Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #TexasFoldem
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⚠️ Guess what, everyone? That's right: It's Yet Another U.S. Supreme Court Opinion Issuance Day!
Come back starting at 10:00am to see whether they decide to tear away healthcare coverage for up to 34 million Americans based on the most absurdly stupid case imaginable!
Come back starting at 10:00am to see whether they decide to tear away healthcare coverage for up to 34 million Americans based on the most absurdly stupid case imaginable!
There's around ~20 cases left for SCOTUS to issue opinions on this term including the #ACA case...which still might be bumped until later this month (I believe the term ends on June 30th).
They wait 10 minutes between each opinion being released, so it could be a long morning...
They wait 10 minutes between each opinion being released, so it could be a long morning...
Once again, there's basically 4 possible ways the SCOTUS could rule on the #ACA case. Two of them would be fine. One would be pretty awful. One would be absolute disaster.
acasignups.net/21/06/17/here-…
acasignups.net/21/06/17/here-…
There have been so many false alarms from SCOTUS re. announcing their #TexasFoldEm #ACA lawsuit decision that I’m not even linking to my explainer this time. But...yeah, they’re supposed to announce more opinions tomorrow morning.
There’s apparently 24 more cases to decide on in the next 28 days, so theoretically they could announce like 1-2 per day and still hold off until June 30th for the ACA case.
For those wondering about the timeline in a worst-case scenario, it’s not pretty. This is from last fall: acasignups.net/21/02/19/if-ac…
⚠️⚠️⚠️ HERE WE GO AGAIN: The fate of the #ACA & healthcare coverage for 30 million people (and healthcare protections for everyone else) could be decided...THIS MORNING: acasignups.net/21/05/31/here-…
NOTE: I plan on live-tweeting this morning's SCOTUS announcements (well, technically I'll be parroting @SCOTUSblog's live-tweets) which start at 10am, but I have to leave for an appointment at around 10:30am, so if they end up issuing more than 2-3 opinions I'll have to cut out.
As many people have noted, SCOTUS didn't issue the last 2 major #ACA decisions until the end of June (June 28th for NFIB v. Sebelius, June 25th for King v. Burwell), so there's a *very* good chance they'll wait until then for the #TexasFoldEm case as well...but who knows?
(sigh) I'm sure @nicholas_bagley will explain the legal side of this, but here's what this is referring to:
healthcare.gov/coverage/preve…
healthcare.gov/coverage/preve…
One of the less-appreciated provisions of the #ACA is that it requires ALL compliant healthcare policies to cover a long list of preventative services at NO cost to the patient--no deductible, no co-pay, no coinsurance--as long as they're done in-network.
📣🎉 The #ACAGoesTo11 TOMORROW...and #ACA 2.0 is on the way:
PART 1: A look at bills from Senators @MarkWarner, @SenatorBennet, @timkaine & @SenatorShaheen, all of which would (at the very least) lock in the #AmRescuePlan's subsidy expansion permanently, plus much more:
acasignups.net/21/03/17/prepa…
acasignups.net/21/03/17/prepa…
PART 2: A look at 9 bills in the House which would do everything from repairing Trump Admin sabotage of the #ACA's marketing, outreach & navigator budgets to requiring #ShortAssPlans to meet the same minimum requirements of other health insurance coverage:
acasignups.net/21/03/17/prepa…
acasignups.net/21/03/17/prepa…
Believe it or not, there's an important connection between #HR1 and the #TexasFoldEm lawsuit to strike down the #ACA pending a #SCOTUS decision right now. 1/
The #TexasFoldEm case, brought by 20 GOP state AGs, uses insane "logic" to claim the #ACA's individual mandate is unconstitutional because the GOP changed the penalty amount to $0.
However, it ALSO argues that since the mandate is unconstitutional, the ENTIRE LAW is as well. 2/
However, it ALSO argues that since the mandate is unconstitutional, the ENTIRE LAW is as well. 2/
The first issue is re. merits of the case, which most legal experts from ACROSS the political spectrum agree are either nonexistent or weak at best.
The SECOND issue is re. "severability"...that is, whether you can strike down one part of a law without striking down the rest. 3/
The SECOND issue is re. "severability"...that is, whether you can strike down one part of a law without striking down the rest. 3/
đź“Ł HEALTHCARE TWITTER: Does anyone remember a piece from a couple of years ago about the #TexasFoldEm lawsuit in which the reporter actually *asked* a bunch of GOP House/Senate members whether they intended to wipe out the entire ACA when they zeroed out the individual mandate??
