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Our Perspective is out in @NatureGeosci! “Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budget to guide climate policy” -- everything you ever wanted to know about carbon budgets in only 10 pages! Or keep reading for the 10-tweet version ... 1/10
nature.com/articles/s4156…
2/ First off. What is a remaining carbon budget (RCB)? Total future CO2 emissions (from fossil fuels and/or land-use) that is consistent with limiting warming to a particular target, from now until the time emissions reach net-zero. Only CO2 mind … none of them other GHGs
3/ Why is the RCB finite? Each CO2 emission increases global temperature, as per the TCRE (Transient Climate Response to cumulative CO2 Emissions -- a remarkably robust linear relationship, despite many uncertainties). So, stable global temp requires (net)-zero CO2 emissions
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