Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #StrategicAutonomy
Most recents (24)
The #SpanishPPC is starting 👉 as always, we'll be highlighting the main discussion points and takeaways from our diverse array of expert speakers
So stay tuned! And while you're following the PPC, head over to @rielcano for all the latest from our co-organisers 🇪🇸
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So stay tuned! And while you're following the PPC, head over to @rielcano for all the latest from our co-organisers 🇪🇸
/THREAD🧵
The #SpanishPPC is the latest in TEPSA's longstanding tradition of joining with one of its Member Institutes to preview the incoming rotating Presidencies of the Council of the European Union
Today, we are teaming up with @rielcano to preview the Spanish Presidency #EU2023ES
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Today, we are teaming up with @rielcano to preview the Spanish Presidency #EU2023ES
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The welcoming words from @rielcano Chairman José Juan Ruiz, who opens our conference with his warm opening statement on how this conference aims to build a better Europe for the future
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Fudan Prof. Jian Junbo (简军波) discusses the European Union's #StrategicAutonomy, 🇪🇺-🇨🇳 relations in 2023 and provides his government with a few suggestions.
THREAD 🧵
THREAD 🧵
🔹EU #StrategicAutonomy according to Jian:
1. Benefits the development of #EU-#China relations by freeing the EU from the influence of “third parties” (i.e. the US).
2. In line with China’s desire for a multipolar world order.
However...
1. Benefits the development of #EU-#China relations by freeing the EU from the influence of “third parties” (i.e. the US).
2. In line with China’s desire for a multipolar world order.
However...
3. EU strategic autonomy also has a strong anti-#China element to it.
📢 “It is a double-edged sword for 🇪🇺-🇨🇳 relations and is to a certain extent an important causal factor in the conflict over 'values' between China and Europe."
📢 “It is a double-edged sword for 🇪🇺-🇨🇳 relations and is to a certain extent an important causal factor in the conflict over 'values' between China and Europe."
One year after #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine, Chinese experts assess the war's impact on 🇪🇺-🇨🇳 and 🇪🇺-🇺🇸relations and predict what may lie ahead.
Hint: Uncertainty prevails...
KEY TAKEAWAYS 🧵
sinification.substack.com/p/eu-china-rel…
Hint: Uncertainty prevails...
KEY TAKEAWAYS 🧵
sinification.substack.com/p/eu-china-rel…
1⃣ The #UkraineWar has hobbled the EU’s push for #StrategicAutonomy, but its desire to pursue this goal remains.
2⃣ The war has increased the EU’s dependence on and tilt towards the #UnitedStates. This trend is largely expected to continue.
2⃣ The war has increased the EU’s dependence on and tilt towards the #UnitedStates. This trend is largely expected to continue.
3⃣ The war has accelerated the EU’s shift of emphasis to “competitor” and “rival” in its triadic “partner-competitor-rival” positioning on 🇨🇳.
4⃣ Beijing’s stance in the #UkraineRussiaWar has been misunderstood and has contributed to Europe’s growing antagonism towards Beijing.
4⃣ Beijing’s stance in the #UkraineRussiaWar has been misunderstood and has contributed to Europe’s growing antagonism towards Beijing.
The effect of the #UkraineRussiaWar on the EU's quest for #StrategicAutonomy according to CICIR analyst Zhang Jian.
🔹CICIR is one of #China's most influential think tanks with links to the 🇨🇳 Ministry of State Security.
EXCERPTS 🧵
🔹CICIR is one of #China's most influential think tanks with links to the 🇨🇳 Ministry of State Security.
EXCERPTS 🧵
🪧 What is EU #StrategicAutonomy?
According to Zhang at least, it means the #EU “breaking away from US control and gaining the power to make strategic decisions on its own.”
According to Zhang at least, it means the #EU “breaking away from US control and gaining the power to make strategic decisions on its own.”
1⃣ “The crisis in #Ukraine has rendered the already unpromising prospects of the EU's strategic autonomy even bleaker.”
How is the #UkraineRussiaWar affecting the #EU's prospects? Its economy? Its place in the world?
▫️ Zhang Jian (张健): "It will further weaken the 🇪🇺's strength and int. influence and accelerate its marginalisation in the global geopolitical landscape."
sinification.substack.com/p/the-future-o…
▫️ Zhang Jian (张健): "It will further weaken the 🇪🇺's strength and int. influence and accelerate its marginalisation in the global geopolitical landscape."
sinification.substack.com/p/the-future-o…
🔹The author: Zhang Jian (张健) is the director of the Institute of European Studies at China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) – an influential think tank linked to China’s Ministry of State Security.
cicir.ac.cn/NEW/expert.htm…
cicir.ac.cn/NEW/expert.htm…
🔹Some context: Zhang’s assessment is more pessimistic than some in China, but several of his arguments are in line with those made by other Chinese analysts: e.g. the negative impact that the #war has had on the EU’s quest for #StrategicAutonomy. This is bad news for #China.
