@JDVance1

@JDVance1

Most recents (15)

There are 18 Republican House Members representing Districts which Biden won in 2020:

#AZ01 - Schweikert
#AZ06 - Ciscomani*
#CA13 - Duarte*
#CA22 - Valadao
#CA27 - Garcia
#CA40 - Kim
#CA45 - Steele
#NE02 - Bacon
#NJ07 - Kean
#NY01 - LaLota*
#NY03 - Santos*
#NY04 - D’Esposito*

Republican House Members representing Districts which Biden won in 2020 (continued):

#NY17 - Lawler*
#NY19 - Molinaro*
#NY22 - Williams*
#OR05 - Chavez-DeRemer*
#PA01 - Fitzpatrick
#VA02 - Kiggans*

* Freshman members

And there are 5 Democratic House Members representing districts which Trump won in 2020:

#AKAL - Peltola
#ME02 - Golden
#OH09 - Kaptur
#PA08 - Cartwright
#WA03 - Gluesenkamp-Perez*

* Freshman member

Read 4 tweets

Taylor Popielarz

@TaylorPopielarz

📍 Avon, Ohio

#OHSen candidate @JDVance1 is kicking off Election Day Eve with an event in Lorain County.

“The biggest threat to American security in my lifetime is this terrible crisis at the southern border,” Vance says, as he delivers his usual stump speech.

~60 people here.

@JDVance1

As the #OHSen race winds down, I asked @JDVance1 what block of voters has been the toughest to get through to.

“…a lot of the Trump base is still very hard to get through to, in part because they don’t trust the press — in my view, rightfully so.”

He also says suburban women.

@JDVance1

In Avon, I asked #OHSen candidate @JDVance1 what he says to voters who like outgoing-@senrobportman’s dealmaking style on Capitol Hill and wonder if Vance will replicate it.

“I’m running to get things done. And that’s the way in which I think Senator Portman really is a model.”

Read 6 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587989886933471233

And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...

$45.9 million in 57 House races...

adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587989886933471233

Tonight's HMP buys (1/4)

#NY03 $2,091,249
#NY18 $1,987,496
#NJ11 $1,961,501
#NJ05 $1,961,476
#PA07 $1,687,355
#IL17 $1,674,366
#TX28 $1,579,645
#VA07 $1,480,888
#MI07 $1,480,436
#PA17 $1,366,568
#MN02 $1,349,450
#NY19 $1,317,868
#NH01 $1,262,355
#CA13 $1,170,657
#NH02 $1,083,220

Tonight's HMP buys (2/4)

#NY04 $1,073,658
#AZ01 $1,054,068
#WA08 $1,050,275
#TX34 $1,034,351
#OR06 $1,008,020
#OH13 $961,300
#IN01 $947,522
#NV01 $902,915
#PA08 $882,593
#IL13 $866,533
#NM02 $840,709
#NY22 $804,598
#OH01 $759,588
#CO08 $746,912
#ME02 $726,274
#NC13 $710,544

Read 6 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587559292940406784

The DCCC is out with what is likely its final major buy before the election, dropping $8 million in 23 House races and adding the Biden +15% #NY04 to the board as targeted seat number 67.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587559292940406784

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587559292940406784

(This is also the first direct independent expenditure spending by the DCCC to defend DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney in #NY17).

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587559292940406784

Today's DCCC buys (1/2)

#CA22 $1,142,098
#NV03 $1,094,710
#ME02 $932,408
#CA49 $880,015
#PA08 $739,586
#IL17 $553,515
#OH13 $505,750
#CT05 $486,503
#PA17 $368,367
#NV04 $333,393
#NE02 $201,976
#NY17 $112,517
#VA07 $108,368
#TX28 $93,997
#NH01 $90,100
#OH01 $79,700
#NY04 $71,000

Read 4 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1585465157441814528

Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1585465157441814528

*strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65.

