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Dire predictions with Hurricane #Florence look increasingly likely for the Carolinas/Virginia. Several points need to be made as Monday dawns.
1) This will be a LARGE storm. HWRF model Simulated IR satellite is an esitmate, but shows a storm as large as North Carolina.
1) This will be a LARGE storm. HWRF model Simulated IR satellite is an esitmate, but shows a storm as large as North Carolina.
2) @NHC_Atlantic official forecast is 150 mph winds (near Category 5) offshore. #Florence will likely be Category 4 near landfall with 140 mph winds. Landfall zone may still shift, but most models show a devastating wind field near Wilmington/Topsail/Jacksonville, NC Thursday.
3) Historical comparisons w/ Hugo (wind/surge damage) & Harvey (flood damage) look more likely with each new model run. #Florence will likely stall inland or on NC coast for 3-4 days. 20" to 30"+ rainfall totals look likely. This would produce devastating floods.