Today @EmmanuelMacron presented the Military Planning Law. A 🧵on what he chose to emphasize regarding the strategic context and what this means for the model of the armed forces: no longer an expeditionary force but designed for #highintensity.
twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…
twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…
1/ First, what is the Military Planning Law? It allocates the budget for the 🇫🇷 armed forces for usually 6 years. The one @EmmanuelMacron is to submit to the French Parliament is for the period 2024-2030 (while the ongoing one was from 2019 to 2025 but will be shorten by a year).
2/ In his speech, the president considers the efforts for the armed forces must match the dangers, which are "considerable."
The 2022 National Strategic Review offered already a strategic analysis and the challenges. The MPL is about meeting them
sgdsn.gouv.fr/uploads/2022/1…
The 2022 National Strategic Review offered already a strategic analysis and the challenges. The MPL is about meeting them
sgdsn.gouv.fr/uploads/2022/1…
This year has changed so much
- & changed so many of us.
#Russia's War & #Ukraine's heroic resistance have had a clarifying effect:
- what's right & what's wrong
- what matters & what doesn't
- what we have to do & what we shouldn't.
🧵on To Ukraine With Love 1/
wiki image
- & changed so many of us.
#Russia's War & #Ukraine's heroic resistance have had a clarifying effect:
- what's right & what's wrong
- what matters & what doesn't
- what we have to do & what we shouldn't.
🧵on To Ukraine With Love 1/
wiki image
We've been inspired by Ukrainians' courage, ingenuity & humour in adversity
- & galvanised by #Ukraine's fight in our common war.
🇺🇦We've lost friends along the way, but made many new ones.
🇺🇦We've sought new ways to think & act
- & found them. 2/
amazon.com/Ukraine-Love-E…
- & galvanised by #Ukraine's fight in our common war.
🇺🇦We've lost friends along the way, but made many new ones.
🇺🇦We've sought new ways to think & act
- & found them. 2/
amazon.com/Ukraine-Love-E…
This year has changed so much
- & changed so many of us.
#Russia's War & #Ukraine's heroic resistance have had a clarifying effect:
- what's right & what's wrong
- what matters & what doesn't
- what we have to do & what we shouldn't.
🧵on To Ukraine With Love 1/
wiki image
- & changed so many of us.
#Russia's War & #Ukraine's heroic resistance have had a clarifying effect:
- what's right & what's wrong
- what matters & what doesn't
- what we have to do & what we shouldn't.
🧵on To Ukraine With Love 1/
wiki image
We've been inspired by Ukrainians' courage, ingenuity & humour in adversity
- & galvanised by #Ukraine's fight in our common war.
🇺🇦We've lost friends along the way, but made many new ones.
🇺🇦We've sought new ways to think & act
- & found them. 2/
amazon.com/Ukraine-Love-E…
- & galvanised by #Ukraine's fight in our common war.
🇺🇦We've lost friends along the way, but made many new ones.
🇺🇦We've sought new ways to think & act
- & found them. 2/
amazon.com/Ukraine-Love-E…
This year has changed so much
- & changed so many of us.
#Russia's War & #Ukraine's heroic resistance have had a clarifying effect:
- what's right & what's wrong
- what matters & what doesn't
- what we have to do & what we shouldn't.
🧵on To Ukraine With Love 1/
wiki image
- & changed so many of us.
#Russia's War & #Ukraine's heroic resistance have had a clarifying effect:
- what's right & what's wrong
- what matters & what doesn't
- what we have to do & what we shouldn't.
🧵on To Ukraine With Love 1/
wiki image
We've been inspired by Ukrainians' courage, ingenuity & humour in adversity
- & galvanised by #Ukraine's fight in our common war.
🇺🇦We've lost friends along the way, but made many new ones.
🇺🇦We've sought new ways to think & act
- & found them. 2/
amazon.com/Ukraine-Love-E…
- & galvanised by #Ukraine's fight in our common war.
🇺🇦We've lost friends along the way, but made many new ones.
🇺🇦We've sought new ways to think & act
- & found them. 2/
amazon.com/Ukraine-Love-E…
“I think our offer has led to an opening” 🇪🇺VP @TimmermansEU tells journalists as tough #COP27 negotiations go into overtime.
