Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #SimpsonsParadox

Most recents (1)

Edward Simpson, of Simpson's paradox, died last month at age 96.
telegraph.co.uk/obituaries/201…

Like all of us, I was taught #SimpsonsParadox by people who had not read what Simpson wrote:
jstor.org/stable/2984065

Then I read Simpson's paper and realized all the books were incorrect.
Simpson's example illustrates the distinction between confounders and colliders, but...

in 1972, Blyth failed to grasp the causal structure of Simpson's example and misrepresented it as confounding
jstor.org/stable/2284382

Most people read Blyth only, which perpetuated the error
So chances are that the #SimpsonsParadox you were taught is plain, extreme confounding

(all those cool graphs you have seen for Simpson's paradox just describe extreme #confounding)

when in reality Simpson's example is way more interesting.

More here
👇
academic.oup.com/ije/article/40…
Read 3 tweets

Related hashtags

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!