Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #TX23

A rundown of how much TX GOP's proposed map would shore up nine of their own incumbents who badly need it:

#TX02 Crenshaw: Trump +1 to Trump +23
#TX03 Taylor: Trump +1 to Trump +15
#TX06 Ellzey: Trump +3 to Trump +20
#TX10 McCaul: Trump +2 to Trump +20

Continued...

#TX21 Roy: Trump +3 to Trump +20
#TX22 Nehls: Trump +1 to Trump +15
#TX23 Gonzales: Trump +2 to Trump +7
#TX24 Van Duyne: Biden +5 to Trump +12
#TX31 Carter: Trump +3 to Trump +20

The reason I was mildly surprised: Republicans could have drawn #TX03, #TX22 & #TX24 to be even redder.

All three GOP seats moved 25+ pts left between 2012 and 2020, and as proposed they could easily be vulnerable again by the middle of the 2020s.

Read 3 tweets

Nathaniel Rakich

@baseballot

@FiveThirtyEight

Texas Republicans' proposed congressional map is up and analyzed on the @FiveThirtyEight redistricting tracker: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…

@FiveThirtyEight

@FiveThirtyEight The map shores up #TX07, #TX28, #TX32, and #TX34 for Dems and adds a new solid-blue #TX37 in Austin. In exchange, #TX02, #TX03, #TX06, #TX10, #TX21, #TX22, #TX23, #TX24, and #TX31 are made safer for their Republican incumbents.

Dem Rep. Vicente Gonzalez's #TX15 also becomes a bit redder, but still a tossup, under this map. I wonder if he moves over to the safe blue #TX34, whence Rep. Filemon Vela is retiring. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…

Read 4 tweets

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1442497118342508546

Wow. This isn't even as aggressive a map as I expected from Texas Rs. It could plausibly be 24R-14D, w/ the chance Rs add seats in the Rio Grande Valley & Dems gain in DFW burbs over the course of the 2020s.

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1442497118342508546

A few early highlights/impressions:
- a new Dem #TX37 in Austin
- a new GOP #TX38 in Houston (for Wesley Hunt?)
- no new Hispanic majority seat (lawsuit?)
- #TX15 Gonzalez (D) made redder
- #TX03 Taylor (R) & #TX24 Van Duyne (R) not shored up quite as much as I'd have expected

Another surprise: this GOP proposal doesn't shore up #TX21 Rep. Chip Roy (R) by nearly as much as it could have. He's still got a chunk of Travis Co.

The much bigger winners: #TX02 Crenshaw, #TX10 McCaul, #TX22 Nehls, #TX25 Williams, #TX31 Carter.

Read 6 tweets

Patrick Svitek

@PatrickSvitek

Proposed Texas congressional map is out: data.capitol.texas.gov/dataset/cf8703… #txlege

The two new seats go to the Austin and Houston areas

@RepMcCaul

.@RepMcCaul loses Harris County in #TX10

Read 16 tweets

Texas is set to gain three seats, and Republicans will likely try to expand their current 23R-13D edge to a 26R-13D edge - all while adding at least one new Hispanic majority seat and a new Dem seat in Austin. Here's how...

First, Rs would "pack" the districts held by Houston Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D) #TX07 and Dallas Rep. Collin Allred (D) #TX32 w/ Dems, converting Fletcher's seat into a Hispanic majority seat. That would ease the creation of two new safe suburban R seats, #TX38 and #TX39.

Next, instead of dividing Austin six ways, Rs would create a new overwhelmingly blue Travis Co. seat (#TX37 here). The tradeoff? It would protect surrounding R districts against heavy D vote growth along the I-35 corridor for the next decade.

Read 5 tweets

Of the nation's current 435 House districts, 226 voted for Trump in '16 and 209 voted for Clinton.

Based on my initial analysis, Biden carried 216, Trump carried 208 and 11 remain too close to call. But it's pretty clear to me Biden is on track for a narrow majority.

