Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #TP7

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1/ I'm looking for science. Subject:

How many #TP7 is -0.1 R, given I?

TP7 = Self-tests p person p wk
I = Incidence (p 100k/7d)

As in: If I=100 and R=1,05, how many TP7 are needed to lower R by 10% to 9,945? @DrEricDing @Karl_Lauterbach @kakape @c_drosten @henrikstreeck
2/ Or, different angle:

If I spend 1 (1 TP7) what % of *I* will I extract from the infecting population?

How many % of those did already infect someone?

How many % can we expect to be false negatives?

By how much does resulting carelessness decrease the effectiveness?
3/ .
Hypotheses times:
H1: There is an X that is

1 TP7 / X = 10%-Reduction of R

H2: There is an Y that is

I / Y= No. of PT7 you need for 10% lower R
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