“But that offer was very clear. The #LossAndDamage fund should be targeted to the most vulnerable.”
“But that offer was very clear. The #LossAndDamage fund should be targeted to the most vulnerable.”
“A positive result today is still in reach but we’re worried about some of the things we’ve seen and heard in the last 12 hours that might indicate a step back in ambition,” warns @TimmermansEU.
But “no deal is better than a bad deal” here at #COP27.
But “no deal is better than a bad deal” here at #COP27.
Flanked by EU energy and foreign ministers including @ABaerbock, @TimmermansEU tells journalists people are moving on both sides of the #LossAndDamage debate.
“But frankly I think we have done more moving than the other side.”
“But frankly I think we have done more moving than the other side.”
Recent Publications & Threads (A 🧵)
I. Articles & Commentaries Published
II. Interviews with me on (European) Politics & Security
III. Threads on #Ukraine #Germany #EU #UK #CEE and more.
Gathered in one place ...
I. Articles & Commentaries Published
II. Interviews with me on (European) Politics & Security
III. Threads on #Ukraine #Germany #EU #UK #CEE and more.
Gathered in one place ...
I. Articles and Commentaries
8. Are #Czechia & #Slovakia the #EU's New Radical Centre
for @RUSI_org
rusi.org/explore-our-re…
8. Are #Czechia & #Slovakia the #EU's New Radical Centre
for @RUSI_org
rusi.org/explore-our-re…
I. Articles and Commentaries
7. Ukraine Doesn't Need Half-Measures from the #EU
for @ForeignPolicy
foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/07/ukr…
7. Ukraine Doesn't Need Half-Measures from the #EU
for @ForeignPolicy
foreignpolicy.com/2022/04/07/ukr…
1/6🤦🏻♂️If true (still hop it's not) this would again wreck 🇩🇪 reputation for a domestic publicity stunt.
1️⃣🇷🇺 doesn't want to talk to 🇩🇪, their demands are addressed to 🇺🇸.
2️⃣ to change this 🇪🇺 would have to be structurally capable to act in the fields ... bild.de/bild-plus/poli…
1️⃣🇷🇺 doesn't want to talk to 🇩🇪, their demands are addressed to 🇺🇸.
2️⃣ to change this 🇪🇺 would have to be structurally capable to act in the fields ... bild.de/bild-plus/poli…
2/6 ... 🇷🇺 is interested in dealing with like military support to 🇺🇦, strategic armaments, force posture in Europe. In all of this the #SPD is actually blocking 🇩🇪 from becoming an actor...
3️⃣ #Putin is not interested in Resets. He demands results, the ones 🇩🇪 can't deliver.
3️⃣ #Putin is not interested in Resets. He demands results, the ones 🇩🇪 can't deliver.
3/6 4️⃣ Unilateral outreach only undermines cohesion in 🇪🇺, especially if - as in this case - the exact objective of discussion is kept secret. See for corresponding attempts in the past. None of which produced results other than alienating allies in Brussels.
📺We're publishing a #EuropeChats recap for 2⃣0⃣2⃣1⃣ TODAY‼️
Be sure to watch our LIVE @YouTube Premiere as we consider Europe 2021-2022: "Looking Back and Thinking Ahead"
@CloosJim
Be sure to watch our LIVE @YouTube Premiere as we consider Europe 2021-2022: "Looking Back and Thinking Ahead"
@CloosJim
We're LIVE!🔴 This will be the last #EuropeChats episode of 2021 but be sure to stay tuned for new episode coming next year too!
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This episode is an end of year recap of challenges faced by 🇪🇺 as well as its main achievements - but we'll also be taking a look forward to 2022
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Bad news for Europe. Europe's military aerospace industry is losing the plot: more European countries (9 including 6 EU members) have placed orders for the F35 than for the Eurofighter (5), Rafale (3) or Gripen (3 of which 2 on lease). 420 F35 are on order in Europe...1/ brief🧵
...versus 487 Eurofighter, 332 Gripen and 216 Rafale. The non-European export record looks a bit brighter (242 Rafale to 5 countries vs 179 F35 to 4 countries). On the basis of public Norwegian data on the F35s life-cycle cost ($39.8 bn for 52 a/c), the European "subsidy" to...2/
...the US for the F35 is in excess of $ 320 billion (more than 1 year of European NATO defence spending and some 5 years of European defence acquisition spending). Interesting case of burden sharing. #StrategicAutonomy anyone? ./.
Welcome to DAY 2⃣ of #PPCParis!
