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Okay I did not want to do this, but let me put it out there since many are questioning my "neck and neck" comment. This is my HYPOTHESIS based on observations & conversations on ground. Read this #Thread & give feedback. Pls don't abuse/troll etc. #TamilNaduElections2021 (1/n)
#ThanthiTVOpinionPoll is the only one that shows the macro picture. Projected voteshare margin difference is very slim between both fronts. This is what I meant by neck & neck. There is NO WAVE. Anti incumbency is marginal. Now let's look at caste play. (2/n)
Gounders: 🌱
Vanniyars: 🌱+🥭
Devendrakula Vellalars: 🌱+🌷(lotus emoji not there)
Kallars: 🫕(pressure cooker emoji not there) + 🌱
Maravars: 🌱+☀️
Agamudaiyars: 🌱+☀️
Mutharaiyars: 🌱+☀️
Paraiyars: ☀️
Arunthathiyars: 🌱+🌷
Hindu Nadars (Thoothukudi region): 🌷+🌱 (3/n)
Vanniyars: 🌱+🥭
Devendrakula Vellalars: 🌱+🌷(lotus emoji not there)
Kallars: 🫕(pressure cooker emoji not there) + 🌱
Maravars: 🌱+☀️
Agamudaiyars: 🌱+☀️
Mutharaiyars: 🌱+☀️
Paraiyars: ☀️
Arunthathiyars: 🌱+🌷
Hindu Nadars (Thoothukudi region): 🌷+🌱 (3/n)