Here are the 12 Trump '16 districts I can say with confidence Biden has flipped blue so far:

#AZ01
#GA06
#GA07
#MN02
#NE02
#NH01
#NJ05
#NJ11
#PA17
#TX24
#VA02
#VA07

And the two Clinton '16 districts Trump has flipped red so far:

#FL26
#TX23

Here are the 11 districts that I'm still not 100% certain about ('16 winner):

#CA48 (Clinton)
#IL14 (Trump)
#IL17 (Trump)
#MI11 (Trump)
#NV03 (Trump)
#NJ03 (Trump)
#NY18 (Trump)
#NY19 (Trump)
#OH01 (Trump)
#TX15 (Clinton)
#TX28 (Clinton)

I'd be open to anyone's math on these.

Read 4 tweets

John McCormack

@McCormackJohn

THREAD

One thing that’s striking about the Republicans who have flipped House seats so far: They are all women, minorities, or veterans (in many cases two of three). nationalreview.com/2020/11/meet-t…

In Southern California, Young Kim and Michelle Steel flipped Democratic seats.

A Korean-American woman had never been elected to the U.S. Congress until Steel, Kim, and Democrat Marilyn Strickland of Washington won this November.

In Oklahoma City, Republican state senator Stephanie Bice flipped a Democratic seat, becoming the first Iranian-American ever elected to the U.S. Congress.

Read 17 tweets

Grace Panetta

@grace_panetta

@DecisionDeskHQ

hello! While we're waiting for more presidential results, I thought I'd give you an update on the House. @DecisionDeskHQ projects that Republicans have won back 5 seats on net so far. Rs flipped 7 seats and Dems won back 2 thanks to redistricting in NC businessinsider.com/2020-house-ele…

@DecisionDeskHQ

Seats projected to flip D to R, per @DecisionDeskHQ

#IA01 ( Finkenauer)
#FL26 (Mucarsel-Powell)
#FL27 (Shalala)
#MN07 (Peterson)
#NM02 (Torres Small)
#OK05 ( Horn)
#SC01 (Cunningham)

Others to keep an eye on as more votes are counted: #CA21, #CA39, #NY11, #NY22, #UT04

@DecisionDesk

Democrats have also fallen short on many of their offensive targets to flip R-held seats: their most promising pickup opportunity is #GA07, where @DecisionDesk HQ has not projected a winner and we should (hopefully!) get more clarity today as more votes are counted/reported

Read 4 tweets

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print&Share)& Donations Links
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…
Mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

ALABAMA Democratic Candidates
#AL1 #AL2 #AL3 #AL4 #AL7 & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links for each candidate.Follow & Support!
FB
facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
GoogleDoc pc2a.info/DemCandidatesAL
THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

Check it out!
ALL Democratic Candidates 50 STATES
#Congress2020 Govs AGs SoS
Postcards (Print & Share!) & Links to Follow & Support!
#PostcardsforAmerica
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets&Posts for each Candidate
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

Check it out!
THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates!
50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs, SoS
With Postcards & Links to Follow & Support!
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
Ready-made Tweets & Posts for each Candidate here
postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…
FB Albums: facebook.com/pg/postcards4U…

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 51 tweets

Wanda

@itsWanda

Getting this thread going on what races to donate to….

Right now, 44 days out, is the best time to donate. A few states are early voting. Voters are paying attention and can still register.

Campaigns can still hire staff and pay for strategic, targeted ads and mailers.

Money thrown at races in Oct goes into media spin. Unclear if it's effective at persuasion.

Millions of $$$ from out of state donors, raised by national orgs, doesn't mean your race is competitive. So it's doubly important for us to pick a few races/states and be strategic.

It's sweet to ragedonate for RBG. But it's smarter to flip the Senate, cement the House majority, and win key states in the electoral college. All states and races aren't equal.

A few thousand $ to a House race or $1 million to an underfunded Senate race can make the difference.

