Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #PA16

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🚨MY MASTER THREAD of #Midterm2018 results analysis, including an array of data dives. Will the country chose to repudiate president Trump? Health care instead of the wall? RT & strap in, folks, tonight could be a wild ride. We get the first batch of results at around 6 PM ET.
Turnout has looked unprecedented for weeks now. Indications today that it could even beat these lofty expectations. At this point I think I’d buy for pickups in Tossup sub/urban seats like #TX07 #TX32 and #TX26, but sell in more rural districts that have looked like reaches.
Read 82 tweets
Holy crap. The new Sabato Crystal Ball House ratings change is...big.

This is the first time the Crystal Ball has given Democrats better than 50/50 odds of taking the House. And there is a LOT to unpack here.

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
Here are Sabato's topline changes.

5 races are no longer Safe R: #IA04, #IN02, #IN09, #PA16, #TX31

3 races shift from Likely R to Lean R: #AR02, #FL16, #NM02

9 more R seats are now Tossups: #IA03, #IL06, #KY06, #MI08, #OH01, #OH12, #TX07, #WV03

And #FL13 is now Safe D.
Here are a few takeaways:

-White nationalist Rep. Steve King has a credible challenge
-IN and WV have competitive House races (and the extra attention from Ds could help their senators here)
-#OH12 special is REALLY close
-Dem women vets (McGrath, Hegar) are kicking ass.
Read 3 tweets
THREAD

Q2 Fundraising is over, and Democrats did a great job!

But I was chatting with @ybbkaren and an interesting question came up:

With SO MANY great candidates, how do we decide who needs donations the most? Many are worthy, but our personal funds are not unlimited.
So I came up with an idea for my own list of Dems who need $$$ based upon the following criteria:

*They have won their primary
*They are trying to flip “swing” GOP-held seats (per @CookPolitical ratings)
*They are behind their GOP opponents in “Cash on Hand” (per @OpenSecretsDC)
That’s not to say that other Democrats in swing districts are not worthy. They are. But the following, from a strategic $$$ perspective, might be the best place to donate *for now*.

This is the list of those House candidates, and their donation links, based on that criteria:
Read 27 tweets
🚨 Please share broadly! As usual, the Kochs are dumping tons of money into GOP candidates...especially into *critical swing districts* we need to flip.

I've threaded links below to the Democratic challengers in these races. Please RT and support them! /1
truth-out.org/news/item/4458…
I focused the list of NOMINEES. These are Democrats in swing districts who have already won their primaries and are facing off against Koch-infused Republicans in fall.
#IL06
GOP Koch Candidate: Peter Roskam
Dem Challenger: Sean Casten @SeanCasten
castenforcongress.com
Read 33 tweets
Hey #Pennsylvania!
Here’s All the Democratic Candidates (#Primary Winners) for #Midterms2018!
With website & voter info links! Includes info on New vs Old Districts.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
VOTER REGISTRATION in Pennsylvania
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018 #Midterms2018
Register by Oct 6 here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#BlueWavePA
Hey #Pennsylvania!
Here’s All the Democratic Candidates (#Primary Winners) for #Midterms2018!
With website & voter info links! Includes info on New vs Old Districts.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Read 31 tweets
Hey #Pennsylvania you get to vote in Primaries on MAY 15, 2018
For Congress & Lt. Gov
THREAD of ALL Democratic Candidates below.
#PA01 #PA02 #PA03 #PA04 #PA05 #PA06 #PA07 #PA08 #PA09 #PA10 #PA11 #PA12 #PA13 #PA14 #PA15 #PA16 #PA17 #PA18
Voter Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Pennsylvania Primary Election MAY 15, 2018
Registration Deadline Apr 16, 2018
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Check Registration here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Find where you Vote here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/PollingP…
#Pennsylvania Redrawn District Maps #PADistricts
#NOMoreIncumbents
What is Where Now?
THREAD
Be sure & utilize this newfound fairness and VOTE!
Register here: pavoterservices.pa.gov/Pages/VoterReg…
Form for Absentee here: votespa.com/en-us/Document…
Next Election: Primaries May 15, 2018
Read 27 tweets

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