If so, please contact me for a piece I'm hoping to publish tomorrow--I need to know the reporter and preferably the link to the story. There might have been more than one published. Thanks!
UPDATE: Twitter comes thru again! Thanks to @amgasteier, I think this piece from @pdmcleod of BuzzFeed is the one I was thinking of: buzzfeednews.com/article/paulmc…
🚨 Here we go again: The decision on the #TexasFoldEm lawsuit deciding the fate of the #ACA *may* (or may not) be on the agenda a week from today.
AS A REMINDER, Congress still has one shot to #MootTheSuit before SCOTUS issues their decision...but at this point it seems like everyone involved is taking it as a given that the law will be upheld after all.
Praying "everyone" is correct. 🙏
acasignups.net/21/02/05/democ…
Praying "everyone" is correct. 🙏
acasignups.net/21/02/05/democ…
Er, make that six days from now, not a week.
đź‘Źđź‘Źđź‘Źđź‘Źđź‘Źđź‘Źđź‘Ź
Note: This doesn't mean the #TexasFoldEm case is over; all it means is that the DoJ is now formally DEFENDING the #ACA instead of siding with the GOP plaintiffs.
The case was already heard by SCOTUS in November. The decision is expected sometime this spring or summer.
The case was already heard by SCOTUS in November. The decision is expected sometime this spring or summer.
The other option is for Dems to #MootTheSuit via simple legislation to either:
1. ⬆️ the mandate penalty back to $1 or more
2. Formally state that the mandate can be ✂️
3.❌ the mandate language itself:
acasignups.net/21/02/05/democ…
1. ⬆️ the mandate penalty back to $1 or more
2. Formally state that the mandate can be ✂️
3.❌ the mandate language itself:
acasignups.net/21/02/05/democ…
🚨 The Sword of Damocles continues to dangle over the #ACA: Democrats STILL have ONE CHANCE to #MootTheSuit ahead of the #SCOTUS ruling:
acasignups.net/21/02/03/democ…
acasignups.net/21/02/03/democ…
There was a chance the Supreme Court would either save *or* kill the #ACA this morning as part of several decisions announced...but the #TexasFoldEm case turned out not to be among those.
That means the ACA will likely survive at least until sometime this spring/summer. 2/
That means the ACA will likely survive at least until sometime this spring/summer. 2/
The good news is this means Congress still has time to #MootTheSuit. There's three possible ways to resolve the issue before SCOTUS issues their decision:
1. ⬆️ the penalty to $1 or more
2. Clarify that the mandate can be✂️
3. ❌ the mandate language itself
3/
1. ⬆️ the penalty to $1 or more
2. Clarify that the mandate can be✂️
3. ❌ the mandate language itself
3/
🚨🚨🚨 REMINDER: The Supreme Court *may* save *or* strike down the entire #ACA as early as...TOMORROW MORNING:
acasignups.net/21/01/29/heads…
acasignups.net/21/01/29/heads…
After #SCOTUS heard oral argument in the absurd GOP-brought, GOP-blessed #TexasFoldEm lawsuit to strike down the #ACA last November, the assumption was that there's no way that they would issue their opinion any earlier than April - June. 2/
HOWEVER, both @ShermanCourt and @AHoweBlogger have noted that the #SCOTUS website indicates that they're scheduled to issue opinions on several cases "argued in the fall and/or winter" tomorrow (Wednesday) morning.
It's unknown which cases this may include. 3/
It's unknown which cases this may include. 3/
🚨 HEAD'S UP: The #SCOTUS may rule on the GOP #TexasFoldEm lawsuit to strike down the entire #ACA as soon as...WEDNESDAY???
acasignups.net/21/01/29/updat…
acasignups.net/21/01/29/updat…
TO BE CLEAR: The oral arguments in the #TexasFoldEm case *appeared* to go very poorly for the GOP plaintiffs; even Justice ALITO seemed awfully skeptical of their reasoning...
acasignups.net/20/11/11/texas…
acasignups.net/20/11/11/texas…
...HOWEVER, as @jrovner noted:
"The Trump presidency is over, and Obamacare is still alive" vox.com/policy-and-pol… via @voxdotcom
Before 11/08/16, I was secretly planning on shutting down (or at least mothballing) ACASignups.net as soon as the 4th #ACA Open Enrollment period was over. Traffic had been gradually dropping off as people got used to the ACA & it started to fade from the headlines.