Read 15 tweets

All hands on deck!
On #PostcardsforAmerica website
All Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Links (& Postcards) to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

Update Sep 12
mega-THREAD

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

@NDLB2020

Want to check out all Democratic Candidates?
Pages on the #PostcardsforAmerica website with all Democratic Candidates for ALL 50 STATES #Congress2020, Govs, AGs & SoS
Postcards & Links to Follow & Support:
postcardsforamerica.com/all-democratic…
& ➡️ postcardsforamerica.com/all-dem-candid…

& follow @NDLB2020

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1284568648204652544

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

ALASKA Democratic Congressional Candidates
Alaska-At-Large & SENATE
#Congress2020 #Senate2020
#HoldTheHouse #FlipTheSenate
Postcards, Websites & Donation Links
Follow & Support!
Thread:

https://twitter.com/postcards4USA/status/1300088955526934528

Shareable Facebook Post: facebook.com/postcards4USA/…
#PostcardsforAmerica

Read 50 tweets

Craig Caplan

@CraigCaplan

@RepDonBacon

.@RepDonBacon (R-#NE02): "This (USPS) Bill was not perfect, but the critical role the postal service plays in our country and the fact the postal system will become insolvent next year led me to vote in support." bacon.house.gov/news/documents…

https://twitter.com/CraigCaplan/status/1297353778073665536

@RepBost

.@RepBost (R-#IL12): "While Congress approved additional funding today with my support, I still share President Trump’s concerns over the process in place for counting an unprecedented number of votes by mail." bost.house.gov/media-center/p…

@VernBuchanan

Rep. @VernBuchanan (R-#FL16): "Millions of Americans, especially seniors, depend on a healthy and functioning Postal Service. I voted for the bill today to make sure the Postal Service has the resources to deliver the mail."

Read 17 tweets

EMILY's List

@emilyslist

@xjelliott

Help make it happen! Follow and support:

#AR02 @xjelliott
#AZ06 @hiral4congress
#CA25 @ChristyforCA25
#FL16 @GoodforFlorida
#GA07 @Carolyn4GA7
#IL13 @BetsyforIL
#IN05 @HaleIndy
#KS02 @Michelle4Kansas
#MI03 @HillaryScholten
#MN08 @QuinnNystrom

https://twitter.com/emilyslist/status/1285973378277543938

@JillSchupp

These women can FLIP seats in November:

#MO02 @JillSchupp
#MTAL @WilliamsForMT
#NE02 @karaforcongress
#NY01 @ngoroff
#NY02 @VoteJackie4NY
#NY21 @TedraCobb
#NY24 @dana_balter
#NC02 @DeborahRossNC
#NC06 @KathyManningNC
#NC08 @TimmonsGoodson

https://twitter.com/emilyslist/status/1285973378277543938

@KateForCongress

Make sure you’re supporting all of the incredible women who can help EXPAND the House majority:

#OH01 @KateForCongress
#OH10 @TimsDesiree
#PA01 @FinelloForPA
#TX02 @SimaforTX
#TX21 @wendydavis
#TX23 @GinaOrtizJones
#TX24 @candacefor24
#WA03 @ElectLong

https://twitter.com/emilyslist/status/1285973378277543938

Read 3 tweets

Leesa Raaum

@LeesaRaaum

@parscale

It appears that @parscale is using his position as Trump’s campaign manager to manipulate the outcome of the Republican run-off election in #Texas #CD23.
Tony Gonzales vs Raul Reyes (1/9)

Both candidates have expressed their support for Trump, yet in an interview with the San Antonio Express on 9/30/19 , #Gonzales stated that he was “concerned by revelations of Trump’s entreaties to Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden.” (2/10)

In the same article, #Gonzales stated that “he hadn’t fully developed a position one way or the other on the upcoming #impeachment proceedings.” (3/10)

Read 10 tweets

Record number of GOPs leaving Congress!
(27 now & counting...)
Incumbents win 90% of the time.
With these gone, #NoSafeSeats

Below is a THREAD of all the Democratic Candidates for those seats!
Support them!

#Congress2020

Updated (again, because more keep leaving) DECEMBER

@BradleyByrne

GOP @BradleyByrne is leaving Alabama District 1
Democratic Candidates for #AL1 are:
James Averhart
jamesaverhart.com
@James4congress1
and
Kiani Arkus Gardner
College Instructor & Biologist
kianigardner.com
@KianiGardner
#Congress2020 #VoteBlueToSaveAmerica

THREAD

@olenate2020

Martha Roby is leaving!
Democratic Candidates Alabama District 2
#AL2
Phyllis Harvey-Hall
Community Activist and Retired Educator
harveyhall2congress.com
Nathan Mathis
Farmer & former State Rep
@olenate2020

#Congress2020
THREAD

Read 29 tweets