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With TD-09L initiated by NHC, we can now focus on impacts to Florida next week.
ECMWF ensembles (06z @weathermodels_) show some variability in the speed/forward motion, but the mean is into SW Florida. Intensity near major hurricane strength. #TropicalUpdate
ECMWF ensembles (06z @weathermodels_) show some variability in the speed/forward motion, but the mean is into SW Florida. Intensity near major hurricane strength. #TropicalUpdate
@weathermodels_ The 5-day NHC forecast position of 09L w/intensity of 95-knots puts an almost major hurricane (1-knot less) right off the Florida coastline just west of Naples at 2 AM Wednesday.
Landfall pegged for Wednesday of strong Category 2 or major hurricane (Category 3) in SW Florida ...
Landfall pegged for Wednesday of strong Category 2 or major hurricane (Category 3) in SW Florida ...
@weathermodels_ However, there is uncertainty in the landfall location, intensity and timing.
We have only just begun the process of forecasting the position and strength of 09L -- likely Hurricane Hermine.
Please keep tabs on the weather models and NHC. Humans and machines working together.
We have only just begun the process of forecasting the position and strength of 09L -- likely Hurricane Hermine.
Please keep tabs on the weather models and NHC. Humans and machines working together.
GFS 12z update has a slow-moving major hurricane in the central Gulf of Mexico mid-next week.
Still uncertain if/when landfall will occur, but interests along Gulf Coast from SE Lousiana to Key West should keep close 👀
Still uncertain if/when landfall will occur, but interests along Gulf Coast from SE Lousiana to Key West should keep close 👀
GFS has been on the western edge of the track spaghetti, but there are EPS 06z ensembles that take the system into the Yucatan, more than at 00z. #TropicalUpdate
Next assessment around 4 PM ET when EPS 12z finishes up. 🌀
Next assessment around 4 PM ET when EPS 12z finishes up. 🌀
What do the humans think?
NWS WPC position of likely hurricane next Thursday morning.
NWS WPC position of likely hurricane next Thursday morning.
