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#SyrianArabArmy #SAA on verge of killing #Astana Process by Dr Can Kasapoglu

As the events unfold, two clear facts are becoming clear. First, having harassed the #Turkish observation posts and convoys, #Assad’s forces have endangered the entire Astana process.
Second, if Gen. #MaheralAssad’s 4th Armored Division or Gen. #SuheilalHassan’s #TigerForces were to attempt a sectarian cleansing in #Idlib, it would not be #Turkey’s problem alone; rather, all of Europe would inevitably have to bear a very consuming burden.
With the #Baath regime seemingly intent on setting a precedent in #Morek and extending it to all Turkish military contingents surrounding Idlib – and, more ambitiously, even to broader #Syria – the time might soon come for Ankara to send a strong off-limits signal to the #SAA.
Read 4 tweets
(1) Russia’s political design for Syria needs to promote the Syrian Arab Armed Forces (SAAF) as a strong pivot to rely on during the forthcoming political process. #Nimr, #TigerForces #SuheilalHassan #Syria #SAA
(2) In case the current paramilitary landscape of the civil war-torn country becomes more prevalent and permanent, it would be Tehran, not Moscow, that will be the dominant force in Syria in the long-term. #Nimr #TigerForces #SuheilalHassan #Syria #SAA
(3) Moscow will try to transform the SAAF into a magnet to rein in paramilitary formations. This ambitious goal requires energetic leadership, charisma in the eyes of the Alawite-dominant officer corps, and pro-Russian attitude. #Nimr #TigerForces #SuheilalHassan #Syria #SAA
Read 7 tweets

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