We're back at @SciencesPo_CEE to speak about #StrategicAutonomy in Europe!
Before we begin, make sure to catch up on everything you missed from day 1 👉 threadreaderapp.com/thread/1468915…
/THREAD 🧵
We're back at @SciencesPo_CEE to speak about #StrategicAutonomy in Europe!
Before we begin, make sure to catch up on everything you missed from day 1 👉 threadreaderapp.com/thread/1468915…
/THREAD 🧵
Today we are taking a close look at #StrategicAutonomy in a roundtable
TEPSA Secretary-General @CloosJim will discuss with @elvirefabry (@DelorsInstitute), @RoderickParkes (@dgapev), Pierre Vimont (@Carnegie_Europe), and Cyril Piquemal
@Cornelia_Woll will moderate
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TEPSA Secretary-General @CloosJim will discuss with @elvirefabry (@DelorsInstitute), @RoderickParkes (@dgapev), Pierre Vimont (@Carnegie_Europe), and Cyril Piquemal
@Cornelia_Woll will moderate
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#PPCParis is about to begin! If you can't join us live at @SciencesPo_CEE then make sure to check out our Twitter highlights!
/THREAD🧵
/THREAD🧵
Welcome to DAY 1⃣ of #PPCParis! Florence Haegel from @SciencesPo_CEE is opening the conference now: "The overlapping of #EU2022FR with the #FrenchElections of 2022 will frame the agenda of the French Presidency to a great extent"
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As part of these welcoming words to #PPCParis we thank Florence Haegel for her warm words and short analysis of the upcoming French Presidency of the @EUCouncil
We're about to hear also from TEPSA Secretary-General @CloosJim
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We're about to hear also from TEPSA Secretary-General @CloosJim
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🇸🇮 #PPCLjubljana DAY 2 is kicking off as we speak! Join us LIVE on #Zoom for our first panel of the day, from the #InDivEU Project!
As always, we are highlighting the key takeaways here, so stay with us for #PPCLjubljana day 2!💪
/THREAD 🧵
As always, we are highlighting the key takeaways here, so stay with us for #PPCLjubljana day 2!💪
/THREAD 🧵
Our first panel of the day is all about #DifferentiatedIntegration and the #FutureofEurope: @MichaelKaeding (@unidue) is moderating the discussion between Sandra Kröger (#InDivEU/@UniofExeter), @bonomimat (@IdeaEu/@IAIonline), and Magdalena Góra (#EU3D/@JagiellonskiUni)
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We are also going to enjoy a keynote also from @dubravkasuica, VP of the @EU_Commission
"In our work on democracy, the #CoFoE is a process to bring all Europeans together"
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"In our work on democracy, the #CoFoE is a process to bring all Europeans together"
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Maja Bucar, from @FDVLjubljana, is giving the initial address to #PPCLjubljana: "one of the positive things of having a conference virtually is that we can reach more people around Europe"
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TEPSA has been hosting our flagship bi-annual Pre-Presidency Conferences (PPC) for decades, always joining up with our Member Institute in the country taking on the upcoming @EUCouncil Presidency, it's become a milestone in the European calendar 💪
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TEPSA Secretary-General Jim Cloos welcomes participants to #PPCLjubljana: "the Presidency gives an impression of ownership in the Member States"
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🗓️#PPCLjubljana is tomorrow!🇸🇮
Before we launch into the TEPSA Slovenian Pre-Presidency Conference, a landmark on the European calendar, let's have a quick run through all the panels you can enjoy over the next two days
👉 tepsa.eu/tepsa-slovenia…
/THREAD 🧵
Before we launch into the TEPSA Slovenian Pre-Presidency Conference, a landmark on the European calendar, let's have a quick run through all the panels you can enjoy over the next two days
👉 tepsa.eu/tepsa-slovenia…
/THREAD 🧵
#PPCLjubljana opens with remarks from @FDVLjubljana and TEPSA, and we welcome @AnzeLog Minister of Foreign Affairs @MZZRS to give the @SLOtoEU position on #EU2021SI
👉 tepsa.eu/tepsa-slovenia…
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👉 tepsa.eu/tepsa-slovenia…
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We then present #TEPSARecommendations, coordinated by @FundaTekin17, @NicolePirozzi, and @IlkeToygur, featuring work from @agarcod, @LouiseVanSchaik, and Natasha Wunsch to Gasper Dovzan from @MZZRS
We'll also hear from @EngagEU_Project
👉 tepsa.eu/tepsa-slovenia…
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We'll also hear from @EngagEU_Project
👉 tepsa.eu/tepsa-slovenia…
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Our Secretary-General @JimCloos1 is talking ALL THINGS #Strategic Autonomy with @iiea RIGHT NOW💪
