Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ThePathToZero
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1/ Who decided that 25 "cases" (positive tests) per 100,000 people is "red" risk level?
That's a positivity rate of 0.025% - far less than 1% and below the false positive rate of the tests (source: Cohen-Kessel, medrxiv.org/content/10.110…)
That's a positivity rate of 0.025% - far less than 1% and below the false positive rate of the tests (source: Cohen-Kessel, medrxiv.org/content/10.110…)
2/ The hashtag all over this page (noted as the source for the metrics) tells you everything you need to know: #ThePathToZero
"Zero COVID" ignores the costs of focusing solely on COVID instead of the full range of public health
globalepidemics.org/key-metrics-fo…
"Zero COVID" ignores the costs of focusing solely on COVID instead of the full range of public health
globalepidemics.org/key-metrics-fo…
3/ "Red" level is the "TIPPING POINT," requiring stay-at-home orders.
0.025% positive tests is not any sort of tipping point, and in fact, no "tipping point" has happened anywhere. Cases go up, about 4 weeks later they go down, and after 8 weeks, most activity has subsided
0.025% positive tests is not any sort of tipping point, and in fact, no "tipping point" has happened anywhere. Cases go up, about 4 weeks later they go down, and after 8 weeks, most activity has subsided
