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Various people including @michaelshermer and #ScottAaronson have asked how specifically advanced AI systems would cause human extinction, as if some incredible insight that we can't see right now is required.
However, I think that is wrong. Losing will be boring, actually.
However, I think that is wrong. Losing will be boring, actually.
Once you have technology for making optimizing systems that are smarter than human (by a lot), the threshold that those systems have to beat is beating the human-aligned superorganisms we currently have, like our governments, NGOs and militaries.
Lopsided military conflicts are boring. The Conquistadors didn't do anything magical to defeat the Aztecs, actually. They had a big advantage in disease resistance and in military tech like gunpowder, but everything they did was fundamentally normal - attacks, sieges, etc.