@iiea is our Member Institute from 🇮🇪
You can follow the livestream on @YouTube or stay tuned here from some highlights of Jim's intervention
/THREAD
@iiea is our Member Institute from 🇮🇪
You can follow the livestream on @YouTube or stay tuned here from some highlights of Jim's intervention
/THREAD
"All recent Euro-crises from the subprime mortgage crisis to the #COVID19 crisis originated outside the European Union, but hit us incredibly hard"
- @JimCloos1, TEPSA Secretary-Ge neral speaks to @iiea
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- @JimCloos1, TEPSA Secretary-Ge neral speaks to @iiea
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"Firstly the economic crises highlighted the imbalance within the #EMU, the flaws of the 'no bailtout' clause, which meant richer countries could only intervene as a last resort, and that the @ecb was not properly empowered against crises"
- @JimCloos1, speaks to @iiea
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- @JimCloos1, speaks to @iiea
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🗓️THIS WEEK AT TEPSA‼️
We've got a bunch of great events taking placer - including an appearance by our SECRETARY-GENERAL @JimCloos1 at an @iiea webinar on Tuesday 💪
/THREAD
We've got a bunch of great events taking placer - including an appearance by our SECRETARY-GENERAL @JimCloos1 at an @iiea webinar on Tuesday 💪
/THREAD
Webinar: “The EU, Japan and a Fraying International Order”, is taking place TODAY!
Join @RobSchuCentre to discuss
▶️ tepsa.eu/webinar-the-eu…
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Join @RobSchuCentre to discuss
▶️ tepsa.eu/webinar-the-eu…
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🚨TOMORROW!🚨
@iiea is talking to our Secretary-General @JimCloos1 about #StrategicAutonomy and the #FutureofEurope
▶️ tepsa.eu/webinar-toward…
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@iiea is talking to our Secretary-General @JimCloos1 about #StrategicAutonomy and the #FutureofEurope
▶️ tepsa.eu/webinar-toward…
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Anybody saying the GSA starting the @JoeBiden transition shows "the guardrails of American democracy are strong" is delusional.
It looks like we will make it to 20 January without US democracy collapsing. But Europeans need to remember how close we came.
It looks like we will make it to 20 January without US democracy collapsing. But Europeans need to remember how close we came.
"The problem with the plan—the thing that stopped it—wasn't so much the institutions. It's just that #Trump lost the election by too much to really pull his plan off,” notes @ChrislHayes.
Where would we be right now if it had come down to just one state?
Where would we be right now if it had come down to just one state?
What the US has just gone through has "revealed craters in the foundation of our democracy" says @JNelsonLDF.
"If we want to be a country based on the #RuleOfLaw, we need stronger laws. We can't rely on norms that can be disregarded when it's in someone's political interest".
"If we want to be a country based on the #RuleOfLaw, we need stronger laws. We can't rely on norms that can be disregarded when it's in someone's political interest".
New 🇫🇷🇩🇪 proposal for 🇪🇺 #COVID19 recovery published yesterday: This is an important & long-awaited step w/ several important proposals on #health, Recovery Fund, #GreenDeal & #Digital. This will help COM have political backing for ambitious proposal. /1 bundeskanzlerin.de/resource/blob/…
Some first thoughts:🇫🇷🇩🇪understanding is necessary, but not sufficient for European Council compromise. And it won't be a walk in the park: Expect opposition from "Frugals" (e.g. 🇦🇹 opposed to an increased #MFF & wants loans.) But positive signs: 🇮🇹 &🇪🇸 on board. /2
On #MFF: question whether 500 bn will be sufficient & how the fund will be used (who gets what, how & when?) - Devil is in the details. Interesting link between #GreenDeal & #Digital. Strong emphasis on #strategicautonomy & #sovereignty in #health is rather positive. /3
#Merkel spoke about the EU's response to #COVID19 & the priorities of the German Council Presidency this weekend. There were a few surprises. Could this potentially mean shift in German European policy after years of stagnation? Short THREAD bundeskanzlerin.de/bkin-de/mediat…
1/ The focus on European solidarity and cohesion could not be clearer & is a shift from a rather silent Germany beforehand: "Germany cannot be strong if others are not doing well"; "Some countries fear to be weakened from this crisis, while Germany is relatively well-off".
2/ While the German gov has always declared itself pro-EU integration, the clear words "we need more Europe" & "Europe should grow together during this crisis" takes another dimension in the current crisis.