My official day job as a website developer had suffered. What was supposed to have been a 6-month hobby in my spare time had turned into a full-time job, and I had lost web clients along the way. I figured it would be time to wind down ACA Signups & refocus on my web business.
🚨 GEORGIA: Your daily reminder that Tuesday's Senate runoff election could decide the fate of the #ACA and whether 500,000 Georgians lose healthcare as soon as May 1st:
acasignups.net/20/11/13/two-r…
acasignups.net/20/11/13/two-r…
The Supreme Court heard oral arguments in the asinine #TexasFoldEm case (brought by ~20 GOP state AGs, including the corrupt @KenPaxtonTX) in November.
They're expected to issue their final ruling sometime this spring or summer, possibly as early as April. 2/
They're expected to issue their final ruling sometime this spring or summer, possibly as early as April. 2/
The odds are good that they'll rule in favor of saving the #ACA...but there's no way of knowing, especially given the 6-3 GOP lean of the Court.
Fortunately, Congress can render the entire case moot by passing one of three simple bills: 3/
Fortunately, Congress can render the entire case moot by passing one of three simple bills: 3/
Hmmmmm...I haven’t written too much about her...I assumed @GovMLG would be the pick...
In 2018, @GovRaimondo signed an executive order to help lock in a lot of #ACA protections in light of the #TexasFoldEm lawsuit:
acasignups.net/18/09/27/rhode…
acasignups.net/18/09/27/rhode…
Last year she also proposed (and go through) both an #ACA reinsurance program *and* reinstatement of the individual mandate penalty to cut down unsubsidized premiums:
acasignups.net/19/01/20/rhode…
acasignups.net/19/01/20/rhode…
📣 Oh, yeah: #ACA Open Enrollment is happening NOW! Here's 7 important things to remember. acasignups.net/20/11/11/oh-ye…
1. DON'T MISS THE DEADLINE! In most states you have until December 15th to #GetCovered, but 10 states have a later deadline:
CA: Jan. 31
CO: Jan. 15
DC: Jan. 31
MA: Jan. 23
MN: Dec. 22
NV: Jan. 15
NJ: Jan. 31
NY: Jan. 31
PA: Jan. 15
RI: Jan. 23
CA: Jan. 31
CO: Jan. 15
DC: Jan. 31
MA: Jan. 23
MN: Dec. 22
NV: Jan. 15
NJ: Jan. 31
NY: Jan. 31
PA: Jan. 15
RI: Jan. 23
2. MAKE SURE YOU ENROLL IN AN ACA-COMPLIANT PLAN! Use the official ACA exchange or an *authorized* 3rd-party site *which only sells ACA-compliant plans*!
CA: coveredca.com
CO: connectforhealthco.com
CT: accesshealthct.com/AHCT/LandingPa…
DC: dchealthlink.com
CA: coveredca.com
CO: connectforhealthco.com
CT: accesshealthct.com/AHCT/LandingPa…
DC: dchealthlink.com
CJ John Roberts now bringing up the fact that the Obama Admin argued that the mandate penalty was "critical" in 2012; why is it no longer "critical"...Verrilli (for the defense) makes exactly my point: The situation was very different in 2012 vs. 2020.
acasignups.net/20/10/13/colum…
acasignups.net/20/10/13/colum…
Verrilli correctly notes that the carrot (financial subsidies) simply turned out to be far more important than the stick (mandate penalty).
Put another way: GOP cut off most of the red leg...which was then replaced by the World's Most Expensive Shim®.
Put another way: GOP cut off most of the red leg...which was then replaced by the World's Most Expensive Shim®.
Verrilli correctly notes that THE SITUATION CHANGED BETWEEN 2010 AND 2017.
In 2010, virtually every insurance carrier said they wouldn't participate in the ACA exchanges without a mandate. If that had happened, the law *would* have failed *at that time*. 2017 wasn't 2010.
In 2010, virtually every insurance carrier said they wouldn't participate in the ACA exchanges without a mandate. If that had happened, the law *would* have failed *at that time*. 2017 wasn't 2010.
