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Three features of the situation at the beginning of 2023. A short thread 🧵 on the near future of #Russianpolitics
1. #Putin's dependence on the #Russian military has sharply increased. At the same time, the military itself is completely "subjugated" to the political leadership and does not have subjectivity, which means that we should not expect it to try to influence the president.
But all of Putin's "legacy,” all of his grandiose plans to restore historical justice, not to mention his own future and physical security, now directly depend on the people fighting at the front.
