Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Pingdemic
Most recents (4)
Our paper quantifying the economic return from test-trace-quarantine policies during pandemics is now out @RSocPublishing. TL;DR version is that returns are massive royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rs… 1/5
Preprint thread that emphasizes optimal setting of the risk threshold for quarantine linked here. UK #pingdemic would be a good application 2/5
Key insight is that if some control process keeps the geometric mean of R(t) near 1 one way or another, better it should happen via targeted measures than indiscriminately. Value is calculated without needing to trade off lives for livelihoods 3/5 
Picture this…
You get a text from your child's school informing you that there is an outbreak of chickenpox.
You get a text from your child's school informing you that there is an outbreak of chickenpox.
You know straight away that you’re going to have to cancel that BBQ at the weekend at your parents’ house and you’ll have to re-arrange that playdate at their cousins, because your sister-in-law is pregnant.
Deaths due to chickenpox occur about 1 per 60,000 cases, because everyone naturally knows how to react when outbreaks happen.
My reaction to the news today? Well, *of course* Saj would have Covid two days before the VC Day celebrations! Of course he bloody would. This is the UK, after all, where the pandemic is permanently mired in irony as well as ineptitude. Let’s take stock as 19 Jul approaches. 1/20
2/20 Only in the UK would we be hitting 50k+ Delta cases a day and climbing, while telling kids they can go clubbing again and pub-goers that they can prop up bars.
3/20 Only in the UK would the Chief Medical Officer publicly back the opening, but then tell people to be careful. And then suggest that we might only have a five-week window before we lockdown again. (Make the most of it, folks!)
Meanwhile in #France,
"the peak of this second wave is over"
(according to the President in his Adress to the Nation):
"the peak of this second wave is over"
(according to the President in his Adress to the Nation):
Wait... "the peak is over" doesn´t mean "it´s back to normal"!
Confinement will only fall on December 15,
if there´s less than 5.000 new cases a day.
(today it´s ~9.000).
France is disappointed.🙁
Although they certainly can make it happen.
Confinement will only fall on December 15,
if there´s less than 5.000 new cases a day.
(today it´s ~9.000).
France is disappointed.🙁
Although they certainly can make it happen.
Meanwhile in #Switzerland:
(excess mortality of the second wave is significant)
Good news: fastest decrease in infections happens in the worst hit areas now.
(excess mortality of the second wave is significant)
Good news: fastest decrease in infections happens in the worst hit areas now.
