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Sweden to hit +0.03%, maybe +0.04%, excess deaths in 2020.
Some years that had comparable excesses in Sweden:
1957 (+0.03%)
1960 (+0.02%)
1962 (+0.02%)
1968 (+0.03%)
1969 (+0.04%)
1976 (+0.03%)
1985 (+0.03%)
1988 (+0.05%)
1993 (+0.02%)
1995 (+0.03%)
2002 (+0.02%)
2012 (+0.02%)
Some years that had comparable excesses in Sweden:
1957 (+0.03%)
1960 (+0.02%)
1962 (+0.02%)
1968 (+0.03%)
1969 (+0.04%)
1976 (+0.03%)
1985 (+0.03%)
1988 (+0.05%)
1993 (+0.02%)
1995 (+0.03%)
2002 (+0.02%)
2012 (+0.02%)
The picture we have is that Wuhan-Corona as an indisputably severe flu wave, but just as indisputably as one within the normal-historical range for such flu waves. A Sweden born in 1957 has lived through 13 comparable severe flu waves.
(Excesses rounded to the hundredth place and calculated on +/- two year averages.) (From Swedish Health Ministry and Eurostat.)
As we of the Anti-Panic side told you would happen, deaths in Sweden were below normal for months following the late March to late May flu wave.
The period of sustained below-normal mortality beings July 10 and continues to at least the end of October.
#SwedenWasRight
The period of sustained below-normal mortality beings July 10 and continues to at least the end of October.
#SwedenWasRight
Sweden total deaths
For the full month of August
2020 6781
2019 6829
2018 6791
2017 6824
2016 7005
2015 6712
'15-'19 avg. 6832
For the full month of August
2020 6781
2019 6829
2018 6791
2017 6824
2016 7005
2015 6712
'15-'19 avg. 6832
Sweden total deaths
For full month of September
2020 6580
2019 6674
2018 6803
2017 6762
2016 6728
2015 6916
'15-'19 avg. 6777
For full month of September
2020 6580
2019 6674
2018 6803
2017 6762
2016 6728
2015 6916
'15-'19 avg. 6777
