Ned Price.

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