Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #PollOfPolls

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#PollofPolls | Who will win in 5 states?

#ExitPoll coverage LIVE now on NDTV 24x7 and ndtv.com/live

#ElectionsWithNDTV
#PollOfPolls | Poll of 4 exit polls at 7:10 pm: Mamata Banerjee ahead with 149 seats, BJP and allies to win 116

#ElectionsWithNDTV

#ExitPoll coverage LIVE now on NDTV 24x7 and ndtv.com/live
#PollOfPolls | Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool will win 149 of 294 seats in Bengal and its nearest rival, the BJP, will be second with 116 seats, says NDTV's poll of exit polls after state elections.

Read here: ndtv.com/india-news/pol…
Read 5 tweets
While @yougov was the outlier in the 2017 General Election, it was also the closest to picking the final result, mainly because they picked the upswing in turnout among young people. /2
While the latest UK poll results vary wildly (especially wrt #EuropeanElection2019) the trend is clear - disastrous for @Conservatives, worsening for @UKLabour and miraculous for @brexitparty_uk (aka @Nigel_Farage). /3
Read 14 tweets
Thread 1/7
#EP2019 in the UK
As it seems certain the UK will be voting in May, it's time for a #pollofpolls and a seat projection.

I am using the 6 most recent polls bookended by 2 @YouGov polls, one published today.

First start with the last election and the current polling.
@YouGov 2/7
#EP2019 in the UK

The U.K. elects 73 MEPs in 12 regional constituencies. using the D'Hondt system of proporional representation in Britain and S.T.V. like we have in Ireland for the 3 Northern Irish seats.

Most #EP2019 polling does not include N.I.

Here's the 2014 map
@YouGov 3/7
#EP2019 in the UK

Here are my projections for the 4 constituencies in the South & East of England.

This was the region which delived the "Leave" in the 2016 #brexit referendum, although London voted "Remain".

Most of @UKIP vote in 2014 has now switched to @brexitparty_uk
Read 7 tweets
#pollofpolls 1/6
Time for my February update which comes in two parts, the second part will be regional detail& projections coming tomorrow. Today I'll just look at headline national figure and trends.
Over the past month the only gains have been made by independents & others.
#pollofpolls 2/6
While @FineGael contine to poll above 30%, the small gain that @fiannafailparty made at the turn of the year has now been reversed and FF are now back to polling lower than their #GE16 result.
@FineGael @fiannafailparty On the left, @sinnfeinireland appears to be holding at ~17% which should generate seats gains in #LE19 but @labour continue to flatline on ~5% meaning potential #LE19 losses and no seat in #EP19.
Read 6 tweets

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