YESTERDAY, the awesome @cynthiaccox posted this thread which explained the tradeoffs involved in healthcare coverage & affordability. 1/
Read her thread, and then read this post of mine from nearly a year ago about the Catch-22 "solution" which the state of Louisiana has come up with as a contingency plan in the event the #ACA is indeed struck down by the Trump/GOP lawsuit: 2/
acasignups.net/19/11/14/louis…
acasignups.net/19/11/14/louis…
Louisiana has a Democratic Governor but is solidly GOP otherwise...including their Attorney General, @JeffLandry, who's also one of the *plaintiffs* in the #TexasFoldEm lawsuit to strike down the #ACA completely. 3/
đź“Ł How should @SpeakerPelosi play a suddenly weaker #TexasFoldEm hand?
acasignups.net/20/09/22/how-s…
acasignups.net/20/09/22/how-s…
For those wondering why @SpeakerPelosi doesn't pass a simple bill NOW to resolve the issue (even if it's DOA in the Senate), here's the response I've gotten from multiple legal/Constitutional wonks:
I'm not saying I agree with this; plenty of other experts (including @nicholas_bagley) think this take is bunk...but that's the reason I've been given.
As I note in my post, however, this argument has been weakened by #RBG's passing.
As I note in my post, however, this argument has been weakened by #RBG's passing.
Until #RBG’s passing, I felt Dems should wait until after Inauguration Day to do this. Now, I’m more inclined to think they should go for it immediately.
Waiting until January assumes that SCOTUS won’t actually issue a RULING on #TexasFoldEm until next spring. Given how quickly they’re trying to ram thru RBG’s replacement, it’s possible that they’ll issue the ruling during the lame duck period. If that happens it’ll be too late.
I turned this into a full blog post: acasignups.net/20/09/22/how-s…
⚠️ BREAKING: #TexasFoldEm: To the shock of absolutely no one, SCOTUS won't decide the fate of the #ACA until *after* the election:
acasignups.net/20/08/19/texas…
acasignups.net/20/08/19/texas…
The stakes of the election couldn't be any higher. As a reminder, here's how many Americans would lose healthcare coverage if the #ACA is struck down by *CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT*:
acasignups.net/20/06/29/how-m…
acasignups.net/20/06/29/how-m…
ALABAMA: If the Trump/GOP #TexasFoldEm lawsuit strikes down the #ACA, 186,000 Alabamans are projected to lose healthcare coverage in the middle of a pandemic...and the state would lose more than $1.1 billion in federal revenue per year. #TrumpChaos #SaveACA
đź“Ł In light of both @thehowie & @pbump's comments: A couple of years back I crated a video explainer re. how the #ACA's 3-legged stool works and why covering pre-existing conditions w/out the rest of the ACA in place is a recipe for disaster. 1/
It's a bit out of date (it predates the mandate penalty actually being zeroed out by the GOP), but it's still a good overview:
Here's what the #ACA's 3-legged stool was originally supposed to look like. When people talk about "protections for coverage of pre-existing conditions", they're basically talking about the Blue Leg on the left:
đź“Ł WARNING: Graphics-intensive thread ahead.
How many Americans would lose healthcare coverage if the #ACA is struck down in YOUR Congressional District? (Updated for the #COVID19 era) 1/
acasignups.net/20/06/29/how-m…
How many Americans would lose healthcare coverage if the #ACA is struck down in YOUR Congressional District? (Updated for the #COVID19 era) 1/
acasignups.net/20/06/29/how-m…
In March 2019, the @urbaninstitute wrote an analysis which concluded that if the Trump/GOP #TexasFoldEm lawsuit is successful & the #ACA is struck down, 20 million Americans would lose healthcare coverage & states would lose $135 billion/yr in funding. 2/
urban.org/research/publi…
urban.org/research/publi…
A few months later,
@EmilyG_DC, @NicoleRapfogel & I broke those 20 million people & $135 billion/yr out by all 425 Congressional Districts: 3/
americanprogress.org/issues/healthc…
@EmilyG_DC, @NicoleRapfogel & I broke those 20 million people & $135 billion/yr out by all 425 Congressional Districts: 3/
americanprogress.org/issues/healthc…
⚠️ They were warned.
They were given an explanation.
Nevertheless, they're persisting.
#TexasFoldEm #SaveACA #ProtectOurCare
acasignups.net/20/06/26/they-…
They were given an explanation.
Nevertheless, they're persisting.
#TexasFoldEm #SaveACA #ProtectOurCare
acasignups.net/20/06/26/they-…
Here's the Republican #TexasFoldEm lawsuit to strike down the #ACA in a nutshell. Here again is the ACA's 3-legged stool:
In December 2017, Republicans changed the #ACA's individual mandate penalty from $695 to $0 (or from 2.5% of income to 0.0%).
