Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #OH09
Most recents (15)
There are 18 Republican House Members representing Districts which Biden won in 2020:
#AZ01 - Schweikert
#AZ06 - Ciscomani*
#CA13 - Duarte*
#CA22 - Valadao
#CA27 - Garcia
#CA40 - Kim
#CA45 - Steele
#NE02 - Bacon
#NJ07 - Kean
#NY01 - LaLota*
#NY03 - Santos*
#NY04 - D’Esposito*
#AZ01 - Schweikert
#AZ06 - Ciscomani*
#CA13 - Duarte*
#CA22 - Valadao
#CA27 - Garcia
#CA40 - Kim
#CA45 - Steele
#NE02 - Bacon
#NJ07 - Kean
#NY01 - LaLota*
#NY03 - Santos*
#NY04 - D’Esposito*
📍 Avon, Ohio
#OHSen candidate @JDVance1 is kicking off Election Day Eve with an event in Lorain County.
“The biggest threat to American security in my lifetime is this terrible crisis at the southern border,” Vance says, as he delivers his usual stump speech.
~60 people here.
#OHSen candidate @JDVance1 is kicking off Election Day Eve with an event in Lorain County.
“The biggest threat to American security in my lifetime is this terrible crisis at the southern border,” Vance says, as he delivers his usual stump speech.
~60 people here.
As the #OHSen race winds down, I asked @JDVance1 what block of voters has been the toughest to get through to.
“…a lot of the Trump base is still very hard to get through to, in part because they don’t trust the press — in my view, rightfully so.”
He also says suburban women.
“…a lot of the Trump base is still very hard to get through to, in part because they don’t trust the press — in my view, rightfully so.”
He also says suburban women.
In Avon, I asked #OHSen candidate @JDVance1 what he says to voters who like outgoing-@senrobportman’s dealmaking style on Capitol Hill and wonder if Vance will replicate it.
“I’m running to get things done. And that’s the way in which I think Senator Portman really is a model.”
“I’m running to get things done. And that’s the way in which I think Senator Portman really is a model.”
And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
$45.9 million in 57 House races...
adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73
The DCCC is out with what is likely its final major buy before the election, dropping $8 million in 23 House races and adding the Biden +15% #NY04 to the board as targeted seat number 67.
(This is also the first direct independent expenditure spending by the DCCC to defend DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney in #NY17).
Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races.
*strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65.
The Democratic House Majority PAC goes up with $17.47 million in ads across 40 districts, including the first spending by any of the big four committees in Josh Harder's #CA09, bringing the number of targeted House seats to an even 60.
The @dccc's Tuesday night dump at 3 weeks out adds another $12.57M in spending across 25 races, bringing their general election expenditures to $64 million as the NRCC continues to hold back, logging less than $30 million in IEs.
The Democratic House Majority PAC's weekly independent expenditure dump adds another $9.08 million in 34 House races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
A pair of major filings from the @dccc and @NRCC within seconds of one another...the DCCC dropping $16.8 million in 33 races and the NRCC still holding back and deploying $5.59M in 9 races.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
Thread: which party is "ahead" in redistricting? In my view, it's close to a wash. But the truth is, it depends which metric you use.
As @Nate_Cohn has alluded, tracking by district partisanship (slight Dem gain) differs from tracking by seat control (neutral/slight GOP gain).
As @Nate_Cohn has alluded, tracking by district partisanship (slight Dem gain) differs from tracking by seat control (neutral/slight GOP gain).
New Jersey's new map is a perfect illustration. By @CookPolitical PVI (a measure of districts' 16/20 prez performance vs. national result), three seats have gone from R-leaning to D-leaning: #NJ03, #NJ05 and #NJ11.
Meanwhile, one seat moves from D-leaning to R-leaning: #NJ07.
Meanwhile, one seat moves from D-leaning to R-leaning: #NJ07.
By district partisanship metrics, that sounds like a great deal for Dems. And it mostly is!
However, Dems currently hold *all four* of these seats. That means the new map's most likely practical outcome in 2022 is still a Dem loss of one seat (9D-3R, down from 10D-2R in 2020).