Tonight's HMP buys (1/3)

#NJ05 $1,959,458
#PA07 $1,720,125
#MI07 $1,507,533
#VA07 $1,284,208
#TX28 $1,259,722
#CA13 $1,206,064
#NH01 $1,196,950
#MN02 $1,176,281
#IL17 $958,645
#IN01 $953,087
#PA17 $915,645
#NV01 $887,864
#NY19 $846,081
#WA08 $813,814
#OH13 $795,000

Read 6 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1583287245347250176

The Democratic House Majority PAC goes up with $17.47 million in ads across 40 districts, including the first spending by any of the big four committees in Josh Harder's #CA09, bringing the number of targeted House seats to an even 60.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1583287245347250176

Today's HMP buys (1/3)

#NV01 $1,409,339
#NV04 $1,085,708
#NV03 $1,063,115
#CA22 $1,058,595
#NH01 $1,037,920
#NY19 $961,780
#TX28 $929,827
#OH13 $870,198
#MN02 $739,191
#WA08 $738,334
#IN01 $686,882
#KS03 $646,562
#CO08 $590,088
#OR06 $587,541
#NY22 $491,388
#TX34 $460,863

Today's HMP buys (2/3)

#OH01 $459,646
#CA49 $436,650
#RI02 $409,455
#PA17 $379,011
#NC01 $345,232
#NE02 $312,778
#GA02 $210,676
#OH09 $205,321
#NJ07 $171,807
#IA03 $164,363
#IL13 $158,950
#CA13 $123,963
#MI08 $116,751
#VA07 $105,000
#NY03 $91,071
#AZ04 $86,070
#MI07 $58,083

Read 4 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

@dccc

The @dccc's Tuesday night dump at 3 weeks out adds another $12.57M in spending across 25 races, bringing their general election expenditures to $64 million as the NRCC continues to hold back, logging less than $30 million in IEs.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1582520246199406593

Tonight's DCCC buys (1/2)

#PA07 $1,428,543
#ME02 $1,069,016
#CA13 $996,949
#PA17 $873,065
#VA07 $792,735
#CA49 $691,181
#NC13 $690,254
#MN02 $669,933
#TX34 $654,685
#IL17 $629,957
#AZ02 $598,373
#MI07 $587,659
#OR06 $564,579
#NM02 $451,682
#CT05 $418,141
#PA08 $408,710

Tonight's DCCC buys (2/2)

#OH13 $300,000
#NV03 $254,683
#NY18 $128,125
#NV04 $81,141
#NV01 $79,448
#TX28 $73,500
#OH01 $56,260
#OH09 $34,872
#AZ04 $32,375

Read 4 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1580732909685571586

The Democratic House Majority PAC's weekly independent expenditure dump adds another $9.08 million in 34 House races.

HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1580732909685571586

Today's HMP buys (1/2)

#NV01 $1,121,509
#CA22 $995,205
#CA49 $896,348
#NV03 $859,247
#NV04 $809,496
#IN01 $683,122
#NH01 $538,117
#CT05 $529,755
#PA17 $462,496
#NC01 $348,908
#MI03 $317,726
#NE02 $219,314
#IL13 $176,899
#NJ07 $171,807
#OH09 $126,225
#CA13 $123,443
#MI08 $86,833

Today's HMP buys (2/2)

#AZ04 $49,500
#IL17 $49,100
#PA08 $45,854
#NY03 $45,221
#VA07 $45,000
#CO07 $44,534
#RI02 $43,500
#MN02 $40,000
#WA08 $39,318
#OH13 $39,000
#NY22 $38,750
#MI07 $31,000
#VA02 $27,846
#NY19 $23,333
#PA07 $18,333
#ME02 $16,732
#OR06 $15,000

Read 4 tweets

Rob Pyers

@rpyers

@dccc

A pair of major filings from the @dccc and @NRCC within seconds of one another...the DCCC dropping $16.8 million in 33 races and the NRCC still holding back and deploying $5.59M in 9 races.

The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.

Today's DCCC buys (1/3)

#MI07 $1,023,595
#WA08 $914,082
#CA13 $887,013
#TX28 $877,736
#PA07 $822,504
#VA07 $738,010
#CO08 $724,286
#NC01 $678,431
#NH01 $670,977
#OH13 $624,694
#MN02 $603,123
#NY19 $578,924
#GA02 $577,265
#AZ04 $574,484
#OR05 $568,706

Today's DCCC buys (2/3)

#IL17 $564,045
#OH01 $562,891
#OR06 $517,844
#PA17 $515,834
#VA02 $491,375
#MI03 $474,695
#NY22 $434,336
#MI08 $426,641
#KS03 $406,528
#NM02 $356,148
#PA08 $324,212
#IA03 $202,940
#NV03 $192,497
#OR04 $189,071
#NV01 $174,997
#CA49 $59,999

Read 6 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn

Thread: which party is "ahead" in redistricting? In my view, it's close to a wash. But the truth is, it depends which metric you use.