However, Dems currently hold *all four* of these seats. That means the new map's most likely practical outcome in 2022 is still a Dem loss of one seat (9D-3R, down from 10D-2R in 2020).
In other news, Ohio Republicans appear to be pursuing a brutal 13R-2D gerrymander (up from 12R-4D today).
If enacted, this map would end #OH09 Rep. Marcy Kaptur's (D) career by flipping her seat red. It would also flip Rep. Tim Ryan's (D) open #OH13 red and eliminate retiring Rep. Anthony Gonzalez's (R) #OH16.
Pretty much the last remaining obstacle is the OH Supreme Court.
Pretty much the last remaining obstacle is the OH Supreme Court.
The only competitive district on this map would be GOP Rep. Steve Chabot (R)'s #OH01, where Cincinnati is required to be kept whole per Ohio's new rules. But if the 2022 environment is anything like we saw last night, Rs would stand a decent chance of keeping it.
If you thought Ohio Republicans' 12R-4D map this past decade was an aggressive gerrymander, just wait until you see this 13R-2D (!) map, which could wipe out half of Dems' House majority in just one state.
Yes, there's a new commission in OH, but Republicans could easily go around it if it deadlocks...and this map would put both #OH09 Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D) and #OH13 Rep. Tim Ryan (D) in brutal districts that voted for Trump by 10%+.
And even worse for Dems, the 13R-2D map above *complies* w/ OH's new anti-gerrymandering criteria, including keeping the cities of Cleveland & Cincinnati whole and minimizing split counties.
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!
#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!
#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601
Hey #Ohio
Democratic Candidates (#Primary winners) THREAD
#Midterms2018
VOTE NOV 6, 2018
Register by October 9: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#OH01 #OH02 #OH03 #OH04 #OH05 #OH06 #OH07 #OH08 #OH09 #OH10 #OH11 #OH12 #OH13 #OH14 #OH15 #OH16
Democratic Candidates (#Primary winners) THREAD
#Midterms2018
VOTE NOV 6, 2018
Register by October 9: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#OH01 #OH02 #OH03 #OH04 #OH05 #OH06 #OH07 #OH08 #OH09 #OH10 #OH11 #OH12 #OH13 #OH14 #OH15 #OH16
Voter Registration in Ohio
Online here olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Or Print out here sos.state.oh.us/globalassets/e…
And mail to County Board of Elections, Addresses here:
sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Wonder if you're still registered? Purged perhaps?
KEEP checking here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Online here olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Or Print out here sos.state.oh.us/globalassets/e…
And mail to County Board of Elections, Addresses here:
sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Wonder if you're still registered? Purged perhaps?
KEEP checking here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Absentee Ballot OHIO
Request by November 3, 2018
Back by Nov 6
Application here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Military Overseas? sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
County Board of Elections: sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Request by November 3, 2018
Back by Nov 6
Application here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Military Overseas? sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
County Board of Elections: sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Hey #Ohio
Who are the Democratic Candidates in your District?
This is a THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with their websites #PRIMARIES
VOTE MAY 8, 2018
Register by April 9, 2018 here: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#Midterms2018
Who are the Democratic Candidates in your District?
This is a THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with their websites #PRIMARIES
VOTE MAY 8, 2018
Register by April 9, 2018 here: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#Midterms2018
#OH #Primaries VOTE MAY 8, 2018
Absentee Ballot Request by May 5, 2018
Back by May 8, 2018
Request here: sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Early Voting starts April 10 (Military Overseas, Starts March 24)
By mail begins April 11
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Absentee Ballot Request by May 5, 2018
Back by May 8, 2018
Request here: sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Early Voting starts April 10 (Military Overseas, Starts March 24)
By mail begins April 11
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Voter Registration in Ohio
Online here olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Or Print out here sos.state.oh.us/globalassets/e…
And mail to County Board of Elections, Addresses here:
sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Wonder if you're still registered? Purged perhaps?
KEEP checking here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Online here olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Or Print out here sos.state.oh.us/globalassets/e…
And mail to County Board of Elections, Addresses here:
sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Wonder if you're still registered? Purged perhaps?
KEEP checking here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