As @Nate_Cohn has alluded, tracking by district partisanship (slight Dem gain) differs from tracking by seat control (neutral/slight GOP gain).

@CookPolitical

New Jersey's new map is a perfect illustration. By @CookPolitical PVI (a measure of districts' 16/20 prez performance vs. national result), three seats have gone from R-leaning to D-leaning: #NJ03, #NJ05 and #NJ11.

Meanwhile, one seat moves from D-leaning to R-leaning: #NJ07.

By district partisanship metrics, that sounds like a great deal for Dems. And it mostly is!

However, Dems currently hold *all four* of these seats. That means the new map's most likely practical outcome in 2022 is still a Dem loss of one seat (9D-3R, down from 10D-2R in 2020).

Read 7 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

https://twitter.com/jbalmert/status/1455910735834501128

In other news, Ohio Republicans appear to be pursuing a brutal 13R-2D gerrymander (up from 12R-4D today).

https://twitter.com/jbalmert/status/1455910735834501128

If enacted, this map would end #OH09 Rep. Marcy Kaptur's (D) career by flipping her seat red. It would also flip Rep. Tim Ryan's (D) open #OH13 red and eliminate retiring Rep. Anthony Gonzalez's (R) #OH16.

Pretty much the last remaining obstacle is the OH Supreme Court.

The only competitive district on this map would be GOP Rep. Steve Chabot (R)'s #OH01, where Cincinnati is required to be kept whole per Ohio's new rules. But if the 2022 environment is anything like we saw last night, Rs would stand a decent chance of keeping it.

Read 3 tweets

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict

If you thought Ohio Republicans' 12R-4D map this past decade was an aggressive gerrymander, just wait until you see this 13R-2D (!) map, which could wipe out half of Dems' House majority in just one state.

Yes, there's a new commission in OH, but Republicans could easily go around it if it deadlocks...and this map would put both #OH09 Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D) and #OH13 Rep. Tim Ryan (D) in brutal districts that voted for Trump by 10%+.

And even worse for Dems, the 13R-2D map above *complies* w/ OH's new anti-gerrymandering criteria, including keeping the cities of Cleveland & Cincinnati whole and minimizing split counties.

Read 3 tweets

Puesto Loco™

@PuestoLoco

@RepThompson

CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540

@SpeakerPelosi

CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104

@RepZoeLofgren

CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!

#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601

Read 46 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

Hey #Ohio
Democratic Candidates (#Primary winners) THREAD
#Midterms2018
VOTE NOV 6, 2018
Register by October 9: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#OH01 #OH02 #OH03 #OH04 #OH05 #OH06 #OH07 #OH08 #OH09 #OH10 #OH11 #OH12 #OH13 #OH14 #OH15 #OH16

Voter Registration in Ohio
Online here olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Or Print out here sos.state.oh.us/globalassets/e…
And mail to County Board of Elections, Addresses here:
sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Wonder if you're still registered? Purged perhaps?
KEEP checking here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…

Absentee Ballot OHIO
Request by November 3, 2018
Back by Nov 6
Application here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
Military Overseas? sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
County Board of Elections: sos.state.oh.us/elections/elec…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…

Read 28 tweets

postcardsforAmerica

@postcards4USA

Hey #Ohio
Who are the Democratic Candidates in your District?
This is a THREAD of All Democratic Candidates with their websites #PRIMARIES
VOTE MAY 8, 2018
Register by April 9, 2018 here: olvr.sos.state.oh.us
Find Polling Place here: sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…
#Midterms2018

#OH #Primaries VOTE MAY 8, 2018
Absentee Ballot Request by May 5, 2018
Back by May 8, 2018
Request here: sos.state.oh.us/secretary-hust…
Info sos.state.oh.us/publications/o…
Early Voting starts April 10 (Military Overseas, Starts March 24)
By mail begins April 11
Track sos.state.oh.us/elections/vote…

Read 30 tweets

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